CNN/ORC Poll. July 28, 2016. N=455 registered voters nationwide
who watched Hillary Clinton's Democratic convention acceptance speech.
Margin of error ± 4.5.
Per CNN: "Survey respondents were first interviewed as part of a random
national sample conducted July 22-28, 2016. In those interviews, respondents
indicated they were registered to vote, planned to watch tonight's speech
and were willing to be re-interviewed after the speech. ... 14% of the
respondents who participated in tonight's survey identified themselves as
Republicans, 56% identified themselves as Democrats, and 30% identified
themselves as independents. ... This poll does not and cannot reflect the
views of all Americans. It only represents the views of people who watched
the speech. ... The audience for this speech is more Democratic than the
U.S. population as a whole, which is typical for viewers of a Democratic
convention." |
|
"What was your overall reaction to Hillary Clinton's speech tonight: very
positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative?" |
|
|
|
Speech-watchers |
|
|
|
Very
postive |
Somewhat
positive |
Somewhat
negative |
Very
negative |
Both/
Mixed (vol.) |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/28/16 |
71 |
15 |
7 |
5 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think the policies being proposed by Hillary Clinton will move the
country in the right direction or the wrong direction?" |
|
|
|
Speech-watchers |
|
|
|
|
|
Right
direction |
Wrong
direction |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/28/16 |
82 |
16 |
2 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. July 22-24, 2016. N=882 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If it were up to you, who would you rather have seen the Republican Party
choose as its nominee for president: Donald Trump or someone else?"
N=431 registered voters who are Republicans or lean Republican; margin of
error ± 4.5 |
|
|
|
--- Republicans and leaners --- |
|
|
|
|
|
Trump |
Someone
else |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/22-24/16 |
54 |
45 |
1 |
|
|
|
7/13-16/16 |
56 |
44 |
1 |
|
|
|
6/16-19/16 |
51 |
48 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Does what you saw or read of the Republican National Convention in
Cleveland make you more likely or less likely to vote for Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
More
likely |
Less
likely |
No
difference
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/22-24/16 |
42 |
44 |
11 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"At their convention, do you think the Republicans maintained the right
balance between criticizing the Democrats and saying positive things about
themselves, or do you think they spent too much time criticizing the
Democrats?" |
|
|
|
Maintained
the right
balance |
Too much
time
criticizing |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/22-24/16 |
35 |
58 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"From what you have heard or read, how would you rate Donald Trump's
acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention on Thursday night --
as excellent, good, just okay, poor, or terrible?" |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Excellent |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
Good |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Just okay |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Poor |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Terrible |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Didn't see (vol.) |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How would you rate Clinton's choice of Tim Kaine for vice president? Would
you rate this choice as excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"
N=640 registered voters; margin of error ± 4 |
|
|
|
Excellent |
Pretty
good |
Only
fair |
Poor |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/22-24/16 |
13 |
33 |
27 |
15 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Does having Tim Kaine as her running mate make you more likely to vote for
Clinton in November, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your
vote?"
N=640 registered voters; margin of error ± 4 |
|
|
|
More
likely |
Less
likely |
Not much
effect |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/22-24/16 |
13 |
8 |
78 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Based on what you know about Tim Kaine, do you think he is qualified to
serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?"
N=640 registered voters; margin of error ± 4 |
|
|
|
Is
qualified |
Is not
qualified |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/22-24/16 |
52 |
33 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Clinton's choice of Tim Kaine reflects favorably or
unfavorably on Clinton's ability to make important presidential decisions?"
N=640 registered voters; margin of error ± 4 |
|
|
|
Favorably |
Unfavorably |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/22-24/16 |
56 |
32 |
12 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. July 21, 2016. N=460 registered voters nationwide
who watched Donald Trump's Republican convention acceptance speech.
Margin of error ± 4.5.
Per CNN: "Survey respondents were first interviewed as part of a random
national sample conducted July 13-20, 2016. In those interviews, respondents
indicated they were registered to vote, planned to watch tonight's speech
and were willing to be re-interviewed after the speech. ... 41% of the
respondents who participated in tonight's survey identified themselves as
Republicans, 23% identified themselves as Democrats, and 36% identified
themselves as independents. ... This poll does not and cannot reflect the
views of all Americans. It only represents the views of people who watched
the speech. ... The audience for this speech is more Republican than the
U.S. population as a whole, which is typical for viewers of a Republican
convention." |
|
"What was your overall reaction to Donald Trump's speech tonight: very
positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative?" |
|
|
|
Speech-watchers |
|
|
|
Very
postive |
Somewhat
positive |
Somewhat
negative |
Very
negative |
Both/
Mixed (vol.) |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/21/16 |
57 |
18 |
9 |
15 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think the policies being proposed by Donald Trump will move the
country in the right direction or the wrong direction?" |
|
|
|
Speech-watchers |
|
|
|
|
|
Right
direction |
Wrong
direction |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/21/16 |
73 |
24 |
3 |
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. July 15-16, 2016. N=901 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As you may know, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has
selected Indiana governor Mike Pence as his vice presidential running mate.
How would you rate Donald Trump's choice of Mike Pence for vice president?
Would you rate this choice as excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?" |
|
|
|
Excellent |
Pretty
good |
Only
fair |
Poor |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/15-16/16 |
13 |
24 |
23 |
22 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Based on what you know about Mike Pence, do you think he is qualified to
serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?" |
|
|
|
Yes,
qualified |
No, not
qualified |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/15-16/16 |
46 |
33 |
22 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. July 13-16, 2016. N=872 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if
you think Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would better handle that issue if
they were elected president. ..." |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Donald
Trump |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
"Abortion" |
|
7/13-16/16 |
55 |
34 |
9 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say
whether you think each one applies or doesn't apply to Hillary Clinton. ..." |
|
|
|
Applies |
Does not
apply |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
"Is sincere in what she says"
N=438 (Version A) |
|
7/13-16/16 |
41 |
59 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say
whether you think each one applies or doesn't apply to Donald Trump. ..." |
|
|
|
Applies |
Does not
apply |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
"Is sincere in what he says"
N=438 (Version A) |
|
7/13-16/16 |
49 |
51 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How would you rate Trump's choice of Mike Pence for vice president? Would
you rate this choice as excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"
N=579; margin of error ± 4 |
|
|
|
Excellent |
Pretty
good |
Only
fair |
Poor |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/14-16/16 |
12 |
31 |
26 |
20 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Does having Mike Pence as his running mate make you more likely to vote for
Trump in November, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your
vote?"
N=579; margin of error ± 4 |
|
|
|
More
likely |
Less
likely |
Not much
effect |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/14-16/16 |
14 |
7 |
79 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Based on what you know about Mike Pence, do you think he is qualified to
serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?"
N=579; margin of error ± 4 |
|
|
|
Is
qualified |
Is not
qualified |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/14-16/16 |
53 |
33 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Trump's choice of Mike Pence reflects favorably or unfavorably
on Trump's ability to make important presidential decisions?"
N=579; margin of error ± 4 |
|
|
|
Favorably |
Unfavorably |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/14-16/16 |
57 |
35 |
9 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 11-14, 2016. N=1,003 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who do you think would do more to bring needed change to Washington:
Clinton or Trump?"
Options rotated.
Half sample B. |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/11-14/16 |
44 |
46 |
1 |
7 |
3 |
|
5/16-19/16 |
42 |
48 |
1 |
7 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who do you think better represents your own personal values: Clinton or
Trump?"
Options rotated.
