|
CNN/ORC Poll. April 28-May 1, 2016. N=406 registered voters nationwide
who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you MOST like to see win the Republican nomination for president:
[see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
4/28 -
5/1/16 |
3/17-20/16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
49 |
47 |
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
25 |
31 |
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
19 |
17 |
|
|
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
| |
None/No one (vol.) |
3 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. April 22-28, 2016. N=397
registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean to the Republican
Party. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I am going to read you the names of the candidates who are
running for the Republican presidential nomination. If the Republican
presidential primary were held today, whom would you support for the
nomination? Would you say
[see below], or someone else?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
4/22-28/16 |
3/28 -
4/2/16 |
2/19-24/16 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
48 |
38 |
31 |
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
29 |
31 |
20 |
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
16 |
19 |
7 |
|
|
| |
Someone else |
6 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
| |
Unsure |
1 |
4 |
11 |
|
|
| |
Refused |
- |
1 |
2 |
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
n/a |
n/a |
18 |
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
n/a |
n/a |
8 |
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/22-27/16 |
1/4-8/16 |
11/30 -
12/4/15 |
10/24-29/15 |
9/26 -
10/1/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
31 |
34 |
27 |
28 |
17 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
21 |
18 |
13 |
6 |
6 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
10 |
9 |
14 |
11 |
11 |
| |
Ben Carson |
9 |
8 |
15 |
23 |
24 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
5 |
4 |
3 |
6 |
8 |
| |
Rand Paul |
4 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
9 |
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
| |
Chris Christie |
1 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
| |
Rick Santorum |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
- |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
- |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
| |
Someone else |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
| |
Unsure |
12 |
11 |
14 |
11 |
9 |
| |
Refused |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
0 |
0 |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
- |
| |
George Pataki |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
0 |
1 |
|
|
Suffolk University/USA Today. April 20-24, 2016. N=292 likely voters
nationwide who say they will participate in or have participated in the
Republican presidential primary or caucus in their state. Margin of error ±
5.7. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president of the United States were held
today, and the candidates were Ted Cruz, John Kasich, or Donald Trump, for
whom would/did you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
45 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
29 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
17 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 10-14, 2016. N=310
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"And, if the Republican primary for president were being held today, which
one of the following candidates would you favor:
[see below]?"
If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated
10/15: "If a Republican primary for president were being held today, which
one of the following candidates would you favor: Jeb Bush, Chris Christie,
Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson,
Donald Trump, or Carly Fiorina, or would you vote for one of the other
candidates?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" |
| |
|
|
|
4/10-14/16 |
3/3-6/16 |
2/14-16/16 |
1/9-13/16 |
12/6-9/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
40 |
30 |
26 |
33 |
27 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
35 |
27 |
28 |
20 |
22 |
| |
John Kasich |
24 |
22 |
11 |
3 |
2 |
| |
None (vol.) |
1 |
- |
1 |
1 |
- |
| |
Unsure |
- |
1 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
n/a |
20 |
17 |
13 |
15 |
| |
Ben Carson |
n/a |
n/a |
10 |
12 |
11 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
n/a |
n/a |
4 |
5 |
7 |
| |
Chris Christie |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
5 |
3 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
3 |
5 |
| |
Rand Paul |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
3 |
2 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
10/25-29/15 |
10/15-18/15 |
9/20-24/15 |
7/26-30/15 |
6/14-18/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Ben Carson |
29 |
22 |
20 |
10 |
11 |
| |
Donald Trump |
23 |
25 |
21 |
19 |
1 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
11 |
13 |
11 |
5 |
14 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
10 |
9 |
5 |
9 |
4 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
8 |
8 |
7 |
14 |
22 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
3 |
7 |
11 |
- |
2 |
| |
John Kasich |
3 |
3 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
3 |
3 |
2 |
6 |
9 |
| |
Chris Christie |
3 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
| |
Rand Paul |
2 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
7 |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
- |
- |
- |
- |
n/a |
| |
Rick Santorum |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
- |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
- |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
| |
George Pataki |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
- |
| |
None (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
| |
Unsure |
3 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
1 |
| |
Scott Walker |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
15 |
17 |
| |
Rick Perry |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
3 |
5 |
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). April 11-13, 2016. N=419 likely Republican primary and
caucus
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican
presidential nominee. [See below.]" If unsure: "Well, if you
had to decide today, which one would you choose?"
