WH2008: General

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White House 2008: General Election Trial Heats See also: Candidate ratings | '08 campaign | '04 trial heats | '00 trial heats

STATE POLLS are in our subscriber area. INFO

	See also: Daily TRACKING polls • FULL trial heat trend and poll details


	PollingReport.com Presidential Trial Heat Summary					.
	Where available, based on likely voters and two-way (vs. multi-candidate) match-ups.

.
			McCain	Obama	Margin
			%	%	McCain	Obama
	Marist	11/3	43	52		9
	American Research Group	11/3	45	53		8
	Marist	11/2	44	53		9
	FOX/Opinion Dynamics	11/2	43	50		7
	NBC/Wall Street Journal	11/2	43	51		8
	CBS	11/2	42	51		9
	Democracy Corps (D)	11/2	44	51		7
	Ipsos/McClatchy	11/2	42	50		8
	CBS	11/1	41	54		13
	CNN/Opinion Research	11/1	46	53		7
	Pew	11/1	42	49		7
	CBS	10/31	41	54		13
	CBS	10/30	41	52		11
	Marist	10/29	43	50		7
	FOX/Opinion Dynamics	10/28-29	44	47		3
	CBS/New York Times	10/25-29	40	51		11
	American Research Group	10/25-27	45	50		5
	Ipsos/McClatchy	10/23-27	45	50		5
	Diageo/Hotline	10/23-26	42	49		7
	Pew	10/23-26	38	53		15
	Newsweek	10/22-23	41	53		12
	Democracy Corps (D)	10/21-23	43	52		9
	Big Ten Battleground	10/19-22	43	52		9
	CBS/New York Times	10/19-22	39	52		13
	FOX/Opinion Dynamics	10/20-21	40	49		9
	American Research Group	10/18-20	45	49		4
	NBC/Wall Street Journal	10/17-20	42	53		11
	AP-GfK	10/16-20	43	44		1
	Ipsos/McClatchy	10/16-20	42	50		8
	CNN/Opinion Research	10/17-19	46	51		5
	Pew	10/16-19	39	53		14
	Democracy Corps (D)	10/15-19	44	49		5
	Franklin & Marshall	10/13-19	45	50		5
	American Research Group	10/11-13	45	50		5
	CBS/New York Times	10/10-13	39	53		14
	LAT/Bloomberg	10/10-13	41	50		9
	Ipsos/McClatchy	10/9-13	42	51		9
	USA Today/Gallup - expanded	10/10-12	45	52		7
	USA Today/Gallup - traditional	10/10-12	46	50		4
	Pew	10/9-12	42	49		7
	Democracy Corps (D)	10/8-12	40	50		10
	ABC/Washington Post	10/8-11	43	53		10
	FOX/Opinion Dynamics	10/8-9	39	46		7
	Newsweek	10/8-9	41	52		11
	American Research Group	10/4-6	45	49		4
	Time	10/3-6	44	50		6
	Ipsos/McClatchy	10/2-6	40	47		7
	NBC/Wall Street Journal	10/4-5	43	49		6
	CBS	10/3-5	45	48		3
	CNN/Opinion Research	10/3-5	45	53		8
	Democracy Corps (D)	10/1-5	45	48		3
	Democracy Corps (D)	9/28-30	45	49		4
	Marist College	9/28-30	44	49		5
	AP-GfK	9/27-30	41	48		7
	CBS	9/27-30	41	50		9
	ABC/Washington Post	9/27-29	46	50		4
	American Research Group	9/27-29	45	49		4
	Pew	9/27-29	43	49		6
	Ipsos/McClatchy	9/26-29	42	46		4
	Time	9/26-29	43	50		7
	Democracy Corps (D)	9/22-24	44	47		3
	CBS/New York Times	9/21-24	43	48		5
	FOX/Opinion Dynamics	9/22-23	39	45		6
	Marist College	9/22-23	44	49		5
	American Research Group	9/20-22	46	48		2
	ABC/Washington Post	9/19-22	43	52		9
	LAT/Bloomberg	9/19-22	45	49		4
	NBC/Wall Street Journal	9/19-22	46	48		2
	Ipsos/McClatchy	9/18-22	43	44		1
	CNN/Opinion Research	9/19-21	47	51		4
	Franklin & Marshall	9/15-21	45	43	2
	Big Ten Battleground	9/14-17	45	46		1
	CBS/New York Times	9/12-16	44	49		5
	Quinnipiac	9/11-16	45	49		4
	American Research Group	9/13-15	48	45	3
	Ipsos/McClatchy	9/11-15	45	45
	ABC/USA Today/CU	9/11-14	45	47		2
	Pew	9/9-14	46	46
	Reuters/Zogby	9/11-13	45	47		2
	Newsweek	9/10-11	46	46
	GWU Battleground	8/7-11	48	44	4
	Democracy Corps (D)	9/8-10	48	46	2
	AP-GfK	9/5-10	48	44	4
	FOX/Opinion Dynamics	9/8-9	45	42	3
	Ipsos/McClatchy	9/5-9	46	45	1
	American Research Group	9/6-8	46	47		1
	NBC/Wall Street Journal	9/6-8	46	47		1
	ABC/Washington Post	9/5-7	49	47	2
	CNN/Opinion Research	9/5-7	48	48
	USA Today/Gallup	9/5-7	54	44	10
	IBD/TIPP	9/2-7	40	45		5
	CBS News	9/1-3	42	42
	Democracy Corps (D)	9/1-3	44	49		5
	American Research Group	8/30 - 9/1	43	49		6
	USA Today/Gallup	8/30-31	43	50		7
	CBS News	8/29-31	40	48		8
	CNN/Opinion Research	8/29-31	48	49		1
	Diageo/Hotline	8/29-31	39	48		9
	CNN/Opinion Research	8/23-24	47	47
	Diageo/Hotline	8/18-24	40	44		4
	USA Today/Gallup	8/21-23	45	48		3
	ABC/Washington Post	8/19-22	45	49		4
	FOX/Opinion Dynamics	8/19-20	39	42		3
	CBS/New York Times	8/15-19	42	45		3
	LAT/Bloomberg	8/15-18	43	45		2
	NBC/Wall Street Journal	8/15-18	42	45		3
	Quinnipiac	8/12-17	42	47		5
	Reuters/Zogby	8/14-16	46	41	5
	GWU Battleground	8/10-14	47	46	1
	Pew	7/31 - 8/10	43	46		3
	IBD/TIPP	8/4-9	38	43		5
	CBS/New York Times	7/31 - 8/5	39	45		6
	AP/Ipsos	7/31 - 8/4	41	47		6
	Time	7/31 - 8/4	41	46		5
	CNN/Opinion Research	7/27-29	44	51		7
	USA Today/Gallup	7/25-27	49	45	4
	Pew	7/23-27	42	47		5
	FOX/Opinion Dynamics	7/22-23	40	41		1
	NBC/Wall Street Journal	7/18-21	41	47		6
	CBS/New York Times	7/7-14	39	45		6
	ABC/Washington Post	7/10-13	46	49		3
	Reuters/Zogby	7/9-13	40	47		7
	Quinnipiac	7/8-13	41	50		9
	IBD/TIPP	7/7-11	37	40		3
	Newsweek	7/9-10	41	44		3