Half sample B. |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/11-14/16 |
49 |
36 |
1 |
13 |
2 |
|
5/16-19/16 |
48 |
37 |
1 |
13 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who do you think has better judgment: Clinton or Trump?"
Options rotated.
Half sample B. |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/11-14/16 |
54 |
35 |
1 |
9 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who puts an
especially major focus on trying to improve race relations in this country,
or someone who does not put an especially major focus on this issue?" |
|
|
|
A major
focus |
Not a major
focus |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/11-14/16 |
83 |
12 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who
supports a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, or someone who
opposes it?" |
|
|
|
Supports |
Opposes |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/11-14/16 |
60 |
34 |
6 |
|
|
|
3/26-29/15 |
51 |
45 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who
supports trade agreements between the United States and other countries, or
someone who opposes them?" |
|
|
|
Supports |
Opposes |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/11-14/16 |
75 |
17 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who
supports legal abortion in most cases, or someone who opposes it in most
cases?" |
|
|
|
Supports |
Opposes |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/11-14/16 |
52 |
38 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who
supports stricter gun control laws, or someone who opposes them?" |
|
|
|
Supports |
Opposes |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/11-14/16 |
57 |
39 |
4 |
|
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. July 8-12, 2016. N=1,358 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do
a better job handling each of the following issues: Hillary Clinton or
Donald Trump? Which candidate would do a better job handling [see below]?" |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Donald
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"Illegal immigration" |
|
7/8-12/16 |
48 |
45 |
- |
4 |
3 |
|
6/9-13/16 |
51 |
43 |
- |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As you may know, the FBI did not recommend criminal charges in Hillary
Clinton's use of a personal email address and server for work while she was
secretary of state. How much confidence do you have that the FBI
investigation was independent and impartial: a lot, some, not much or none
at all?" |
|
|
|
A lot |
Some |
Not much |
None
at all |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
7/8-12/16 |
26 |
22 |
17 |
30 |
4 |
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 6-7, 2016. N=519 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As you may have heard, FBI Director James Comey has recommended NOT
charging Hillary Clinton with a crime for her use of personal email while
secretary of state, saying she did not have any criminal intent. He also
said Clinton was 'extremely careless' in her handling of classified
information in her personal email. Do you approve or disapprove of Comey's
recommendation that Clinton should NOT be charged with a crime?" |
|
|
|
Approve |
Disapprove |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/6-7/16 |
35 |
56 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Has the outcome of this issue made you more likely to support Clinton for
president, less likely, or won't it make any difference in your vote?" |
|
|
|
More
likely |
Less
likely |
No
difference |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/6-7/16 |
10 |
28 |
58 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Does this issue make you worry about how Clinton might handle her
responsibilities if she's elected president, or do you think it's not
related to how she might handle her responsibilities if elected?" |
|
|
|
Worry |
Not
related |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
7/6-7/16 |
57 |
39 |
3 |
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University. June 21-27, 2016. N=1,610 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better
job creating jobs: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
40 |
52 |
8 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
41 |
52 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better
job handling immigration issues: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
50 |
45 |
5 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
51 |
43 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would be most
effective against ISIS: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
39 |
52 |
9 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
41 |
49 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better
job responding to an international crisis: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
51 |
42 |
7 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
53 |
40 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who would you trust more to make the
right decision about sending American troops to fight overseas: Hillary
Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
46 |
44 |
10 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
46 |
44 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who would you trust more to make the
right decisions about the use of nuclear weapons: Hillary Clinton or Donald
Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
54 |
35 |
12 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
55 |
33 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better
job getting things done in Washington: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
46 |
43 |
11 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
48 |
45 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better
job defending freedom of speech and freedom of the press in the U.S.:
Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
47 |
45 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better
job reducing gun violence in the U.S.: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
46 |
38 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think is more honest and
trustworthy: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
37 |
45 |
18 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
39 |
44 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think is a stronger
leader: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
43 |
49 |
8 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
45 |
49 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think is better prepared
to be president: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
58 |
33 |
9 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
56 |
35 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think has higher moral
standards: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
46 |
37 |
17 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
47 |
36 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think is more intelligent:
Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/21-27/16 |
53 |
33 |
14 |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
51 |
37 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"In the wake of the recent Orlando shooting, Donald Trump has suggested that
President Obama may sympathize with terrorist organizations such as ISIS. Do
you agree or disagree with this idea?" |
|
|
|
Agree |
Disagree |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
29 |
65 |
6 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
55 |
33 |
11 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
4 |
94 |
1 |
|
|
|
Independents |
29 |
65 |
6 |
|
|
|
Pew Research Center. June 15-26, 2016. Nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As far as making progress on the important issues facing the country is
concerned, does it really matter who wins the 2016 presidential election, or
will things be pretty much the same regardless of who is elected president?" N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error ± 2.7 |
|
|
|
It really
matters
who wins |
Things will
be the same
regardless |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/15-26/16 |
74 |
22 |
4 |
|
|
|
9/12-16/12 |
76 |
20 |
4 |
|
|
|
6/7-17/12 |
63 |
34 |
3 |
|
|
|
10/08 |
72 |
24 |
4 |
|
|
|
9/08 |
70 |
24 |
6 |
|
|
|
6/08 |
63 |
32 |
5 |
|
|
|
6/04 |
67 |
29 |
4 |
|
|
|
3/04 |
70 |
26 |
4 |
|
|
|
6/00 |
50 |
44 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Just in general, how well do you think Hillary Clinton understands the
needs of people like you: very well, fairly well, not too well, or not at
all well?" N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error ± 2.7 |
|
|
|
Very
well |
Fairly
well |
Not too
well |
Not at all
well |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/15-26/16 |
17 |
30 |
19 |
32 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Just in general, how well do you think Donald Trump understands the needs
of people like you: very well, fairly well, not too well, or not at all
well?" N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error ± 2.7 |
|
|
|
Very
well |
Fairly
well |
Not too
well |
Not at all
well |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/15-26/16 |
15 |
22 |
18 |
44 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"And as I read a list of phrases, tell me if you think each phrase better
describes Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton. [See below.]
Does this better describe Trump or Clinton? ... What about [see below]?"
Candidate names rotated. N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error ± 2.7 |
|
|
|
Trump |
Clinton |
Neither
(vol.) |
Both
equally
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
"Honest and truthful" |
|
6/15-26/16 |
40 |
37 |
20 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
"Would use good judgment in a
crisis" |
|
6/15-26/16 |
36 |
53 |
8 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
"Personally qualified to be
president" |
|
6/15-26/16 |
30 |
56 |
12 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Hillary Clinton would change the way things work in Washington
for the better, would change the way things work in Washington for the
worse, or don't you think she would change things much either way?" N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error ± 2.7 |
|
|
|
Change things
for the better |
Change things
for the worse |
Wouldn't
change much |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/15-26/16 |
20 |
25 |
53 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Donald Trump would change the way things work in Washington
for the better, would change the way things work in Washington for the
worse, or don't you think he would change things much either way?" N=1,655 registered voters; margin of error ± 2.7 |
|
|
|
Change things
for the better |
Change things
for the worse |
Wouldn't
change much |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/15-26/16 |
33 |
44 |
21 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of who you support, which one of the presidential candidates --
Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton -- do you think would do the better job of
[see below]? ... And who do you think would do the better job of [see
below]?" IF RESPONDENT MENTIONS ANYONE OTHER THAN TRUMP OR CLINTON,
PROBE ONCE:
"If you had to choose between Trump or Clinton?"