Options rotated
Note: Follow-up question added June 21-23, 2015. |
| |
|
|
|
4/11-13/16 |
3/20-22/16 |
2/15-17/16 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
45 |
41 |
36 |
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
27 |
38 |
19 |
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
25 |
17 |
8 |
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
| |
None of above (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
| |
Unsure |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
n/a |
n/a |
15 |
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
n/a |
n/a |
9 |
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
n/a |
n/a |
9 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/18-21/16 |
1/4-7/16 |
12/16-17/15 |
11/16-19/15 |
11/1-3/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
34 |
35 |
39 |
28 |
26 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
20 |
20 |
18 |
14 |
11 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
11 |
13 |
11 |
14 |
11 |
| |
Ben Carson |
8 |
10 |
9 |
18 |
23 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
4 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
4 |
| |
John Kasich |
4 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
| |
Chris Christie |
3 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
| |
Rand Paul |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
2 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
1 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
| |
Rick Santorum |
- |
- |
1 |
0 |
- |
| |
Other (vol.) |
- |
- |
0 |
1 |
1 |
| |
None of above (vol.) |
- |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| |
Unsure |
8 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
| |
George Pataki |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
1 |
0 |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
- |
- |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10/10-12/15 |
9/20-22/15 |
8/11-13/15 |
7/30 -
8/2/15 |
7/13-15/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
24 |
26 |
25 |
26 |
18 |
| |
Ben Carson |
23 |
18 |
12 |
7 |
6 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
10 |
8 |
10 |
6 |
4 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
9 |
9 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
8 |
7 |
9 |
15 |
14 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
5 |
9 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
5 |
3 |
6 |
6 |
4 |
| |
Rand Paul |
3 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
| |
Chris Christie |
1 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
| |
George Pataki |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
- |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
- |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
- |
- |
- |
- |
n/a |
| |
Rick Santorum |
- |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
0 |
0 |
- |
- |
- |
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
3 |
- |
1 |
1 |
| |
None of above (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
| |
Unsure |
7 |
4 |
7 |
7 |
9 |
| |
Rick Perry |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| |
Scott Walker |
n/a |
n/a |
6 |
9 |
15 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6/21-23/15 |
5/31 -
6/2/15 |
5/9-12/15 |
4/19-21/15 |
3/29-31/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Jeb Bush |
15 |
12 |
13 |
9 |
12 |
| |
Donald Trump |
11 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
3 |
| |
Ben Carson |
10 |
11 |
13 |
6 |
11 |
| |
Rand Paul |
9 |
9 |
7 |
10 |
9 |
| |
Scott Walker |
9 |
12 |
11 |
12 |
15 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
8 |
7 |
9 |
13 |
8 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
6 |
6 |
10 |
9 |
10 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
4 |
8 |
6 |
8 |
10 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
3 |
2 |
1 |
- |
1 |
| |
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
| |
Chris Christie |
2 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
4 |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| |
Rick Perry |
2 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
1 |
2 |
- |
1 |
- |
| |
George Pataki |
1 |
2 |
- |
1 |
1 |
| |
Other (vol.) |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| |
None of above (vol.) |
3 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
| |
Unsure |
9 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
6 |
|
|
CBS News Poll. April 8-12, 2016. N=399 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party
nominate for president in 2016:
[see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
4/8-12/16 |
3/17-20/16 |
2/12-16/16 |
1/7-10/16 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
Donald Trump |
42 |
46 |
35 |
36 |
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
29 |
26 |
18 |
19 |
|
| |
John Kasich |
18 |
20 |
11 |
2 |
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
- |
- |
1 |
- |
|
| |
None of them (vol.) |
4 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
|
| |
Unsure/No answer |
6 |
4 |
8 |
7 |
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
n/a |
n/a |
12 |
12 |
|
| |
Ben Carson |
n/a |
n/a |
6 |
6 |
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
n/a |
n/a |
4 |
6 |
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
4 |
|
| |
Chris Christie |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
3 |
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
3 |
|
| |
Rand Paul |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/4-8/15 |
10/21-25/15 |
10/4-8/15 |
9/9-13/15 |
7/29 -
8/2/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
35 |
22 |
27 |
27 |
24 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
16 |
4 |
9 |
5 |
6 |
| |
Ben Carson |
13 |
26 |
21 |
23 |
6 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
9 |
8 |
8 |
6 |
6 |
| |
Rand Paul |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
3 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
13 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
3 |
4 |
2 |
6 |
8 |
| |
John Kasich |
3 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
| |
Chris Christie |
3 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
1 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
- |
| |
Rick Santorum |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
- |
2 |
- |
- |
- |
| |
George Pataki |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
| |
None of them (vol.) |
2 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
| |
Unsure/No answer |
7 |
6 |
11 |
9 |
9 |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
n/a |
- |
- |
- |
2 |
| |
Scott Walker |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
10 |
| |
Rick Perry |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
2 |
|
|
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic. March 30-April 3,
2016. N=676 Republican and Republican-leaning voters nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which of the following Republican candidates would you most like to see as
the Republican Party's 2016 nominee for president:
[see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
37 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
31 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
23 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other/Unsure/Refused |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 29-31, 2016. N=444 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.7. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Republican Presidential Preference, including those who are leaning toward a
candidate: |
| |
|
|
|
3/29-31/16 |
10/29 -
11/4/15 |
3/1-4/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
40 |
23 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
35 |
8 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
John Kasich |
20 |
4 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
Other |
1 |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
3 |
4 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
n/a |
24 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
n/a |
12 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
n/a |
8 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
n/a |
5 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Carly Fiorina |
n/a |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
n/a |
3 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
n/a |
2 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
George Pataki |
n/a |
1 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
n/a |
1 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
n/a |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Jim Gilmore |
n/a |
- |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
Lindsey Graham |
n/a |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Scott Walker |
n/a |
n/a |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
n/a |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Pew Research Center. March 17-27, 2016. N=834 Republican and
Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As I name some Republican candidates for president in 2016, please tell me
which one, if any, you would most like to see nominated as the Republican
Party's candidate: [see below]." If unsure:
"As of today, who would you say you LEAN toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
41 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
32 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
20 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Too early to tell (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure/Refused |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 19-22,
2016. N=366 likely Republican primary and caucus voters nationwide,
including those who have already participated. Margin of error ± 5.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of the following Republicans would be your first choice for
president: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
40 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
31 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
25 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the race for the Republican nomination came down to just two candidates,
which of the following would be your choice: Donald Trump or Ted Cruz?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
48 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
44 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the race for the Republican nomination came down to just two candidates,
which of the following would be your choice: Donald Trump or John Kasich?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
51 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
43 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University. March 16-21, 2016. N=652 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 3.8. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this
year: Ted Cruz, John Kasich, or Donald Trump?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
43 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
29 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
16 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. March 17-20, 2016. N=353 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who do you support for the Republican nomination for president: [see
below]?"