TRACKING POLLS
ABC/Washington Post • Gallup • Diageo/Hotline • GWU Battleground • IBD/TIPP • Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby

ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. N=1,300-2,500 likely voters nationwide.
						.
"If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, and John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?" If already voted: "For whom did you vote?" Options rotated. Results include leaners.
						.
		McCain	Obama	Other (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	10/31 - 11/3/08	44	53			.
	10/30 - 11/2/08	44	53	1	1	1
	10/29 - 11/1/08	43	54	1	1	1
	10/28-31/08	44	53	1	1	2
	10/27-30/08	44	53	1	1	2
	10/26-29/08	44	52	1	1	2
	10/25-28/08	44	52	1	1	3
	10/24-27/08	45	52	1	1	2
	10/23-26/08	45	52	-	1	2
	10/22-25/08	45	52	-	1	2
	10/21-24/08	44	53	1	1	2
	10/20-23/08	44	53	-	1	2
	10/19-22/08	43	54	1	1	2
	10/18-21/08	43	54	1	1	1
	10/17-20/08	44	53	1	1	2
	10/16-19/08	44	53	1	1	2

Gallup Poll daily tracking. Three-day rolling average. N=2,600-2,800 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 2. Per Gallup: "Gallup is providing two likely voter estimates to take into account different turnout scenarios. The first likely voter model is based on Gallup's traditional likely voter assumptions, which determine respondents' likelihood to vote based on how they answer questions about their current voting intention and past voting behavior. . . . The second likely voter estimate is a variation on the traditional model, but is only based on respondents' current voting intention. This model would take into account increased voter registration this year and possibly higher turnout among groups that are traditionally less likely to vote, such as young adults and racial minorities."
						.
"Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic candidates and John McCain and Sarah Palin as the Republican candidates. Would you vote for Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama and Biden, the Democrats, or McCain and Palin, the Republicans?" Options rotated
						.
		McCain	Obama	Other (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
	End date	%	%	%	%	%
						.
	VOTE PROJECTION, with undecideds allocated:					.
						.
	11/2/08	44	55			.
						.
	Among likely voters* -- expanded model (current voting intention only):*
						.
	11/2/08	42	53	1	1	3
	11/1/08	43	52	1	1	4
	10/31/08	42	52	1	1	4
	10/30/08	43	52	-	1	3
	10/29/08	44	51	-	1	3
	10/28/08	44	51	1	1	3
	10/27/08	44	51	1	1	3
	10/26/08	43	53	1	1	3
	10/25/08	43	52	1	1	4
	10/24/08	43	51	1	1	4
	10/23/08	44	51	1	1	4
	10/22/08	45	51	-	1	4
	10/21/08	44	52	-	1	4
	10/20/08	42	52	-	1	4
	10/19/08	43	52	1	1	4
	10/18/08	44	51	-	1	3
	10/17/08	46	50	-	1	2
	10/16/08	45	51	-	1	3
	10/15/08	45	51	1	1	3
	10/14/08	44	52	1	1	3
	10/13/08	43	53	1	1	3