Candidate names rotated. N=2,245 adults; margin of error ± 2.4 |
|
|
|
Trump |
Clinton |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
"Improving economic
conditions" |
|
6/15-26/16 |
45 |
45 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
|
"Dealing with gun policy" |
|
6/15-26/16 |
42 |
47 |
8 |
3 |
|
|
|
"Defending the country from
future terrorist attacks" |
|
6/15-26/16 |
46 |
43 |
8 |
3 |
|
|
|
"Dealing with immigration" |
|
6/15-26/16 |
39 |
53 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
|
"Selecting justices to serve
on the Supreme Court"
Form 1 (N=1,120) |
|
6/15-26/16 |
35 |
55 |
6 |
4 |
|
|
|
"Reducing the influence of
lobbyists and special interest groups in Washington"
Form 1 (N=1,120) |
|
6/15-26/16 |
44 |
35 |
15 |
6 |
|
|
|
"Making wise decisions about
foreign policy"
Form 1 (N=1,120) |
|
6/15-26/16 |
31 |
58 |
9 |
3 |
|
|
|
"Dealing with race relations"
Form 1 (N=1,120) |
|
6/15-26/16 |
23 |
68 |
6 |
4 |
|
|
|
"Managing the federal
government"
Form 2 (N=1,125) |
|
6/15-26/16 |
39 |
50 |
8 |
3 |
|
|
|
"Dealing with health care"
Form 2 (N=1,125) |
|
6/15-26/16 |
34 |
55 |
6 |
4 |
|
|
|
"Making wise decisions about
U.S. trade policies"
Form 2 (N=1,125) |
|
6/15-26/16 |
43 |
49 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
|
"Reflecting your views on
abortion"
Form 2 (N=1,125) |
|
6/15-26/16 |
28 |
54 |
8 |
10 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 20-23, 2016. N=1,001 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about Hillary Clinton as president – are you comfortable with
this, or does it make you anxious?" |
|
|
|
Comfortable |
Anxious |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/20-23/16 |
47 |
50 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about Donald Trump as president – are you comfortable with this,
or does it make you anxious?" |
|
|
|
Comfortable |
Anxious |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/20-23/16 |
27 |
70 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Overall, do you feel Trump is standing up for your beliefs, or against
them?" |
|
|
|
For them |
Against
them |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/20-23/16 |
36 |
56 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Trump has made some controversial comments about women, minorities and
Muslims. Do you think his comments indicate that he's unfairly biased
against any of these groups, or do his comments not indicate unfair bias?" |
|
|
|
Indicate
unfair bias |
Do not
indicate
unfair bias |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/20-23/16 |
66 |
29 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton is handling questions about
her use of personal e-mail while she was secretary of state?" |
|
|
|
Approve |
Disapprove |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/20-23/16 |
34 |
56 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you approve or disapprove of the way Trump is handling questions about
Trump University, the real estate workshops his company conducted from 2005
to 2010?" |
|
|
|
Approve |
Disapprove |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/20-23/16 |
19 |
59 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Trump has said that a federal judge who's hearing a lawsuit involving Trump
University might not be fair to him because the judge is of Mexican
heritage. Do you think this is a racist comment, or does it not seem racist
to you?" |
|
|
|
Racist |
Not racist |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/20-23/16 |
68 |
28 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of whether or not it's racist, do you think it's an appropriate
comment, or inappropriate?" |
|
|
|
Appropriate |
Inappropriate |
Neither/
Both (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/20-23/16 |
11 |
85 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the mass shooting in Orlando last week by a man who pledged
allegiance to the Islamic State, who do you think did a better job
responding to the attacks overall: Clinton or Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/20-23/16 |
46 |
28 |
1 |
7 |
17 |
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). June 19-23, 2016. N=1,000
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Putting aside for a moment the question of who each party's nominee might
be, what is your preference for the outcome of this year's presidential
election -- that a Democrat be elected president or that a Republican be
elected president?" |
|
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/19-23/16 |
45 |
42 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
5/15-19/16 |
47 |
43 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
4/10-14/16 |
46 |
45 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
46 |
42 |
4 |
8 |
|
|
2/14-16/16 |
45 |
45 |
3 |
7 |
|
|
1/9-13/16 |
46 |
43 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
12/6-9/15 |
44 |
44 |
5 |
7 |
|
|
10/25-29/15 |
43 |
44 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now I'd like you to compare Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on a few
issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Hillary Clinton
or Donald Trump would be better on that issue. If you think that both would
be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular item, just say
so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see below]:
Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you think that both would be equally
good or neither would be good?"
Some items asked of half the sample. |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Hillary
Clinton |
Equally
good |
Neither |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"The gun issue" |
|
6/19-23/16 |
43 |
35 |
2 |
18 |
2 |
|
"Now, let's compare Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton on a few personal
characteristics. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see
below]: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you think that both would
be equally good or neither would be good?" |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Hillary
Clinton |
Equally
good |
Neither |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"Being effective at getting things done" |
|
6/19-23/16 |
42 |
39 |
7 |
11 |
1 |
|
CNN/ORC Poll. June 16-19, 2016. N=891 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if
you think Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would better handle that issue if
they were elected president. ..." |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Donald
Trump |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
"Issues related to women's
equality"
Version A (N=447) |
|
6/16-19/16 |
69 |
26 |
5 |
- |
|
|
|
"Issues related to women's
rights"
Version B (N=444) |
|
6/16-19/16 |
70 |
23 |
6 |
1 |
|
|
|
"Issues related to gay and
lesbian rights" |
|
6/16-19/16 |
62 |
27 |
8 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say
whether you think each one applies more to Hillary Clinton or more to Donald
Trump. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not support him
or her. ..." |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Donald
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"Can handle the
responsibilities of commander in chief" |
|
6/16-19/16 |
51 |
39 |
2 |
7 |
1 |
|
3/17-20/16 |
55 |
36 |
2 |
7 |
- |
|
|
"Shares your values" |
|
6/16-19/16 |
44 |
38 |
1 |
17 |
1 |
|
|
"Exercises good judgment in a
crisis" |
|
6/16-19/16 |
48 |
35 |
1 |
13 |
2 |
|
CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). June 11-13, 2016. N=801
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now focusing on just two of the candidates running for president -- Which
candidate for president would you say has the better policies and approaches
to help each of the following: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which
candidate has the better policies and approaches to help [see below],
or would you say neither of these candidates has policies and approaches
that would help on this?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Neither |
Same
(vol.) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"Lower-income people" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
53 |
24 |
18 |
- |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"The middle class" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
43 |
32 |
17 |
2 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Small businesses" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
36 |
39 |
17 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Increase your wages"
Asked of employed respondents |
|
6/11-13/16 |
35 |
28 |
27 |
2 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Your personal financial situation" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
33 |
30 |
30 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Large corporations" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
23 |
54 |
11 |
5 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"The wealthy" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
22 |
54 |
10 |
7 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"And now thinking about some specific issues -- Which candidate would
you say has the better policies and approaches for each of the following:
Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which
candidate has the better policies and approaches for [see below], or
would you say neither of these candidates has policies and approaches that
are good on this?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Neither |
Same
(vol.) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"Dealing with leaders of other countries" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
55 |
26 |
14 |
- |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Health care" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
47 |
29 |
17 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Trade with other countries" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
44 |
35 |
14 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"The immigration system" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
42 |
36 |
16 |
1 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"The overall U.S. economy" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
39 |
38 |
17 |
1 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Dealing with terrorism and homeland security"
Asked June 13 only, N=408 |
|
6/11-13/16 |
38 |
40 |
15 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regulations on businesses" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
34 |
41 |
15 |
1 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"The budget deficit" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
33 |
42 |
17 |
- |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regulations on Wall Street and big banks" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
29 |
38 |
22 |
- |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Improving the performance of the stock market" |
|
6/11-13/16 |
26 |
42 |
19 |
1 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As you may know, Donald Trump has so far not made his tax returns public.
