White House 2000: Democrats
All data are from nationwide surveys of
Americans 18 & older. |
See also:
Political Figures |
Polls listed chronologically. |
. |
. |
Preference for Democratic Nominee |
. |
NBC News/Wall
Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and
Robert Teeter (R). Latest: March 2-5, 2000. N=1,213 adults nationwide. |
. |
2000: Asked of Democrats/leaners and independents who say they will vote in the
Democratic primary.
1999: Asked of Democrats/leaners.
"The candidates in the Democratic primary are Bill Bradley and Al Gore. For
whom would you vote if the election were held today: Bill Bradley or Al Gore?" If
"Not sure": "Well, which way do you lean?" |
|
|
Al
Gore |
Bill
Bradley |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/00 |
66 |
24 |
3 |
7 |
|
|
1/00 |
64 |
22 |
4 |
10 |
|
|
12/99 |
54 |
32 |
3 |
11 |
|
|
10/99 |
53 |
29 |
7 |
11 |
|
|
9/99 |
53 |
32 |
5 |
10 |
|
|
7/99 |
60 |
24 |
5 |
11 |
|
|
6/99 |
65 |
17 |
4 |
14 |
|
|
4/99 |
62 |
23 |
5 |
10 |
|
|
3/99 |
65 |
20 |
5 |
10 |
|
|
Gallup/CNN/USA
Today Poll. Latest: Feb. 25-27, 2000. N=346 registered Democrats and leaners
nationwide. MoE +/- 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Next, I'm going to
read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president. After I
read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to
support for the Democratic nomination for president this year: [rotate]
former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley or Vice President Al Gore?" |
|
|
Al
Gore |
Bill
Bradley |
Other
(vol.) |
None/
No Opinion |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/25-27 |
65 |
28 |
0 |
7 |
|
|
2/20-21 |
67 |
26 |
0 |
7 |
|
|
2/14-15 |
64 |
26 |
1 |
9 |
|
|
2/4-6 |
65 |
24 |
0 |
11 |
|
|
1/25-26 |
67 |
21 |
1 |
11 |
|
|
1/17-19 |
60 |
27 |
- |
13 |
|
|
1/13-16 |
59 |
30 |
- |
11 |
|
|
1/7-10 |
59 |
30 |
- |
11 |
|
|
12/20-21 |
52 |
38 |
1 |
9 |
|
|
12/9-12 |
54 |
39 |
- |
7 |
|
|
11/18-21 |
56 |
34 |
- |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Trend among all Democrats and
leaners (registered and non-registered): |
|
11/4-7 |
58 |
33 |
- |
9 |
|
|
10/21-24 |
57 |
32 |
- |
11 |
|
|
10/8-10 |
51 |
39 |
1 |
9 |
|
|
9/10-14 |
63 |
30 |
- |
7 |
|
|
8/16-18 |
58 |
31 |
1 |
10 |
|
|
6/25-27 |
64 |
28 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
6/4-5 |
63 |
28 |
0 |
9 |
|
|
5/23-24 |
59 |
30 |
0 |
11 |
|
|
4/30 - 5/2 |
66 |
23 |
1 |
10 |
|
|
4/13-14 |
54 |
34 |
1 |
11 |
|
|
ABC News and
The Washington Post. Latest: Feb. 24-27, 2000. N=1,203 adults nationwide. |
. |
Asked of Democrats and leaners:
"Suppose your state holds a Democratic primary or caucus for president in 2000 and
the candidates are [rotate:] Al Gore and Bill Bradley. For whom would you
vote?" |
|
|
Al
Gore |
Bill
Bradley |
Neither/
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/24-27 *** |
76 |
19 |
4 |
2 |
|
2/3-6 *** |
73 |
25 |
1 |
- |
|
1/00 *** |
71 |
27 |
1 |
1 |
|
12/99 *** |
64 |
31 |
2 |
3 |
|
10/28-31 * |
67 |
29 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/27-31 ** |
58 |
30 |
5 |
7 |
|
10/13-17 ** |
56 |
33 |
5 |
6 |
|
9/99 *** |
69 |
24 |
3 |
4 |
|
6/99 *** |
65 |
26 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
* Conducted by ABC News
** Conducted by The Washington Post
*** Conducted by ABC News and The Washington Post |
|
Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Latest: Feb. 24-25, 2000.