	10/12/08	43	53	-	1	3
	10/11/08	45	51	-	1	3
						.
	Among likely voters* -- traditional model (current voting intention and past voting behavior):*
						.
	11/2/08	42	53	1	1	3
	11/1/08	43	51	1	1	4
	10/31/08	42	52	1	1	4
	10/30/08	43	51	-	1	5
	10/29/08	45	50	-	1	4
	10/28/08	46	49	1	1	3
	10/27/08	47	49	1	1	3
	10/26/08	45	50	1	1	3
	10/25/08	45	50	1	1	3
	10/24/08	44	51	1	1	3
	10/23/08	45	50	1	1	3
	10/22/08	46	50	-	1	4
	10/21/08	45	50	-	1	4
	10/20/08	44	51	-	1	4
	10/19/08	45	50	-	1	4
	10/18/08	46	49	-	1	4
	10/17/08	47	49	-	1	2
	10/16/08	47	49	-	1	3
	10/15/08	47	49	1	1	3
	10/14/08	46	49	1	1	3
	10/13/08	45	51	1	1	3
	10/12/08	44	51	-	1	3
	10/11/08	46	50	-	1	3
						.
	Among registered voters:
						.
	11/2/08	40	53	1	2	4
	11/1/08	41	52	1	2	5
	10/31/08	41	52	1	2	5
	10/30/08	41	52	-	2	5
	10/29/08	42	50	-	2	5
	10/28/08	42	51	1	2	5
	10/27/08	43	50	1	2	4
	10/26/08	42	52	1	2	3
	10/25/08	42	51	1	2	4
	10/24/08	42	51	1	2	4
	10/23/08	42	50	1	2	5
	10/22/08	43	50	1	2	5
	10/21/08	42	51	-	2	6
	10/20/08	41	52	-	2	5
	10/19/08	41	52	1	2	4
	10/18/08	42	52	1	2	4
	10/17/08	42	50	1	2	5
	10/16/08	43	50	-	2	5
	10/15/08	43	49	1	2	6
	10/14/08	43	50	1	2	5
	10/13/08	42	51	1	3	4
	10/12/08	41	51	-	2	5
	10/11/08	43	50	-	3	5
	10/10/08	42	51	1	2	4
	10/9/08	41	51	1	3	4
	10/8/08	41	52	1	2	5
	10/7/08	41	52	1	2	5
	10/6/08	42	51	-	2	5
	10/5/08	42	50	-	3	4
	10/4/08	43	50	-	3	5
	10/3/08	42	50	-	3	5
	10/2/08	42	49	-	3	5
	10/1/08	43	48	-	3	6
	9/30/08	44	48	-	3	5
	9/29/08	43	49	-	2	5
	9/28/08	42	50	1	3	5
	9/27/08	42	50	1	2	5
	9/26/08	44	49	1	2	5
	9/25/08	45	48	1	2	4
	9/24/08	46	46	1	3	4
	9/23/08	44	47	1	3	5
	9/22/08	44	47	-	3	5
	9/21/08	44	48	-	2	5
	9/20/08	45	49	-	2	4
	9/19/08	44	50	1	2	4
	9/18/08	44	49	-	3	4
	9/17/08	44	48	1	4	4
	9/16/08	45	47	-	4	4
	9/15/08	47	46	-	3	4
	9/14/08	47	45	-	3	5
	9/13/08	47	45	1	2	5
	9/12/08	47	45	1	2	5
	9/11/08	48	45	1	2	5
	9/10/08	48	44	1	2	5
	9/9/08	48	43	1	2	6
	9/8/08	49	44	1	2	4
	9/7/08	49	44	-	2	4
	9/6/08	48	45	-	2	4
	9/5/08	45	47	1	2	5
	9/4/08	44	48	1	2	6
	9/3/08	42	49	1	3	6
	9/2/08	43	49	-	3	5
	9/1/08	42	50	-	3	5
	8/31/08	43	49	-	3	5
	8/30/08	42	48	-	4	6
	8/29/08	41	49	1	4	5
	8/28/08	41	49	1	4	5
	8/27/08	42	48	1	4	5
	8/26/08	44	45	1	4	5
	8/25/08	46	44	1	4	5
	8/24/08	45	45	1	4	6
	8/23/08	45	45	1	4	5
	8/22/08	44	46	1	4	6
	8/21/08	44	45	1	4	6
	8/20/08	44	45	2	4	5
	8/19/08	43	45	2	5	6
	8/18/08	44	45	1	5	6
	8/17/08	43	46	1	4	6
	8/16/08	45	45	1	4	5
	8/15/08	44	45	1	5	6
	8/14/08	44	44	1	5	6
	8/13/08	43	46	1	5	6
	8/12/08	42	48	1	4	5
	8/11/08	42	47	1	4	6
	8/10/08	42	47	1	5	6
	8/9/08	43	46	1	4	6
	8/8/08	42	47	1	4	6
	8/7/08	43	46	1	5	6
	8/6/08	43	46	1	5	6
	8/5/08	44	46	1	5	5
	8/4/08	43	47	1	4	6
	8/3/08	43	46	1	4	6
	8/2/08	44	45	1	5	6
	8/1/08	44	44	2	5	5
	7/31/08	44	44	2	5	6
	7/30/08	44	45	1	5	7
	7/29/08	42	46	1	5	7
	7/28/08	41	47	1	5	6
	7/27/08	40	48	1	5	5
	7/26/08	40	49	1	5	4