Options rotated
1/16 & earlier: "Who would you support for the
Republican nomination for president if the candidates were [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
1/15-18/16 |
12/10-13/15 |
10/15-18/15 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
Donald Trump |
41 |
36 |
41 |
28 |
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
29 |
17 |
14 |
10 |
|
| |
John Kasich |
18 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
| |
No one (vol.) |
5 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
|
| |
Unsure |
4 |
8 |
6 |
9 |
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
n/a |
11 |
10 |
6 |
|
| |
Ben Carson |
n/a |
8 |
9 |
18 |
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
n/a |
5 |
3 |
5 |
|
| |
Chris Christie |
n/a |
3 |
2 |
3 |
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
n/a |
3 |
2 |
4 |
|
| |
Rand Paul |
n/a |
2 |
2 |
4 |
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
n/a |
1 |
2 |
6 |
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
n/a |
1 |
- |
0 |
|
| |
Jim Gilmore |
n/a |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
| |
George Pataki |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
- |
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8/31 -
9/2/15 |
7/30 -
8/2/15 |
7/9-12/15 |
6/11-14/15 |
3/30 -
4/2/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
30 |
26 |
13 |
2 |
7 |
| |
Ben Carson |
18 |
5 |
6 |
11 |
7 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
8 |
12 |
15 |
9 |
13 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
8 |
6 |
9 |
5 |
11 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
5 |
4 |
6 |
9 |
5 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
4 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
4 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
| |
Scott Walker |
3 |
11 |
7 |
10 |
11 |
| |
Chris Christie |
2 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| |
Rand Paul |
2 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
| |
Rick Perry |
1 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
- |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
| |
George Pataki |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
0 |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
0 |
0 |
0 |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
0 |
1 |
- |
2 |
1 |
| |
Rick Santorum |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
| |
Other (vol.) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| |
No one (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| |
Unsure |
9 |
10 |
18 |
20 |
14 |
| |
John Bolton |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
0 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. March 3-6, 2016. N=400 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or
lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this
year: Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, or Donald Trump?"
If unsure:
"Which candidate are you leaning toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
34 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
25 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
18 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
13 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None (vol.) |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this
year: Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, or Donald Trump?" If unsure:
"Which candidate are you leaning toward?"
If not Cruz or Trump:
"What if the choice was just between Trump and Cruz? Who would you like to
see win?"
If unsure:
"Who do you lean toward?"
Options rotated
Combined responses: |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
54 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
41 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Neither (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this
year: Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, or Donald Trump?" If unsure:
"Which candidate are you leaning toward?"
If not Rubio or Trump: "What if the choice was just between Trump and
Rubio? Who would you like to see win?" If unsure: "Who do you lean
toward?"
Options rotated
Combined responses: |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
51 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
45 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Neither (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 3-6, 2016. N=397
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, if you had to choose between ONLY Donald Trump and
[see below] in the Republican primary for president, which one would you
favor?"
If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
2/14-16/16 |
1/9-13/16 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
40 |
40 |
43 |
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
57 |
56 |
51 |
|
|
| |
Neither (vol.) |
2 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
| |
Unsure |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
2/14-16/16 |
1/9-13/16 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
43 |
41 |
52 |
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
56 |
57 |
45 |
|
|
| |
Neither (vol.) |
- |
1 |
2 |
|
|
| |
Unsure |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
2/14-16/16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
40 |
52 |
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
57 |
44 |
|
|
|
| |
Neither (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Feb. 24-27, 2016. N=427 registered voters nationwide
who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican
primaries for president this year. After I read all the names, please tell me
which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone
else. Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio,
or Donald Trump."
Options rotated.