Which of the following comes closer to your point of view about this? Donald
Trump SHOULD release his tax returns because the public has a right to know
about his financial affairs if he is going to be president. Donald Trump
should NOT release his tax returns because his income and financial affairs
are no one's business but his own." |
|
|
|
He should
release |
He should
not release |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/11-13/16 |
62 |
31 |
7 |
|
|
|
Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 10-13,
2016. N=750 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read some phrases people often use to describe candidates. For
each, please indicate whether you think the phrase better describes Hillary
Clinton or Donald Trump. ... Would be a good guest in my home."
Candidate options rotated. |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/10-13/16 |
52 |
34 |
14 |
|
|
|
CBS News Poll. June 9-13, 2016. N=1,048 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote for president in 2016, who do you
expect to finally win the 2016 presidential election: Hillary Clinton or
Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Donald
Trump |
Depends
(vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
51 |
35 |
2 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do
a better job handling each of the following issues: Hillary Clinton or
Donald Trump? Which candidate would do a better job handling [see below]?" |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Donald
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"Gun policy" |
|
6/9-13/16 |
46 |
45 |
- |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Hillary Clinton generally shows good judgment, or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Mixed
(vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
43 |
52 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Hillary Clinton understands the needs and problems of people
like yourself, or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
45 |
53 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Hillary Clinton says what she believes most of the time, or
does she say what she thinks people want to hear?" |
|
|
|
What she
believes |
What people
want to hear |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
33 |
62 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Does Hillary Clinton make you feel inspired about the future of the
country, or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Sometimes
(vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
33 |
63 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Hillary Clinton eventually becomes president, do you think her
presidency would bring different groups of Americans together, or do you
think it would divide them?" |
|
|
|
Bring
together |
Divide |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
41 |
51 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Donald Trump generally shows good judgment, or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Mixed
(vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
25 |
69 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Donald Trump understands the needs and problems of people like
yourself, or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
31 |
66 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Donald Trump says what he believes most of the time, or does
he say what he thinks people want to hear?" |
|
|
|
What he
believes |
What people
want to hear |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
56 |
39 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Does Donald Trump make you feel inspired about the future of the country,
or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Sometimes
(vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
28 |
68 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Donald Trump eventually becomes president, do you think his presidency
would bring different groups of Americans together, or do you think it would
divide them?" |
|
|
|
Bring
together |
Divide |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/9-13/16 |
25 |
68 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"What do you think Republican leaders should do now? Support Donald Trump,
even if they disagree with him on important issues. OR, Not support Donald
Trump, if they disagree with him on important issues." |
|
|
|
Support
Trump |
Not support
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
42 |
53 |
5 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
74 |
22 |
4 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
18 |
77 |
5 |
|
|
|
Independents |
41 |
54 |
5 |
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University. May 24-30, 2016. N=1,561 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the candidates are Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who do you think
will win the presidential election this year?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
46 |
43 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think is more inspiring:
Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
39 |
48 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Donald Trump's refusal to release his tax returns is a
legitimate issue in this year's presidential election or not?" |
|
|
|
Legitimate |
Not
legitimate |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/24-30/16 |
46 |
51 |
3 |
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. May 18-22, 2016. N=1,530 adults nationwide. Margin of
error ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if
you think Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would better handle each of the
following issues. How about ... ?" |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Same (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
"The treatment of minority groups in this country" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
67 |
29 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Climate change" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
66 |
28 |
2 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Social issues such as gay marriage and abortion" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
64 |
31 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Education" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
61 |
35 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Foreign affairs" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
59 |
38 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Health care and the Affordable Care Act" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
56 |
40 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Immigration" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
52 |
44 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"The distribution of income and wealth in the U.S." |
|
5/18-22/16 |
51 |
43 |
2 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Trade with other nations" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
48 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Terrorism and national security" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
46 |
50 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Gun policy" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
45 |
50 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Employment and jobs" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
45 |
52 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Taxes" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
44 |
52 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"The economy" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
43 |
53 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Government regulation of Wall Street and banks" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
42 |
53 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"The size and efficiency of the federal government" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
41 |
55 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"The federal budget deficit" |
|
5/18-22/16 |
39 |
57 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 16-19, 2016. N=1,005 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of whom you support, if Clinton and Trump are the nominees for
president, who would you expect to win: Clinton or Trump?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/16-19/16 |
50 |
40 |
1 |
9 |
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
59 |
36 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
1/21-24/16 |
54 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who do you trust more to handle issues of special concern to women: Clinton or Trump?"
Options rotated.
Half sample B. |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
5/16-19/16 |
66 |
23 |
1 |
8 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who do you trust more to handle international relations: Clinton or Trump?"
Options rotated.
Half sample B. |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
5/16-19/16 |
56 |
33 |
1 |
7 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who do you think would do more to advance the economic interests of working
class people: Clinton or Trump?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
5/16-19/16 |
51 |
41 |
- |
6 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who do you think would do more to advance the economic interests of middle
class people: Clinton or Trump?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
5/16-19/16 |
50 |
40 |
1 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who do you think would do more to advance the economic interests of wealthy
people: Clinton or Trump?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Trump |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
5/16-19/16 |
25 |
65 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"All major presidential candidates in the last 40 years have publicly
released their tax returns before the election. Trump has said he may not do
this. Do you think Trump should release his tax returns before the November
election, or is it OK if he does not release his tax returns?" |
|
|
|
He should
release |
OK if he does
not release |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/16-19/16 |
64 |
31 |
5 |
|
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 13-17, 2016. N=1,109 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. Among registered voters, except
where noted. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of whom you support, who do you expect to finally win the
Democratic nomination for president in 2016:
[see below]?"
Options rotated
N=371 Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Bernie
Sanders |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
83 |
14 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
4/8-12/16 |
70 |
23 |
- |
7 |
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
72 |
23 |
- |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which comes closer to your opinion about the race for the Democratic
nomination? The long race for the nomination will help the Democrats in
November, because the nominee will have been tested and better prepared for
the general election. OR, The long race for the nomination will hurt the
Democrats in November, because the Democratic candidates have been
criticizing each other and that will weaken them for the general election."