	7/25/08	41	48	1	5	6
	7/24/08	41	47	1	4	7
	7/23/08	43	45	1	5	7
	7/22/08	42	46	1	5	6
	7/21/08	42	45	1	6	6
	7/20/08	41	47	1	6	6
	7/19/08	42	45	1	6	5
	7/18/08	43	45	1	5	5
	7/17/08	44	45	1	4	6
	7/16/08	44	46	1	4	5
	7/15/08	44	47	1	4	5
	7/14/08	43	47	1	4	5
	7/13/08	43	46	1	4	6
	7/12/08	43	46	1	4	6
	7/11/08	43	47	1	4	6
	7/10/08	42	48	1	4	5
	7/9/08	43	46	1	4	6
	7/8/08	44	46	1	4	6
	7/7/08	44	46	1	3	6
	7/6/08	43	47	1	4	6
	7/5/08	42	48	1	4	6
	7/3/08	42	47	1	4	6
	7/2/08	43	47	1	5	5
	7/1/08	44	46	1	4	6
	6/30/08	42	47	1	4	6
	6/29/08	42	47	1	4	6
	6/28/08	42	46	1	6	6
	6/26/08	44	44	1	6	5
	6/25/08	44	44	1	5	6
	6/24/08	45	45	1	4	5
	6/23/08	43	46	1	4	6
	6/22/08	43	46	1	4	5
	6/21/08	44	46	1	4	6
	6/20/08	44	46	1	4	6
	6/19/08	44	46	1	4	5
	6/17/08	42	47	1	4	6
	6/16/08	42	46	1	6	5
	6/15/08	42	46	1	6	6
	6/14/08	42	44	1	7	7
	6/13/08	42	45	1	6	7
	6/12/08	43	46	1	6	4
	6/10/08	42	48	1	5	4
	6/9/08	41	48	1	5	5
	6/8/08	42	48	1	5	5
						.
	Based on a five-day rolling average; N=approx. 4,400 registered voters* nationwide; MoE ± 2:*
	6/7/08	44	46	1	4	5
	6/6/08	45	46	1	4	4
	6/5/08	45	46	1	5	4
	6/4/08	46	45	1	5	4
	6/3/08	46	45	1	5	4
	6/2/08	46	45	1	5	4
	6/1/08	46	46	1	4	3
	5/31/08	45	46	1	5	4
	5/29/08	45	46	1	5	4
	5/28/08	45	46	1	5	3
	5/27/08	46	45	1	5	3
	5/25/08	47	44	1	5	4
	5/24/08	47	45	1	5	3
	5/23/08	46	45	1	4	4
	5/22/08	46	46	1	5	4
	5/21/08	44	47	1	4	3
	5/20/08	44	47	1	4	4
	5/19/08	44	47	1	4	4
	5/18/08	45	46	1	4	4
	5/17/08	46	45	1	4	4
	5/16/08	47	44	1	4	4
	5/15/08	47	45	1	4	4
	5/14/08	45	45	1	4	4
	5/13/08	45	46	1	5	4
	5/12/08	44	47	1	5	4
	5/11/08	43	47	1	4	4
	5/10/08	44	47	1	5	4
	5/9/08	45	46	1	5	4
	5/8/08	45	46	1	4	4
	5/7/08	45	46	1	5	4
	5/6/08	45	46	1	5	4
	5/5/08	46	45	1	5	4
	5/4/08	47	43	1	5	4
	5/3/08	47	42	1	5	4
	5/2/08	48	42	1	5	5
	5/1/08	48	42	1	5	5
	4/30/08	47	43	1	5	4
	4/29/08	46	44	1	4	4
	4/28/08	46	44	1	4	4
	4/27/08	45	45	1	5	4
	4/26/08	45	45	1	5	4
	4/25/08	45	45	1	5	4
	4/24/08	46	45	1	5	4
	4/23/08	45	45	1	5	4
	4/22/08	46	45	1	4	4
	4/21/08	45	45	1	4	5
	4/20/08	45	45	1	5	5
	4/19/08	45	45	1	5	5
	4/18/08	44	45	1	5	4
	4/17/08	44	45	1	5	4
	4/16/08	44	46	1	5	4
	4/15/08	43	46	1	5	4
	4/14/08	44	46	1	5	4
	4/13/08	44	46	1	5	5
	4/12/08	43	46	1	5	5
	4/11/08	43	46	1	5	5
	4/10/08	43	46	1	5	5
	4/9/08	44	45	1	5	5
	4/8/08	44	46	1	5	5
	4/7/08	44	45	1	5	4
	4/6/08	45	45	1	5	4
	4/5/08	45	45	1	5	4
	4/4/08	45	45	1	5	4
	4/3/08	46	45	1	5	4
	4/2/08	46	45	1	4	5
	4/1/08	46	44	1	4	4
	3/31/08	46	44	1	4	4
	3/30/08	46	45	1	5	4
	3/29/08	47	44	1	5	4
	3/28/08	46	44	1	5	4
	3/27/08	46	44	1	5	5
	3/26/08	45	44	1	5	5
	3/25/08	46	44	1	5	5
	3/24/08	45	44	1	5	5
	3/22/08	47	44	1	5	4
	3/21/08	46	44	1	4	4
	3/20/08	47	44	1	4	4
	3/19/08	47	43	1	4	4
	3/18/08	47	43	1	4	5
	3/17/08	46	44	1	4	5
	3/16/08	46	44	1	4	5
	3/15/08	47	44	1	4	4
	3/14/08	45	45	1	4	4
	3/13/08	45	45	1	4	4
	3/12/08	44	46	1	5	4
	3/11/08	44	46	1	5	4