Note: Lindsey Graham not included in interviews conducted on Dec. 21, 2015. |
| |
|
|
|
2/24-27/16 |
1/21-24/16 |
12/17-21/15 |
11/27 -
12/1/15 |
10/14-17/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
49 |
41 |
39 |
36 |
27 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
16 |
8 |
10 |
12 |
8 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
15 |
19 |
18 |
16 |
4 |
| |
Ben Carson |
10 |
6 |
10 |
14 |
22 |
| |
John Kasich |
6 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| |
Someone else |
3 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
| |
None/No one (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
| |
Unsure |
1 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
n/a |
5 |
3 |
3 |
8 |
| |
Chris Christie |
n/a |
4 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
n/a |
3 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
| |
Rand Paul |
n/a |
3 |
4 |
1 |
5 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
n/a |
2 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
| |
Rick Santorum |
n/a |
- |
- |
- |
2 |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
n/a |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
- |
1 |
| |
George Pataki |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
- |
- |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
| |
|
|
|
9/17-19/15 |
9/4-8/15 |
8/13-16/15 |
7/22-25/15 |
6/26-28/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
24 |
32 |
24 |
18 |
12 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
15 |
3 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
| |
Ben Carson |
14 |
19 |
9 |
4 |
8 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
11 |
3 |
8 |
6 |
7 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
9 |
9 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
6 |
7 |
5 |
7 |
3 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
6 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
| |
Rand Paul |
4 |
3 |
6 |
6 |
8 |
| |
Chris Christie |
3 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
2 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
| |
Rick Santorum |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
- |
- |
- |
- |
n/a |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
- |
1 |
- |
1 |
1 |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
- |
1 |
- |
2 |
2 |
| |
George Pataki |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
- |
| |
Scott Walker |
- |
5 |
8 |
10 |
6 |
| |
Someone else |
- |
3 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
| |
None/No one (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
| |
Unsure |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
| |
Rick Perry |
n/a |
- |
2 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Feb. 14-16, 2016. N=400
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, if you had to choose between ONLY Donald Trump and
[see below]
in the
Republican primary for president, which one would you favor?"
If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
54 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
43 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Neither (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Suffolk University/USA Today. Feb. 11-15, 2016. N=358 likely voters
nationwide who say they will participate in the Republican presidential
primary or caucus in their state. Margin of error ± 5.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president of the United States were held
today, who would be your first choice to win the Republican nomination:
[see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
2/11-15/16 |
12/2-6/15 |
9/24-28/15 |
7/9-12/15 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
Donald Trump |
35 |
27 |
23 |
17 |
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
20 |
17 |
6 |
6 |
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
17 |
16 |
9 |
5 |
|
| |
John Kasich |
7 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
6 |
4 |
8 |
14 |
|
| |
Ben Carson |
4 |
10 |
13 |
4 |
|
| |
Other |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
|
| |
Unsure |
12 |
17 |
18 |
30 |
|
| |
Rand Paul |
n/a |
2 |
2 |
4 |
|
| |
Chris Christie |
n/a |
2 |
1 |
3 |
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
n/a |
1 |
2 |
4 |
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
n/a |
1 |
13 |
1 |
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
n/a |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
| |
Jim Gilmore |
n/a |
0 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
n/a |
0 |
1 |
- |
|
| |
George Pataki |
n/a |
0 |
0 |
- |
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
|
| |
Scott Walker |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
8 |
|
| |
Rick Perry |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University. Feb. 10-15, 2016. N=602 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the
candidates were
[see below], for whom would you vote?"
9/15: Results include second choice preferences of Walker supporters. |
| |
|
|
|
2/10-15/16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
39 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
19 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
18 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure/No answer |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
2/2-4/16 |
12/16-20/15 |
11/23-30/15 |
10/29 -
11/2/15 |
9/17-21/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
31 |
28 |
27 |
24 |
25 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
22 |
24 |
16 |
13 |
7 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
19 |
12 |
17 |
14 |
9 |
| |
Ben Carson |
6 |
10 |
16 |
23 |
17 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
3 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
10 |
| |
Chris Christie |
3 |
6 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
| |
John Kasich |
3 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
12 |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| |
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
- |
1 |
- |
- |
| |
Unsure/No answer |
9 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
| |
Rand Paul |
n/a |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| |
Rick Santorum |
n/a |
1 |
- |
1 |
- |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
n/a |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| |
George Pataki |
n/a |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
- |
| |
|
|
|
8/20-25/15 |
7/23-28/15 |
5/19-26/15 |
4/16-21/15 |
2/26 -
3/2/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
28 |
20 |
5 |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Ben Carson |
12 |
6 |
10 |
3 |
7 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
7 |
10 |
10 |
13 |
16 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
7 |
5 |
6 |
9 |
6 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
7 |
6 |
10 |
15 |
5 |
| |
Scott Walker |
6 |
13 |
10 |
11 |
18 |
| |
John Kasich |
5 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
5 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
n/a |
| |
Chris Christie |
4 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
8 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
3 |
6 |
10 |
7 |
8 |
| |
Rand Paul |
2 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
6 |
| |
Rick Santorum |
1 |
1 |
- |
2 |
2 |
| |
Rick Perry |
1 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
- |
- |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
- |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| |
George Pataki |
- |
1 |
- |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
- |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
| |
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| |
Unsure/No answer |
11 |
12 |
20 |
14 |
17 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 21-24, 2016. N=356 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or
lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of candidates for the Republican
nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential
primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you
vote: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Which candidate would you lean toward?" |
| |
|
|
|
1/21-24/16 |
12/10-13/15 |
11/16-19/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
37 |
38 |
32 |
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
21 |
15 |
8 |
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
11 |
12 |
11 |
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
7 |
12 |
22 |
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
5 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
4 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
3 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
2 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
- |
- |
1 |
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
- |
- |
|
|
| |
None of these (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
| |
Would not vote (vol.) |
0 |
0 |
1 |
|
|
| |
Unsure |