N=371 Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
Help |
Hurt |
No effect
(vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
59 |
34 |
2 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think the process for selecting a Democratic presidential nominee
this year has been fair, or not fair?" N=371 Democratic primary voters;
margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
Fair |
Not fair |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
68 |
29 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think the process for selecting a Republican presidential nominee
this year has been fair, or not fair?" N=379 Republican primary voters |
|
|
|
Fair |
Not fair |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
61 |
30 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the two parties' candidates for the
presidency in November, would you be satisfied choosing between them or
would you like other choices?" |
|
|
|
Would be
satisfied |
Would like
other choices |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
46 |
52 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think of Hillary Clinton as more of a liberal, moderate, or a
conservative?" |
|
|
|
Liberal |
Moderate |
Conservative |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
51 |
29 |
12 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Hillary Clinton is elected president, do you think that will make the
United States' image in the world better, make it worse, or will it have no
effect on the United States' image in the world?" |
|
|
|
Better |
Worse |
No effect |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
27 |
35 |
34 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think of Donald Trump as more of a liberal, moderate, or a
conservative?" |
|
|
|
Liberal |
Moderate |
Conservative |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
16 |
37 |
34 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Donald Trump is elected president, do you think that will make the
United States' image in the world better, make it worse, or will it have no
effect on the United States' image in the world?" |
|
|
|
Better |
Worse |
No effect |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
25 |
61 |
10 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Donald Trump will be able to unite the Republican Party, or
not?" |
|
|
|
Will |
Will not |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
32 |
63 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee, do you think she will be able
to unite the Democratic Party, or not?" |
|
|
|
Will |
Will not |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
67 |
29 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Bernie Sanders is the Democratic nominee, do you think he will be able
to unite the Democratic Party, or not?" |
|
|
|
Will |
Will not |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
55 |
38 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think it is necessary for presidential candidates to publicly
release their tax returns, or don't you think that's necessary?" |
|
|
|
Is
necessary |
Is not
necessary |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/13-17/16 |
59 |
38 |
3 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. April 28-May 1, 2016. N=890 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ±
3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Just your best guess -- Regardless of who you support, which Democratic
candidate do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination for
president: [see below]?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
4/28 -
5/1/16 |
2/24-27/16 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
85 |
70 |
|
|
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
12 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Just your best guess -- Regardless of who you support, which Republican
candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for
president next [sic]
year: [see below]?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
4/28 -
5/1/16 |
2/24-27/16 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
84 |
70 |
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
10 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
John Kasich |
3 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
n/a |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
n/a |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if
you think Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would better handle that issue if
they were elected president. ..." |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Donald
Trump |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
"Climate change" |
|
4/28 - 5/1/16 |
63 |
30 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
|
"Education" |
|
4/28 - 5/1/16 |
61 |
34 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the
Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). April 17-20, 2016. N=506
likely voters nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, thinking about issues facing this country, I am going to read you a
list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one,
whether you have more confidence in Donald Trump, OR Hillary Clinton to deal
with this issue. ..." |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Hillary
Clinton |
Both
equal (vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"Caring about people like you" |
|
4/17-20/16 |
35 |
53 |
1 |
10 |
1 |
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 10-14, 2016. N=1,000
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people running for president in
2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see
yourself supporting that person for president in 2016. If you don't know the
name, please just say so. ..." |
|
|
|
Yes,
could see |
No,
could not |
Don't
know name |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
|
4/10-14/16 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
|
4/10-14/16 |
41 |
58 |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
John Kasich |
|
4/10-14/16 |
41 |
47 |
10 |
2 |
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
|
4/10-14/16 |
35 |
61 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
|
4/10-14/16 |
31 |
68 |
- |
1 |
|
|
CBS News Poll. April 8-12, 2016. Primary voters
nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to deal with terrorism and
national security:
[see below]?"
N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
65 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to deal with the economy
and unemployment:
[see below]?"
N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
49 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
44 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to deal with foreign
policy:
[see below]?"
N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
64 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
32 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to deal with income
inequality:
[see below]?"
N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
41 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
56 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to make the right decisions
about gun policy:
[see below]?"
N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
43 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates do you trust most to make the right decisions
when it comes to regulating large banks and financial institutions:
[see below]?"
N=359 Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
39 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
57 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of whom you support, who do you expect to finally win the
Republican nomination for president in 2016:
[see below]?"
Options rotated
N=399 Republican primary voters; margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
4/8-12/16 |
3/17-20/16 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
60 |
77 |
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
22 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
John Kasich |
2 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
None of these (vol.) |
3 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
12 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 29-31, 2016. Voters
nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Democratic Presidential Preference, including those who are leaning toward a
candidate:
N=497 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic;
margin of error ± 4.4 |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
49 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
47 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asked of Sanders supporters (N=238; margin of error ± 6.4):
"If Hillary Clinton becomes the Democratic nominee for president, will you
support her or not support her in the general election in November?" |
|
|
|
Will
support her |
Will not
support her |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/29-31/16 |
69 |
25 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asked of
Clinton supporters (N=225; margin of error ± 6.5):
"If Bernie Sanders becomes the Democratic nominee for president, will you
support him or not support him in the general election in November?" |
|
|
|
Will
support him |
Will not
support him |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/29-31/16 |
79 |
14 |
7 |
|
|
|
"If Donald Trump has won the most delegates going into the Republican
convention but not enough to be nominated on the convention's first ballot,
do you think the Republican Party should nominate Donald Trump for
president, or the Republican Party should nominate a different person for
president?" N=444 registered voters who are Republicans or lean
Republican; margin of error ± 4.7 |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
A different
person |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/29-31/16 |
52 |
40 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican Party decides to nominate someone other than Donald Trump
for president, should the nominee be someone who ran in the primaries this
year, or is it acceptable to you for the nominee to be a Republican who did
not run in the primaries this year?" N=444 registered voters who
are Republicans or lean Republican; margin of error ± 4.7 |
|
|
|
Someone
who ran in
primaries |
OK if did
not run in
primaries |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/29-31/16 |
65 |
29 |
6 |
|
|
|
Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 19-22,
2016. N=366 participants and likely participants in the 2016 Republican
primaries and caucuses nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which do you think is the better way to decide the Republican nomination?
The candidate with the most delegates from the state primaries and caucuses
should win, even if he does not get a majority. If no candidate gets a
majority, the delegates at the national convention in Cleveland should
decide who will represent the Republican Party, with no restrictions on whom
they can name." |
|
|
|
Most delegates
from
primaries
and caucuses |
Convention
decides with
no restrictions |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/19-22/16 |
63 |
33 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I have some questions comparing just Ted Cruz and Donald Trump. ..." |
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
Donald Trump |
Both (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
"Which one do you think
embodies traditional moral values?" |
|
3/19-22/16 |
64 |
20 |
2 |
13 |
|
|
|
"Which one do you think has
the better temperament to be president?" |
|
3/19-22/16 |
63 |
27 |
1 |
9 |
|
|
|
"Is the most honest and
trustworthy?" |
|
3/19-22/16 |
45 |
36 |
2 |
18 |
|
|
|
"Which one do you think cares
the most about people like you?" |
|
3/19-22/16 |
42 |
43 |
1 |
14 |
|
|
|
"Would work most effectively
with Congress?" |
|
3/19-22/16 |
40 |
50 |
1 |
9 |
|
|
|
"Which one do you think can
best combat Islamic terrorism?" |
|
3/19-22/16 |
33 |
55 |
1 |
11 |
|
|
|
"Which one do you think would
do more to solve the illegal immigration problem?" |
|
3/19-22/16 |
28 |
62 |
1 |
9 |
|
|
|
"Knows the most about how to
get things done?" |
|
3/19-22/16 |
28 |
65 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
|
"Which one do you think would
be better at managing the economy?" |
|
3/19-22/16 |
28 |
65 |
- |
7 |
|
|
|
"Which one do you think has
the best chance of beating Hillary Clinton?" |
|
3/19-22/16 |
26 |
66 |
2 |
6 |
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. March 17-20, 2016. N=1,058 registered
voters nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you describe the Republican Party today as united or divided?"
N=362 Republican primary voters; margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
United |
Divided |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
10 |
88 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think the overall tone of the Republican presidential campaign has
been more positive, more negative, or about the same as past Republican
presidential campaigns?" N=362 Republican primary voters; margin of
error ± 6 |
|
|
|
More
positive |
More
negative |
About
the same |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
10 |
58 |
30 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"So far, do you think the Republican presidential campaign has made you feel
MOSTLY proud of the Republican Party or MOSTLY embarrassed by the Republican
Party?" N=362 Republican primary voters; margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
Mostly
proud |
Mostly
embarrassed |
Neither/
Mixed (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
27 |
60 |
9 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If none of the Republican presidential candidates receive a majority of the
party's delegates, it is possible that the party's nominee could be chosen
at the Republican Convention in July, and that the nominee might not be the
candidate who has earned the most delegates in the state primaries and
caucuses. If this happens, do you think this would be a good thing for the
Republican Party, a bad thing for the Republican Party, or will it not make
much of a difference either way?" N=362 Republican primary voters;
margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
A good
thing |
A bad
thing |
Not much
difference |
Depends on
nominee (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
3/17-20/16 |
14 |
65 |
16 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you describe the Democratic Party today as united or divided?"