Diageo/Hotline Daily Tracker Poll conducted by FD. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 800 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.
				.
"Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John McCain and Sarah Palin as the Republican candidates, and Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic candidates. Would you vote for McCain and Palin, the Republicans, or Obama and Biden, the Democrats?" If unsure/refused: "Which way would you lean as of today?" Options rotated
				.
		McCain	Obama
	End date	%	%
				.
	11/2/08 *	45	50
	11/1/08 *	45	50
	10/31/08 *	44	51
				.
	10/30/08	41	48
	10/29/08	42	48
	10/28/08	42	49
	10/27/08	42	50
	10/26/08	42	50
	10/25/08	42	50
	10/24/08	43	50
	10/23/08	43	50
	10/22/08	43	48
	10/21/08	42	47
	10/20/08	41	47
	10/19/08	42	47
	10/18/08	41	48
	10/17/08	42	49
	10/16/08	40	50
	10/15/08	41	49
	10/14/08	41	49
	10/13/08	42	48
	10/12/08	42	48
	10/11/08	41	49
	10/10/08	40	50
				.
	Among registered voters; N=approx. 900; MoE ± 3.3:
				.
	10/9/08	41	48
	10/8/08	41	47
	10/7/08	44	45
	10/6/08	44	46
	10/5/08	41	47
	10/4/08	41	48
	10/3/08	41	48
	10/2/08	42	48
	10/1/08	42	47
	9/30/08	42	47
	9/29/08	41	47
	9/28/08	42	47
	9/27/08	42	47
	9/26/08	43	48
	9/25/08	42	49
	9/24/08	43	47
	9/23/08	42	48
	9/22/08	43	47
	9/21/08	42	47
	9/20/08	44	45
	9/19/08	44	45
	9/18/08	44	45
	9/17/08	42	46
	9/16/08	42	45
	9/15/08	42	46
	9/14/08	43	44
	9/13/08	43	45
	9/12/08	45	44
	9/11/08	44	45
	9/10/08	46	44
	9/9/08	45	45
	9/8/08	45	44
	9/7/08	44	44
	9/4/08	40	46
				.
	* Per Diageo/Hotline: "Based on an analysis of responses to questions on candidates' images, partisan identification and demographics, 'Refused' responses in the head-to-head question were assigned either to Obama, McCain or Undecided."