5 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
|
|
| |
George Pataki |
n/a |
0 |
- |
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
n/a |
n/a |
0 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10/15-18/15 |
9/7-10/15 |
7/16-19/15 |
5/28-31/15 |
3/26-29/15 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Donald Trump |
32 |
33 |
24 |
4 |
n/a |
| |
Ben Carson |
22 |
20 |
6 |
8 |
6 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
10 |
7 |
7 |
10 |
8 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
7 |
8 |
12 |
10 |
21 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
6 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
12 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
5 |
2 |
- |
2 |
1 |
| |
Chris Christie |
3 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
7 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
3 |
3 |
8 |
9 |
8 |
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
| |
Rand Paul |
2 |
5 |
6 |
11 |
8 |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
| |
George Pataki |
1 |
- |
1 |
1 |
n/a |
| |
Rick Santorum |
- |
1 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
0 |
1 |
2 |
- |
1 |
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
| |
None of these (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
| |
Would not vote (vol.) |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| |
Unsure |
2 |
3 |
2 |
5 |
4 |
| |
Scott Walker |
n/a |
2 |
13 |
11 |
13 |
| |
Rick Perry |
n/a |
1 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
| |
Jim Gilmore |
n/a |
0 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
Public Religion Research Institute. Jan. 20-24, 2016. N=215
registered Republicans nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which of the following Republican candidates would you most like to see as
the Republican Party's 2016 nominee for president:
[see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
1/20-24/16 |
12/2-6/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
33 |
22 |
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
14 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
14 |
17 |
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
12 |
12 |
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
5 |
9 |
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Other/Unsure/Refused |
14 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Jan. 9-13, 2016. N=400
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now if you had to choose between ONLY the following candidates running for
the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor:
[see below]?"
If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
1/9-13/16 |
12/6-9/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
36 |
30 |
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
25 |
24 |
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
19 |
21 |
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
12 |
13 |
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
7 |
9 |
|
|
|
| |
None (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
- |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Dec. 16-17, 2015. N=402 likely Republican primary
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you support for the nomination if the only Republican candidates
running were [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
12/16-17/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
41 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
25 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
17 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
12 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None of above (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Nov. 15-17, 2015. N=379 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean to
the Republican Party. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of the following Republicans would be your first choice for
president:
[see below]?"
Options rotated 11/15: Jindal supporters allocated based on 2nd choice. |
| |
|
|
|
11/15-17/15 |
9/18-21/15 |
7/30 -
8/2/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
24 |
21 |
21 |
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
20 |
16 |
5 |
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
12 |
8 |
6 |
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
9 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
6 |
13 |
10 |
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
3 |
11 |
1 |
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
3 |
3 |
7 |
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
3 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
3 |
2 |
5 |
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
|
| |
George Pataki |
1 |
- |
- |
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
| |
Uncommitted |
5 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
| |
Unsure |
7 |
5 |
12 |
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
n/a |
1 |
8 |
|
|
| |
Jim Gilmore |
n/a |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind. Oct. 1-5, 2015. N=305
registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean to the Republican
Party. Margin of error ± 5.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read you a list of current and prospective candidates for the
Republican nomination for president. If the election were held today, who
would you vote for:
[see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
26 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
22 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
- |
|
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
- |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jim Gilmore |
0 |
|
|
|
|
| |
George Pataki |
0 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure/Refused |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pew Research Center. Sept. 22-27, 2015. N=496 potential Republican
primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, who would be your first
choice for the Republican nomination for president?"
Open-ended. One response accepted. |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
25 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
16 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
- |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
- |
|
|
|
|
| |
George Pataki |
0 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jim Gilmore |
0 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None (vol.) |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
17 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Refused |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. Aug. 31-Sept. 2, 2015. N=366 registered
voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ±
5.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you vote for if the only two candidates for the Republican
nomination were Donald Trump and Jeb Bush?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Jeb
Bush |
No one
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
8/31 - 9/2/15 |
56 |
37 |
5 |
2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you vote for if the only two candidates for the Republican
nomination were Donald Trump and [see below]?" Asked of random
half samples, margin of error ± 7.3. |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Ben
Carson |
No one
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
8/31 - 9/2/15 |
36 |
55 |
1 |
8 |
|
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Marco
Rubio |
No one
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
8/31 - 9/2/15 |
52 |
38 |
1 |
9 |
|
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Chris
Christie |
No one
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
8/31 - 9/2/15 |
63 |
30 |
2 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
John
Kasich |
No one
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
8/31 - 9/2/15 |
62 |
29 |
3 |
7 |
|
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Ted
Cruz |
No one
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
8/31 - 9/2/15 |
48 |
41 |
4 |
7 |
|
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Carly
Fiorina |
No one
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
8/31 - 9/2/15 |
50 |
37 |
5 |
8 |
|
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Scott
Walker |
No one
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
8/31 - 9/2/15 |
53 |
38 |
3 |
6 |
|
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Rand
Paul |
No one
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
8/31 - 9/2/15 |
60 |
27 |
5 |
8 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. May 29-31, 2015. N=483 Republicans and independents
who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican
primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me
which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone
else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey
Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul,
Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump or Scott Walker."