N=298 registered Democrats and leaners nationwide. MoE +/- 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"As of today, who
would you most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for president
this year: Al Gore or Bill Bradley?" |
|
|
Al
Gore |
Bill
Bradley |
Other
(vol.)/
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/24-25 |
58 |
21 |
21 |
|
|
|
2/3-4 |
55 |
22 |
23 |
|
|
|
1/13-14 |
53 |
23 |
24 |
|
|
|
1/6-7 |
50 |
25 |
25 |
|
|
|
11/99 |
49 |
27 |
24 |
|
|
|
10/28-29 |
40 |
25 |
35 |
|
|
|
10/21-22 |
49 |
26 |
25 |
|
|
|
6/99 |
48 |
26 |
26 |
|
|
|
5/99 |
48 |
23 |
29 |
|
|
|
4/99 |
47 |
23 |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Question wording prior to 11/99:
"If the race for the Democratic Party's nomination for president next year comes down
to a choice between Al Gore and Bill Bradley, who would you most like to see nominated:
Gore or Bradley?" |
|
CBS News Poll.
Latest: Feb. 12-14, 2000. N=342 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. |
. |
"If the Democratic
presidential primary were being held today, would you vote for Bill Bradley or Al
Gore?" |
|
|
Al
Gore |
Bill
Bradley |
Other
(vol.) |
Don't
Know |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/12-14 * |
64 |
25 |
0 |
11 |
|
2/6-10 |
64 |
22 |
0 |
12 |
|
12/13-16 |
53 |
28 |
2 |
17 |
|
11/4-7 * |
56 |
30 |
2 |
12 |
|
10/28-30 |
58 |
26 |
2 |
14 |
|
9/29 - 10/4 |
46 |
33 |
4 |
17 |
|
9/14-18 |
50 |
32 |
3 |
15 |
|
8/99 |
51 |
24 |
4 |
21 |
|
6/99 |
56 |
21 |
2 |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
* Conducted with The New York
Times
^ Question prior to 2/12-14: "Who would you like to see the Democratic Party
nominate as its presidential candidate in 2000: [rotate] Bill Bradley or Al Gore?" |
|
Pew Research
Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research
Associates. Latest: Feb. 9-14, 2000. N=446 registered Democrats and leaners nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
After July 1999:
"There are now two candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in 2000, Al
Gore and Bill Bradley. Please tell me which one you would most like to see nominated as
the Democratic Party's candidate for president. . . . Well as of today, to whom do you
most lean?"July 1999:
"Now I am going to read you the names of some possible candidates for the Democratic
nomination for president in 2000. After I read all the names, would you tell me which one
you would most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for president? [See
below.] . . . Well as of today, to whom do you most lean?" |
|
|
Al
Gore |
Bill
Bradley |
None
Of
Them (vol.) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/00 |
65 |
28 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
1/00 |
68 |
24 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
12/99 |
53 |
38 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
10/99 |
60 |
31 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
9/99 |
58 |
32 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
7/99 |
65 |
29 |
2 |
4 |
|
|
Fox
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Latest: Feb. 9-10, 2000. N=900 registered voters
nationwide. MoE +/- 3 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Asked of Democrats (MoE +/- 5):
"Which of the following candidates do you think should be the Democratic
presidential nominee: former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley or Vice President Al
Gore?" |
|
|
Al
Gore |
Bill
Bradley |
Other
(vol.) * |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/9-10 |
65 |
25 |
2 |
8 |
|
|
1/26-27 |
65 |
26 |
2 |
7 |
|
|
1/12-13 |
57 |
25 |
3 |
15 |
|
|
12/6-7 |
58 |
31 |
2 |
9 |
|
|
11/18-19 |
57 |
30 |
1 |
13 |
|
|
11/3-4 |
55 |
33 |
1 |
11 |
|
|
10/99 |
52 |
26 |
15 |
7 |
|
|
9/99 |
46 |
21 |
20 |
14 |
|
|
8/99 |
58 |
17 |
17 |
8 |
|
|
7/99 |
55 |
21 |
14 |
10 |
|
|
6/23-24 |
62 |
15 |
15 |
8 |
|
|
6/2-3 |
54 |
20 |
20 |
6 |
|
|
5/99 |
48 |
15 |
28 |
9 |
|
|
4/99 |
46 |
16 |
29 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
* Prior to 11/99,
question included "prefer another choice" option. |
|
Zogby
International "Zogby America Poll" and Reuters/WHDH-TV/Zogby Poll.