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). N=800-1,000 likely voters nationwide.
						.
		McCain/ Palin	Obama/ Biden	Barr	Nader
		%	%	%	%
	VOTE PROJECTIONS, with undecideds allocated:
						.
	Ed Goeas (R)	48.3	50.2	0.9	0.6
	Celinda Lake (D)	46.5	51.5	1	1
						.
General Election Trial Heat: 2-way ballot, with Barr and Nader voters redistributed
						.
		McCain/ Palin	Obama/ Biden	Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/2-3/08	44	49	7
	10/29-30, 11/2	44	50	6
	10/27-30	45	49	6
	10/23, 26-29	46	49	6
	10/22-23, 26-28	46	49	5
	10/21-23, 26-27	46	49	5
	10/20-23, 26	46	49	6
	10/19-23	46	49	6
	10/16, 19-22	45	49	5
	10/15-16, 19-21	47	49	5
	10/14-16, 19-20	47	48	6
	10/13-16, 19	45	49	6
	10/12-16	45	49	6
	10/9, 12-15	44	50	6
	10/8-9, 12-14	43	51	7
	10/8-9, 12-13	40	53	7
	10/7-9, 12	43	51	7
	10/6-9	43	51	6
	10/5-8	45	48	7
	10/2, 5-7	45	49	6
	10/1-2, 5-6	43	50	7
	9/30 - 10/2, 5	43	50	7
	9/28 - 10/2	46	49	6
	9/28 - 10/1	44	49	7
	9/25, 28-30	46	48	7
	9/24-25, 28-29 *	46	48	7
	9/22-25, 28	48	46	6
	9/21-25	48	46	6
	9/18, 21-24	48	47	5
	9/17-18, 21-23	48	46	6
	9/17-18, 21-22	48	46	6
	9/14, 17-18, 21	48	47	6
	9/11, 14, 17-18	47	47	6
	9/10-11, 14, 17/08	47	45	8
						.
"Now, as you think about the election for president and vice president that will be held in November -- If the election for president and vice president were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans, Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, Bob Barr and Wayne Allen Root, the Libertarians, OR Ralph Nader and Matt Gonzalez, the independents?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?"
						.
		McCain	Obama	Barr	Nader	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	10/23, 26-29	45	48	1	1	5
	10/16, 19-22	45	48	1	2	4
	10/9, 12-15	43	49	1	2	5
	10/6-9	41	51	1	2	5
	9/28 - 10/2	44	48	1	2	5
	9/21-25/08	47	45	1	2	5