Options rotated.
Note: Nov. 2014 results show second choice of respondents who initially
supported Mitt Romney when his name was included in the list. |
| |
|
|
|
5/29-31/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
14 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
13 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
George Pataki |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Someone else |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None/No one (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
4/16-19/15 |
3/13-15/15 |
2/12-15/15 |
12/18-21/14 |
11/21-23/14 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Jeb Bush |
17 |
16 |
14 |
23 |
14 |
| |
Scott Walker |
12 |
13 |
11 |
4 |
5 |
| |
Rand Paul |
11 |
12 |
10 |
6 |
8 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
11 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
3 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
9 |
10 |
16 |
6 |
10 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
7 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
| |
Ben Carson |
4 |
9 |
8 |
7 |
11 |
| |
Chris Christie |
4 |
7 |
7 |
13 |
9 |
| |
Rick Perry |
3 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| |
Rick Santorum |
3 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
| |
Carly Fiorina |
2 |
- |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Lindsey Graham |
2 |
1 |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
2 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
| |
George Pataki |
- |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Someone else |
5 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
| |
None/No one (vol.) |
5 |
6 |
7 |
5 |
2 |
| |
Unsure |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
| |
Paul Ryan |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
5 |
9 |
| |
Mike Pence |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
1 |
| |
Rob Portman |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
- |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 26-30, 2015. N=251
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"And, still thinking about people who might seek the Republican nomination
for president in 2016. If the next Republican primary for president were
being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor?"
If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
23 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
18 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
14 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University. April 16-21, 2015. N=567 registered voters
nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the
candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly
Fiorina, Lindsey
Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry,
Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
4/16-21/15 |
2/26 -
3/2/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
15 |
5 |
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
13 |
16 |
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
11 |
18 |
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
9 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
8 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
7 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
7 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
3 |
7 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
3 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
1 |
n/a |
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure/No answer |
14 |
17 |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Without Bush (Bush
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice): |
| |
|
|
|
4/16-21/15 |
2/26 -
3/2/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
18 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
12 |
20 |
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
9 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
8 |
10 |
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
8 |
9 |
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
8 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
4 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
3 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
2 |
n/a |
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure/No answer |
15 |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. April 6-8,
2015. N=655 Republicans and independents nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to name some of the people considering running for the Republican
nomination for president, including some names I've already mentioned. For
each, please tell me if this is someone you would seriously consider
supporting, might consider, or would never consider supporting this person.
..." |
| |
|
|
|
Would
seriously
consider |
Might
consider |
Would
never
consider |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
"John Bolton, former U.S.
ambassador to the U.N." |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
5 |
35 |
33 |
27 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Jeb Bush" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
14 |
38 |
42 |
6 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Ben Carson, retired
neurosurgeon from Maryland" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
15 |
31 |
30 |
24 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Chris Christie" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
8 |
40 |
42 |
10 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Ted Cruz" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
15 |
35 |
36 |
14 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Carly Fiorina, former CEO of
Hewlett-Packard and candidate for U.S. Senate in California" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
7 |
31 |
35 |
27 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Lindsey Graham, U.S. senator
from South Carolina" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
4 |
31 |
44 |
21 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Mike Huckabee, former
governor of Arkansas" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
15 |
40 |
36 |
9 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Bobby Jindal, governor of
Louisiana" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
10 |
34 |
31 |
25 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"John Kasich, governor of
Ohio" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
6 |
35 |
27 |
32 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"George Pataki, former
governor of New York" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
3 |
29 |
45 |
23 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Rand Paul" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
17 |
41 |
33 |
9 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Mike Pence, governor of
Indiana" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
3 |
29 |
36 |
32 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Rick Perry, former governor
of Texas" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
13 |
41 |
37 |
9 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Marco Rubio" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
12 |
41 |
28 |
19 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Rick Santorum, former U.S.