N=388 Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
United |
Divided |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
62 |
33 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think the overall tone of the Democratic presidential campaign has
been more positive, more negative, or about the same as past Democratic
presidential campaigns?" N=388 Democratic primary voters; margin of
error ± 6 |
|
|
|
More
positive |
More
negative |
About
the same |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
40 |
9 |
48 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"So far, do you think the Democratic presidential campaign has made you feel
MOSTLY proud of the Democratic Party or MOSTLY embarrassed by the Democratic
Party?" N=388 Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
Mostly
proud |
Mostly
embarrassed |
Neither/
Mixed (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
82 |
13 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"From what you've heard or read, generally, would you describe Hillary
Clinton's policy proposals as realistic or not realistic?" N=388
Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
Realistic |
Not
realistic |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
78 |
17 |
4 |
|
|
|
2/12-16/16 |
81 |
14 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"From what you've heard or read, generally, would you describe Bernie
Sanders' policy proposals as realistic or not realistic?" N=388
Democratic primary voters; margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
Realistic |
Not
realistic |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
56 |
38 |
6 |
|
|
|
2/12-16/16 |
51 |
41 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"In general, who do you think is more to blame for the incidents of violence
that have occurred at some political rallies for Donald Trump: the people
who are protesting against Donald Trump at the rallies, the people who are
supporting Donald Trump at the rallies, or are both about equally to blame?"
N=1,058 registered voters; margin of error ± 4 |
|
|
|
Protestors |
Supporters |
Both about
equally |
Depends/
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
3/17-20/16 |
29 |
23 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you approve or disapprove of how Donald Trump is handling the violence
at some of his rallies?" N=1,058 registered voters; margin of error ± 4 |
|
|
|
Approve |
Disapprove |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
26 |
64 |
10 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. March 17-20, 2016. N=397 registered voters nationwide
who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for president, would you
like to see another Republican run for president as a third party candidate
or not?" |
|
|
|
Yes,
would |
No,
would not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
35 |
65 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, I have a few questions about the Republican Party's nomination
process. As you may know, in order to win the Republican Party's nomination
for president, a candidate must win the support of a majority of the
delegates to the Party's national convention, which will be held in July. If
no candidate wins a majority of delegates through the primary and caucus
process, as reflected in the first round of voting at the convention,
delegates will have additional rounds of voting until a single candidate
wins majority support.
"If no candidate has won a majority of the delegates after the first round
of voting, do you think the delegates should vote for the candidate with the
most support in the primaries and caucuses, or the person they feel would be
the best candidate?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Candidate with
most primary
support |
The best
candidate |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
60 |
38 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"John Kasich has not won enough delegates to be able to win a majority
through the primary and caucus process, and could only win the nomination if
no one else wins a majority of delegates through the primaries and caucuses.
Do you think Kasich should remain in the race or drop out?" |
|
|
|
Remain in
the race |
Drop out |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
27 |
70 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If none of the current Republican candidates wins a majority of the
delegates before the convention, would you rather see the Republican Party
nominate one of the three remaining Republican candidates or would you
rather see the Party nominate someone else?" |
|
|
|
One of three
remaining
candidates |
Someone
else |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
84 |
15 |
1 |
|
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. March 17-20, 2016. N=353 registered voters
who are Republicans or lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.2. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Donald Trump may get the most delegates during the primaries, but not
enough to win the nomination on the first round of balloting at the national
convention. It is possible that a different candidate could win the
nomination in later rounds of balloting. If this is the case, would you
rather see the Republican Party get behind Trump, or would you rather see
the convention nominate a different person for president?" |
|
|
|
Get behind
Trump |
A different
person |
Depends on
other person
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/17-20/16 |
54 |
34 |
5 |
7 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. March 3-6, 2016. N=1,000 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Hillary Clinton understands the problems of people like you,
or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
49 |
50 |
1 |
|
|
|
9/7-10/15 |
46 |
51 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Hillary Clinton has the right experience to be president, or
not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
66 |
33 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Donald Trump understands the problems of people like you, or
not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
26 |
72 |
2 |
|
|
|
9/7-10/15 |
29 |
67 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Donald Trump has the right experience to be president, or
not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
26 |
73 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy, or not?" |
|
|
|
Is |
Is not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
42 |
46 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Ted Cruz understands the problems of people like you, or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
41 |
50 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Ted Cruz has the right experience to be president, or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
43 |
47 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Ted Cruz has the kind of personality and temperament it takes
to serve effectively as president, or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
43 |
49 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy, or not?" |
|
|
|
Is |
Is not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
47 |
39 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Marco Rubio understands the problems of people like you, or
not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
43 |
48 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Marco Rubio has the right experience to be president, or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
35 |
54 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Marco Rubio has the kind of personality and temperament it
takes to serve effectively as president, or not?" |
|
|
|
Does |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-6/16 |
47 |
42 |
10 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 3-6, 2016. N=410
Democratic primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.8. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people running for president in
2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see
yourself supporting that person for president in 2016. If you don't know the
name, please just say so. ..."
2/16 & earlier: "Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who are seeking the
Democratic nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me,
yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the
Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If you don't know the name,
please just say so. ..." |
|
|
|
Yes,
could see |
No,
could not |
Don't
know name |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
|
3/3-6/16 |
82 |
17 |
- |
1 |
|
|
2/14-16/16 |
77 |
22 |
- |
1 |
|
|
1/9-13/16 |
79 |
18 |
- |
3 |
|
|
12/6-9/15 |
82 |
17 |
- |
1 |
|
|
10/25-29/15 |
85 |
13 |
- |
2 |
|
|
10/15-18/15 |
81 |
17 |
- |
2 |
|
|
9/20-24/15 |
76 |
21 |
- |
3 |
|
|
6/14-18/15 |
92 |
8 |
- |
- |
|
|
3/1-5/15 |
86 |
13 |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
|
3/3-6/16 |
72 |
26 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
2/14-16/16 |
66 |
29 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
1/9-13/16 |
66 |
25 |
6 |
3 |
|
|
12/6-9/15 |
65 |
28 |
6 |
1 |
|
|
10/25-29/15 |
61 |
28 |
7 |
4 |
|
|
10/15-18/15 |
64 |
25 |
8 |
3 |
|
|
9/20-24/15 |
62 |
24 |
10 |
4 |
|
|
6/14-18/15 |
40 |
32 |
23 |
5 |
|
|
3/1-5/15 |
21 |
21 |
54 |
4 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Feb. 14-16, 2016. N=400
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who are seeking the
Republican nomination for president. For each one, please tell me,
yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the
Republican nomination for president. If you don't know the name,
please just say so. ..." |
|
|
|
Yes,
could see |
No,
could not |
Don't
know name |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Ted Cruz |
|
2/14-16/16 |
65 |
33 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
1/9-13/16 |
71 |
25 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
12/6-9/15 |
67 |
27 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
10/25-29/15 |
57 |
34 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
10/15-18/15 |
48 |
41 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
9/20-24/15 |
45 |
44 |
8 |
3 |
|
|
7/26-30/15 |
52 |
38 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
6/14-18/15 |
51 |
31 |
14 |
4 |
|
|
4/26-30/15 |
57 |
28 |
12 |
3 |
|
|
3/1-5/15 |
40 |
38 |
18 |
4 |
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
|
2/14-16/16 |
56 |
42 |
- |
2 |
|
|
1/9-13/16 |
65 |
34 |
- |
1 |
|
|
12/6-9/15 |
58 |
40 |
- |
2 |
|
|
10/25-29/15 |
60 |
37 |
- |
3 |
|
|
10/15-18/15 |
59 |
36 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
9/20-24/15 |
47 |
52 |
- |
1 |
|
|
7/26-30/15 |
47 |
49 |
- |
4 |
|
|
6/14-18/15 |
32 |
66 |
- |
2 |
|
|
3/1-5/15 |
23 |
74 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
|
2/14-16/16 |
70 |
28 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
1/9-13/16 |
67 |
28 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
12/6-9/15 |
64 |
29 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
3/1-5/15 |
56 |
26 |
14 |
4 |
|
|
|
John Kasich |
|
2/14-16/16 |
49 |
41 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
1/9-13/16 |
28 |
52 |
18 |
2 |
|
|
12/6-9/15 |
22 |
53 |
22 |
3 |
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
|
2/14-16/16 |
62 |
35 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
1/9-13/16 |
60 |
39 |
1 |
- |
|
|
3/1-5/15 |
41 |
18 |
38 |
3 |
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
|
2/14-16/16 |
46 |
53 |
- |
1 |
|
|
1/9-13/16 |
42 |
55 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
3/1-5/15 |
49 |
42 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
CBS News Poll. Feb. 12-16, 2016. N=549 Democratic primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Democratic
presidential candidates do you trust most to appoint justices to the U.S.