	* As of this date, the pollsters altered the sample weighting scheme for the Battleground Poll.

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP tracking poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. N=800-1,100 likely voters nationwide.
					.
"If the 2008 election for United States president were held today and the following were candidates for whom would you vote? Would you say Democrat Barack Obama or Republican John McCain?" Options rotated
					.
		McCain	Obama	Other
		%	%	%
	VOTE PROJECTION, with undecideds allocated:
					.
	11/1-3/08	44.3	51.5	4.2
					.
		McCain	Obama	Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/1-3/08	42.8	47.3	10.0
	10/30 - 11/2/08	43	48	10
	10/29 - 11/1/08	45	47	9
	10/27-31/08	43	48	9
	10/26-30/08	44	48	8
	10/25-29/08	44	48	9
	10/24-28/08	44	47	9
	10/23-27/08	44	48	9
	10/22-26/08	44	47	9
	10/21-25/08	43	47	10
	10/20-24/08	42	46	12
	10/19-23/08	42	46	12
	10/18-22/08	44	45	12
	10/17-21/08	42	46	12
	10/16-20/08	41	47	12
	10/15-19/08	41	47	12
	10/14-18/08	42	47	12
	10/13-17/08	40	47	13
	10/12-16/08	41	46	14
	10/11-15/08	42	45	13
	10/9-14/08	42	45	13
	10/7-13/08	42	45	13
	10/6-12/08	43	45	13

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby tracking poll. Rolling sample from three 24-hour periods. N=approx. 1,200 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± approx. 2.8.
						.
General Election Trial Heat:
						.
		McCain	Obama	OTHER		.
	End date	%	%	%		.
	VOTE PROJECTION, with undecideds allocated:
						.
	11/3/08	42.7	54.1	3.1
						.
		McCain	Obama	Nader	Barr	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	11/2/08	44	51
	11/1/08	44	50
	10/31/08	44	49
	10/30/08	43	50
	10/29/08	43	50
	10/28/08	44	49
	10/27/08	45	49
	10/26/08	45	50
	10/25/08	44	49
	10/24/08	42	51
	10/23/08	41	51
	10/22/08	40	52
	10/21/08	42	52
	10/20/08	42	50
	10/19/08	44	50
	10/18/08	45	48
	10/17/08	44	48
	10/16/08	44	49
	10/15/08	44	49
	10/14/08	44	48
	10/13/08	43	49
	10/12/08	44	48
	10/11/08	43	49
	10/10/08	44	48
	10/9/08	43	48
	10/8/08	44	48
	10/7/08	45	47
	10/6/08	45	48	1	1	4