senator from Pennsylvania" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
7 |
37 |
38 |
18 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Donald Trump, a businessman
from New York" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
9 |
26 |
62 |
3 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Scott Walker" |
| |
4/6-8/15 |
16 |
33 |
26 |
25 |
|
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. March 30-April 2, 2015. N=355 registered
voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ±
5.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you support for the
Republican nomination for president if the candidates were [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
13 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Bolton |
0 |
|
|
|
|
| |
George Pataki |
0 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
No one (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
14 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were [see
below], who would you choose?" N=175 (Form A), margin of error ± 7.4 |
| |
|
|
|
Scott
Walker |
Jeb Bush |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
3/30 - 4/2/15 |
46 |
42 |
5 |
7 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Scott
Walker |
Chris
Christie |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
3/30 - 4/2/15 |
58 |
26 |
6 |
10 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
Chris
Christie |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
3/30 - 4/2/15 |
54 |
28 |
12 |
6 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were [see
below], who would you choose?" N=180 (Form B), margin of error ± 7.3 |
| |
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
Scott
Walker |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
3/30 - 4/2/15 |
41 |
36 |
11 |
12 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
Ted Cruz |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
3/30 - 4/2/15 |
49 |
40 |
6 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
Chris
Christie |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
3/30 - 4/2/15 |
55 |
30 |
9 |
6 |
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). March 29-31, 2015. N=379 likely Republican primary
voters nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican
presidential nominee. [See below.]" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
15 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
12 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
George Pataki |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
- |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None of the above (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Without Bush (Bush supporters
allocated based on 2nd choice): |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
16 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
12 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
George Pataki |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
- |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None of the above (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Without Walker (Walker
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice): |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
13 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
13 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Carly Fiorina |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
George Pataki |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
- |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None of the above (vol.) |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 1-5, 2015. N=229
Republican presidential primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who might seek the Republican
nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no,
whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican
nomination for president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just
say so. ..." |
| |
|
|
|
Yes, could
support |
No, could
not support |
Don't know
the name |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
"Marco Rubio" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
56 |
26 |
14 |
4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Scott Walker" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
53 |
17 |
27 |
3 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Mike Huckabee" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
52 |
40 |
3 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Jeb Bush" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
49 |
42 |
4 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Rand Paul" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
49 |
40 |
8 |
3 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Rick Perry" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
45 |
40 |
9 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Ben Carson" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
41 |
18 |
38 |
3 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Ted Cruz" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
40 |
38 |
18 |
4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Rick Santorum" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
40 |
40 |
16 |
4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Bobby Jindal" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
36 |
25 |
36 |
3 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Chris Christie" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
32 |
57 |
7 |
4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Donald Trump" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
23 |
74 |
1 |
2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Lindsey Graham" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
20 |
51 |
24 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Carly Fiorina" |
| |
3/1-5/15 |
18 |
25 |
54 |
3 |
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Jan. 25-27, 2015. N=394 Republican registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican
presidential nominee. [See below.]" |
| |
|
|
|
1/25-27/15 |
12/7-9/14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Mitt Romney |
21 |
19 |
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
11 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
11 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
9 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
8 |
7 |
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
4 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
1 |
n/a |
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
| |
None of the above (vol.) |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
5 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
n/a |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Without Romney (Romney
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice): |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
15 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
13 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
13 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Lindsey Graham |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None of the above (vol.) |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Dec. 11-14, 2014. N=410 registered
voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ±
5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican
nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential
primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you
vote: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Which candidate would you lean toward?" |
| |
|
|
|
12/11-14/14 |
10/9-12/14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Mitt Romney |
21 |
21 |
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
9 |
9 |
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
8 |
5 |
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
7 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
6 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
6 |
3 |
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
6 |
10 |
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
5 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
4 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
None of these (vol.) |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
6 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican
nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential
primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you
vote: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Which candidate would you lean toward?"
Asked of Romney supporters:
"If Romney does not run for president, for whom would you vote?" If
unsure:
"Which candidate would you lean toward?" Combined responses, excluding
Romney. |
| |
|
|
|
12/11-14/14 |
10/9-12/14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
14 |
13 |
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
11 |
9 |
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
10 |
12 |
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
8 |
7 |
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
8 |
4 |
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
7 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
7 |
12 |
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
7 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
7 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
None of these (vol.) |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
6 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. Dec. 10-14, 2014. N=399 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you like to see as the
Republican nominee for president?"
Open-ended |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mitt Romney |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
No one |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Dec. 3-9, 2014. N=360 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Paul Ryan |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Scott Walker |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
John Kasich |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Carly Fiorina |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
13 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Without Romney: |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Paul Ryan |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Scott Walker |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
John Kasich |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Carly Fiorina |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 21-23, 2014. N=510 Republicans and independents
who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican
primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me
which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone
else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby
Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Mike Pence, Rick Perry, Rob Portman, Mitt
Romney, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rick Santorum, or Scott Walker."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mitt Romney |
20 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Pence |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rob Portman |
- |
|
|
|
|
| |
Someone else |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None/No one (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure/No answer |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University. Nov. 18-23, 2014. N=707 registered voters
nationwide who are
Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 3.7. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the
candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mitt Romney |