Latest: Feb. 4-6, 2000. N=1,024 likely voters nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
Asked of Democratic voters:
"If the election for the Democratic presidential nomination were held today and the
candidates were [rotate] Al Gore and Bill Bradley, for whom would you
vote?" |
|
|
Al
Gore |
Bill
Bradley |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/00 |
58 |
27 |
15 |
|
|
|
1/00 |
46 |
26 |
28 |
|
|
|
11/99 |
47 |
31 |
22 |
|
|
|
10/99 |
51 |
27 |
22 |
|
|
|
9/99 |
55 |
17 |
28 |
|
|
|
6/99 |
59 |
21 |
20 |
|
|
|
5/99 |
55 |
27 |
18 |
|
|
|
4/99 |
65 |
22 |
13 |
|
|
|
CNN/Time
Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners. Latest: Feb. 2-3, 2000. N=444 registered
Democrats and leaners nationwide. MoE +/- 4.7. (Data from 1999 are among registered and
nonregistered Democrats and leaners.) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If you were asked to
vote for a Democratic nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats would
you vote for: Vice President Al Gore or former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley?" |
|
|
Al
Gore |
Bill
Bradley |
Other
(vol.) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/2-3 |
61 |
21 |
2 |
16 |
|
|
1/12-13 |
48 |
26 |
7 |
19 |
|
|
1/4-5 |
49 |
27 |
8 |
16 |
|
|
11/99 |
50 |
29 |
5 |
16 |
|
|
9/99 |
52 |
29 |
2 |
17 |
|
|
8/99 |
55 |
26 |
4 |
15 |
|
|
7/99 |
57 |
26 |
5 |
12 |
|
|
6/99 |
62 |
23 |
3 |
12 |
|
|
3/25/99 |
49 |
29 |
6 |
15 |
|
|
3/4/99 |
54 |
20 |
6 |
20 |
|
|
Associated
Press Poll conducted by ICR. Nov. 19-23, 1999. N=1,023 adults nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
Asked of Democratic voters:
"Who would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate as its presidential
candidate in 2000: Bill Bradley or Al Gore?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Al Gore |
43 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bill Bradley |
32 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Los
Angeles Times Poll. Nov. 13-18, 1999. N=650 likely Democratic primary or caucus
voters nationwide. MoE +/- 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If the Democratic
primary or caucus for president were being held in your state today and the candidates
were Bill Bradley and Al Gore, for whom would you vote: Bradley or Gore?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Al Gore |
52 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bill Bradley |
34 |
|
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
U.S. News
& World Report Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Snell Perry
& Associates (D). Oct. 25-28, 1999. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
Asked of Democratic voters:
Preference for Democratic Nominee: |
|
|
Al
Gore |
Bill
Bradley |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/25-28/99 |
55 |
34 |
11 |
|
|
|
Marist
College Poll. Latest: Oct. 18-20, 1999. N=348 Democrats and leaners nationwide.
MoE +/- 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If the next
Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates
are . . . ?" |
|
|
10/99 |
4/99 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Al Gore |
48 |
59 |
|
|
|
|
Bill Bradley |
32 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
Other/Undecided |
20 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Al Gore |
45 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bill Bradley |
31 |
|
|
|
|
|
Warren Beauty |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other/Undecided |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
ABC News Poll.
Aug. 12-15, 1999. N=452 Democrats and leaners nationwide. MoE +/- 5. |
. |
"Suppose your state
holds a Democratic primary or caucus for president in 2000 and the candidates were Al
Gore, Bill Bradley, and the actor Warren Beatty. For whom would you vote?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Al Gore |
61 |
|
|
|
|
Bill Bradley |
24 |
|
|
|
|
Warren Beatty |
9 |
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
None/Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Gonzales/Arscott
Research & Communications. Aug. 6-14, 1999. N=347 Democratic voters
nationwide. MoE +/- 5.4 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If you were voting today
for the 2000 Democratic presidential nominee, for whom would you vote if the candidates
were Bill Bradley and Al Gore?" |
|
|
ALL |
Men |
Women |
Whites |
African-
Americans |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Al Gore |
61 |
50 |
71 |
55 |
80 |
|
Bill Bradley |
27 |
36 |
19 |
32 |
11 |
|
Undecided |
12 |
14 |
10 |
13 |
9 |
|
Washington
Post Poll. June 5-6, 1999. N=1,206 adults nationwide. |
. |
Asked of Democrats and leaners who
are registered voters:
"Suppose your state holds a Democratic primary or caucus for president in 2000 and
the candidates are [see below]. For whom would you vote? I'll read the
list again . . . ." |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Al Gore |
57 |
|
|
|
|
Bill Bradley |
19 |
|
|
|
|
Jesse Jackson |
17 |
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Preference for Democratic Vice
Presidential Nominee
Fox
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 13-14,1999. N=902 registered voters nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
Asked of Democrats:
"Which of the same people do you think should be the Democratic vice
presidential nominee?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Reverend Jesse Jackson |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Missouri Representative Dick Gephardt |
15 |
|
|
|
|
Vice President Al Gore |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Massachusetts Senator John Kerry |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Nebraska Senator Bob Kerrey |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Other |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|