Supreme Court? ..." Asked Feb. 14-16, 2016, only. N=264 Democratic
primary voters. |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Bernie
Sanders |
Neither |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/14-16/16 |
48 |
42 |
3 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you favor or oppose a single-payer health care system, in which all
Americans would get their health insurance from one government plan that is
financed by taxes?" |
|
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/12-16/16 |
65 |
27 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you have a positive or negative view of socialism?" |
|
|
|
Positive |
Negative |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/12-16/16 |
60 |
21 |
19 |
|
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. Jan. 15-18, 2016. N=385 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"The Constitution states that only a natural born citizen may serve as
president of the United States.
"Do you believe that Ted Cruz is a natural born citizen, or not?" |
|
|
|
Is natural
born citizen |
Is not natural
born citizen |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/15-18/16 |
65 |
12 |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you believe that Donald Trump is a natural born citizen, or not?" |
|
|
|
Is natural
born citizen |
Is not natural
born citizen |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/15-18/16 |
91 |
2 |
7 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Jan. 9-13, 2016. N=400
Democratic primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who are seeking the
Democratic nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me,
yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the
Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If you don't know the name,
please just say so. . . ." |
|
|
|
Yes,
could see |
No,
could not |
Don't
know name |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Martin O'Malley |
|
1/9-13/16 |
22 |
51 |
24 |
3 |
|
|
12/6-9/15 |
19 |
47 |
31 |
3 |
|
|
10/25-29/15 |
18 |
49 |
31 |
2 |
|
|
10/15-18/15 |
13 |
49 |
33 |
5 |
|
|
9/20-24/15 |
10 |
39 |
49 |
2 |
|
|
6/14-18/15 |
12 |
28 |
58 |
2 |
|
|
3/1-5/15 |
11 |
20 |
67 |
2 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Jan. 9-13, 2016. N=400
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who are seeking the
Republican nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me,
yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016. If you don't know the name,
please just say so. . . ." |
|
|
|
Yes,
could see |
No,
could not |
Don't
know name |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Chris Christie |
|
1/9-13/16 |
48 |
45 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
3/1-5/15 |
32 |
57 |
7 |
4 |
|
|
Quinnipiac University. Dec. 16-20, 2015. N=1,140 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.9. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you feel proud to have Donald Trump as president, embarrassed to have
Donald Trump as president, or wouldn't you feel either of these ways?" |
|
|
|
Proud |
Embarrassed |
Neither |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
ALL |
23 |
50 |
24 |
3 |
|
|
Republicans |
44 |
20 |
32 |
4 |
|
|
Democrats |
4 |
82 |
12 |
2 |
|
|
Independents |
20 |
47 |
29 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you feel proud to have Hillary Clinton as president, embarrassed to
have Hillary Clinton as president, or wouldn't you feel either of these
ways?" |
|
|
|
Proud |
Embarrassed |
Neither |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
ALL |
33 |
35 |
29 |
3 |
|
|
Republicans |
5 |
72 |
21 |
2 |
|
|
Democrats |
72 |
5 |
23 |
1 |
|
|
Independents |
22 |
32 |
41 |
5 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Dec. 10-13, 2015. N=403 Republicans
and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error ±
5.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Again, thinking about Trump, Carson, Bush, Rubio and Cruz -- who do you
trust more to handle immigration issues?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
12/10-13/15 |
11/16-19/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
50 |
45 |
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
14 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
11 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
10 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
None of them (vol.) |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Again, thinking about Trump, Carson, Bush, Rubio and Cruz -- who do you
trust more to handle the threat of terrorism?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
12/10-13/15 |
11/16-19/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
50 |
42 |
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
14 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
12 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
9 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
9 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
All of them (vol.) |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
|
None of them (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
3 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. Dec. 4-8, 2015. N=1,053 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of who you support, who do you expect to finally win the
Republican nomination for president in 2016:
[see below]?" Options
rotated. N=431 Republican primary voters, margin of error ±
6. |
|
|
|
GOP primary
voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
51 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Carly Fiorina |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
George Pataki |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Jim Gilmore |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
None of these (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you prefer the Republican nominee for president be someone whose
experience has been mostly in politics and government, or someone whose
experience has been mostly in the business or private sector, or doesn't it
matter to you?" N=431 Republican primary voters, margin of error ± 6 |
|
|
|
GOP primary
voters |
|
|
|
|
Politics,
government |
Business,
private sector |
Doesn't
matter |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/4-8/15 |
13 |
43 |
42 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Donald Trump is elected as president, what best describes your feelings
about what he will do in office: excited, optimistic but not excited,
concerned but not scared, or scared?" |
|
|
|
Excited |
Optimistic,
not excited |
Concerned,
not scared |
Scared |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/4-8/15 |
11 |
24 |
24 |
40 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Hillary Clinton is elected as president, what best describes your
feelings about what she will do in office: excited, optimistic but not
excited, concerned but not scared, or scared?" |
|
|
|
Excited |
Optimistic,
not excited |
Concerned,
not scared |
Scared |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/4-8/15 |
9 |
33 |
23 |
34 |
1 |
|
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll. Nov. 15-Dec. 2, 2015. N=2,360 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support:
the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?" |
|
|
|
Democratic
candidate |
Republican
candidate |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/15 - 12/2/15 |
45 |
45 |
10 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015. N=445 registered voters
nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you
think can best handle the economy?" |
|
|
|
11/27 -
12/1/15 |
9/17-19/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
55 |
44 |
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
9 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
7 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
7 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Carly Fiorina |
5 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
3 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Other |
3 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you
think can best handle illegal immigration?" |
|
|
|
11/27 -
12/1/15 |
9/17-19/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
48 |
47 |
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
14 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
11 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
9 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
4 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
4 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Other |
3 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you
think can best handle foreign policy?" |
|
|
|
11/27 -
12/1/15 |
9/17-19/15 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
30 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
17 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
14 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
8 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
7 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
5 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Carly Fiorina |
3 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Other |
6 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you
think can best handle ISIS?" |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
46 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and
for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best
describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate
do you think has the best chance of winning in the general election next
November?" |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
52 |
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Nov. 16-19. N=1,004 adults nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you trust more to handle the threat of terrorism: Hillary Clinton
or [see below]?" |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Jeb Bush |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/16-19/15 |
46 |
43 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Marco
Rubio |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/16-19/15 |
47 |
43 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Donald
Trump |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/16-19/15 |