19 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rob Portman |
- |
|
|
|
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure/No answer |
16 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Without Romney (Romney
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice): |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
14 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ben Carson |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rob Portman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure/No answer |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 24-29, 2014. N=376 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
9/24-29/14 |
8/4-7/14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
15 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
13 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Paul Ryan |
13 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
12 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
7 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
6 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
4 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Scott Walker |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
21 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). July 20-22, 2014. N=358 Republican registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican
presidential nominee. [See below.]" |
| |
|
|
|
7/20-22/14 |
4/13-15/14 |
12/14-16/13 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
12 |
14 |
12 |
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
12 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
11 |
14 |
11 |
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
10 |
15 |
16 |
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
9 |
9 |
12 |
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
9 |
8 |
8 |
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
9 |
7 |
12 |
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
4 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
4 |
2 |
n/a |
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
3 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
| |
None of the above (vol.) |
4 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
| |
Unsure |
6 |
9 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2014. N=470 Republicans and
independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican
primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me
which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone
else. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie,
Texas Senator Ted Cruz, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, Texas Governor Rick
Perry, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, former
Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee
or Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker." Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
7/18-20/14 |
5/29 -
6/1/14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
13 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
12 |
14 |
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
12 |
11 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
11 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
11 |
10 |
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
8 |
12 |
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
8 |
9 |
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
6 |
8 |
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
5 |
5 |
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
6 |
6 |
|
|
|
| |
None/No one (vol.) |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5/2-4/14 |
3/7-9/14 |
1/31 -
2/2/14 |
11/18-20/13 |
9/6-8/13 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Jeb Bush |
13 |
9 |
10 |
6 |
10 |
| |
Rand Paul |
13 |
16 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
| |
Paul Ryan |
12 |
15 |
9 |
11 |
16 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
10 |
10 |
14 |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Chris Christie |
9 |
8 |
10 |
24 |
17 |
| |
Rick Perry |
8 |
11 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
| |
Ted Cruz |
7 |
8 |
8 |
10 |
7 |
| |
Scott Walker |
7 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Marco Rubio |
6 |
5 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
| |
Rick Santorum |
2 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
4 |
6 |
8 |
6 |
6 |
| |
None/No one (vol.) |
4 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
| |
Unsure |
7 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
Quinnipiac University. June 24-30, 2014. N=620 registered voters
nationwide who are
Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 3.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the
candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
6/24-30/14 |
1/15-19/14 |
12/3-9/13 |
9/23-29/13 |
3/26 -
4/1/13 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
Rand Paul |
11 |
13 |
14 |
17 |
15 |
| |
Jeb Bush |
10 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
| |
Chris Christie |
10 |
12 |
17 |
13 |
14 |
| |
Mike Huckabee |
10 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Ted Cruz |
8 |
9 |
13 |
10 |
n/a |
| |
Paul Ryan |
8 |
13 |
9 |
10 |
17 |
| |
Scott Walker |
8 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
| |
Marco Rubio |
6 |
8 |
7 |
12 |
19 |
| |
Rick Perry |
3 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
John Kasich |
2 |
2 |
2 |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Rick Santorum |
2 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
- |
- |
2 |
- |
1 |
| |
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
| |
Unsure/No answer |
20 |
22 |
17 |
19 |
18 |
| |
Bob McDonnell |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 24-27, 2014. N=424 Republican
and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican
nomination for president in 2016. After you hear the list, please tell me,
if the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If
unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
15 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
14 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
12 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
12 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None of these (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. April 7-10, 2014. N=416 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.8. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
4/7-10/14 |
2/4-9/14 |
12/3-5/13 |
7/15-18/13 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
13 |
13 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
13 |
8 |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
12 |
9 |
12 |
9 |
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
12 |
13 |
18 |
15 |
|
|
|
Paul Ryan |
12 |
9 |
11 |
13 |
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
7 |
12 |
7 |
12 |
|
|
|
Scott Walker |
5 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
4 |
5 |
10 |
7 |
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
4 |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
3 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
John Kasich |
- |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
|
Unsure |
14 |
12 |
13 |
25 |
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
n/a |
8 |
8 |
n/a |
|
|
|
Susana Martinez |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Feb. 4-9, 2014. N=403 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
15 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Huckabee |
15 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
13 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
12 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 20-23, 2014. N=1,003 adults
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or
lean Republican. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state was
being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would
you vote?" If unsure:
"Which candidate would you lean toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
18 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
18 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
14 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
12 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
None of these (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Would not vote (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Marist Poll. Jan. 12-14, 2014. N=385 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
16 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
12 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
25 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Without Christie: |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Paul Ryan |
15 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rand Paul |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Perry |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Scott Walker |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bobby Jindal |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
26 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
International. Nov. 7-10, 2013. N=394 Republicans and independents who lean
Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.8. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary were held today and Chris
Christie were running, do you think you would vote for Chris Christie or for
another Republican candidate?" |
| |
|
|
|
Chris
Christie |
Another
candidate |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
11/7-10/13 |
32 |
31 |
1 |
35 |
1 |
|
|
Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind. April 22-28, 2013. N=323
Republicans and voters who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ±
5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I know it's early, but if the election for president were held today, which
of the following people would you like to see as the Republican candidate:
Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or someone else?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Marco Rubio |
18 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jeb Bush |
16 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
14 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Rick Santorum |
9 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Other |
21 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
21 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Refused |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Dec. 17-18, 2012. N=290 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run for the
Republican presidential nomination in 2016. For each one, please tell me
whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not
likely at all to support them if they decide to run for the Republican
nomination four years from now. . . ." |
| |
|
|
|
Very
likely |
Somewhat
likely |
Not very
likely |
Not likely
at all |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
"Wisconsin Congressman Paul
Ryan" |
| |
12/17-18/12 |
32 |
43 |
12 |
10 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Florida Senator Marco Rubio" |
| |
12/17-18/12 |
28 |
30 |
17 |
16 |
9 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"New Jersey Governor Chris
Christie" |
| |
12/17-18/12 |
23 |
36 |
21 |
16 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Kentucky Senator Rand Paul" |
| |
12/17-18/12 |
19 |
29 |
25 |
22 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Former Florida Governor Jeb
Bush" |
| |
12/17-18/12 |
13 |
38 |
23 |
24 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
"Former Pennsylvania Senator
Rick Santorum" |
| |
12/17-18/12 |
10 |
38 |
28 |
21 |
3 |
|
|