50 |
42 |
6 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Ben
Carson |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/16-19/15 |
49 |
40 |
6 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Ted Cruz |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/16-19/15 |
48 |
40 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. Nov. 6-10, 2015. N=418 Democratic
primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Democratic
presidential candidates do you think has the best chance of winning the
general election in November 2016: [see below]?" |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Bernie
Sanders |
Martin
O'Malley |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/6-10/15 |
76 |
18 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How confident are you in Hillary Clinton's ability to make the right
decisions about the economy? Are you very confident, somewhat confident, not
too confident, or not at all confident?" |
|
|
|
Very
confident |
Somewhat
confident |
Not too
confident |
Not at all
confident |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/6-10/15 |
39 |
45 |
8 |
8 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How confident are you in Hillary Clinton's ability to handle an
international crisis? Are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too
confident, or not at all confident?" |
|
|
|
Very
confident |
Somewhat
confident |
Not too
confident |
Not at all
confident |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/6-10/15 |
53 |
30 |
10 |
7 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How confident are you in Bernie Sanders' ability to make the right
decisions about the economy? Are you very confident, somewhat confident, not
too confident, or not at all confident?" |
|
|
|
Very
confident |
Somewhat
confident |
Not too
confident |
Not at all
confident |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/6-10/15 |
32 |
36 |
17 |
9 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How confident are you in Bernie Sanders' ability to handle an international
crisis? Are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or
not at all confident?" |
|
|
|
Very
confident |
Somewhat
confident |
Not too
confident |
Not at all
confident |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/6-10/15 |
16 |
41 |
23 |
12 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you rather see the next Democratic presidential nominee generally
continue Barack Obama's policies, or mostly change to different policies?" |
|
|
|
Obama's
policies |
Different
policies |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/6-10/15 |
60 |
35 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Hillary Clinton says what she believes most of the time, or
does she say what she thinks people want to hear?" |
|
|
|
What she
believes |
What people
want to hear |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/6-10/15 |
52 |
46 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Bernie Sanders says what he believes most of the time, or does
he say what he thinks people want to hear?" |
|
|
|
What he
believes |
What people
want to hear |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/6-10/15 |
62 |
28 |
10 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 15-18, 2015. N=444 adults
nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"From what you've seen, heard or read about it, who, in your opinion, won
the Democratic primary debate held earlier this week?" |
|
|
|
Hillary
Clinton |
Bernie
Sanders |
None
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/15-18/15 |
45 |
19 |
6 |
29 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Oct. 15-18, 2015. N=1,000
adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think it would be better for the country to have a Democrat or a
Republican as the next president?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
Makes no
difference
(vol.) |
Neither/
Another
party (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
10/15-18/15 |
41 |
40 |
9 |
5 |
5 |
|
9/20-24/15 |
38 |
38 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
|
7/26-30/15 |
37 |
39 |
9 |
7 |
8 |
|
6/14-18/15 |
39 |
36 |
7 |
7 |
10 |
|
4/26-30/15 |
40 |
39 |
7 |
5 |
9 |
|
12/10-14/14 |
38 |
40 |
9 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you like to see Joe Biden run for the Democratic nomination, would
you prefer that he NOT run for the nomination, or do you not really have an
opinion one way or the other?" N=400
Democratic primary voters, margin of error ± 4.9 |
|
|
|
---
Democratic primary voters --- |
|
|
|
|
He should
run |
He should
not run |
Do not have
an opinion |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/15-18/15 |
30 |
38 |
31 |
1 |
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Oct. 14-17, 2015. N=425 registered voters nationwide
who are Democrats or lean Democratic. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As you may know, CNN and Facebook held a debate among the Democratic
presidential candidates on Tuesday. ... Regardless of who you support, which
candidate do you think did the best job in Tuesday night's debate: [see
below]?" Options rotated. N=163 leaned Democrats who said they
watched the debate. Margin of error ± 7.5. |
|
|
|
Debate-
watchers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
62 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
Martin O'Malley |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jim Webb |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lincoln Chafee |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Joe Biden should get into the race for the Democratic
nomination for president, or should he stay out of the race?" |
|
|
|
Get in |
Stay out |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/14-17/15 |
47 |
49 |
5 |
|
|
|
8/13-16/15 |
53 |
45 |
1 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Sept. 17-19, 2015. N=444 registered voters nationwide
who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As you may know, CNN and the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library held
back-to-back debates among the Republican presidential candidates on
Wednesday, the first one included four candidates, and the second one eleven
candidates. Which of the following statements best describes you? I watched
or listened to all or most of both debates. I watched or listened to all or
most of the second debate, but not the first. I did not watch or listen to
either debate, but I paid close attention to news stories about them
afterwards. I did not watch or listen to either debate or pay attention to
news stories about them." |
|
|
|
Watched
both
debates |
Watched
second
debate |
Didn't watch,
but did see
news stories |
Didn't watch
or see news
stories |
Watched only
first debate
(vol.) |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
9/17-19/15 |
23 |
23 |
32 |
18 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best
job in Wednesday night's debates: [see below]?"
Options rotated
N=234 leaned Republican voters who watched one or both debates, margin
of error ± 6.5. |
|
|
|
Debate
watchers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Carly Fiorina |
52 |
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lindsey Graham |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
John Kasich |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
George Pataki |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Scott Walker |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"And which of those candidates do you think did the worst job in the
debates: [see below]?"
Options rotated
N=234 leaned Republican voters who watched one or both debates, margin of
error ± 6.5. |
|
|
|
Debate
watchers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
31 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Scott Walker |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Carly Fiorina |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lindsey Graham |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
George Pataki |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
John Kasich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you
think can best handle social issues, such as abortion and same-sex
marriage?" |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Carson |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Carly Fiorina |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ted Cruz |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rand Paul |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. Aug. 5-9, 2015. N=419 Democrats and independents who
lean to the Democratic Party nationwide. Margin of error ± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you want Joe Biden to run for president in 2016, or not?" |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
8/5-9/15 |
45 |
47 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you want Elizabeth Warren to run for president in 2016, or not?" |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
8/5-9/15 |
36 |
49 |
15 |
|
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. March 30-April 2, 2015. N=356 registered
voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. Margin of error ±
5.2. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think it would be better if the Democrats got behind Hillary Clinton
early in the nominating process or would it be better if there was an active
primary challenge?" |
|
|
|
Better if
got behind
Clinton |
Better if an
active primary
challenge |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/30 - 4/2/15 |
41 |
50 |
9 |
|
|
|
12/10-14/14 |
43 |
48 |
9 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 29-June 1, 2014. N=851 registered
voters
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Democrats or
lean Democratic. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"What's your preference -- that Hillary Clinton runs unopposed for the
Democratic nomination for president in 2016, that Clinton runs for the
nomination but that other Democrats also run, or that Clinton does not run
for the presidential nomination?" |
|
|
|
Runs
unopposed |
Others
also run |
Does
not run |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/29 - 6/1/14 |
28 |
55 |
13 |
4 |
|
|
|