CBS News/New York Times Poll. April 13-17, 2012. N=268 Republican
primary voters
nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you like to see the Republican Party nominate as its presidential
candidate in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, or Mitt Romney?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
4/13-17/12 |
3/7-11/12 |
2/8-13/12 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
54 |
30 |
27 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
20 |
13 |
10 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
8 |
12 |
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
9 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
5 |
11 |
15 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
n/a |
34 |
30 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. April 13-15, 2012. N=473
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president: former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, Texas Congressman Ron Paul,
or former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney?"
Options rotated
Prior to 12/11: "I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in
the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names,
please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would
support someone else. ..." 9/11: Sarah Palin
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice. |
|
|
|
4/13-15/12 |
3/24-25/12 |
2/10-13/12 |
1/11-12/12 |
12/16-18/11 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
57 |
36 |
32 |
34 |
28 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
19 |
15 |
15 |
18 |
28 |
|
Ron Paul |
18 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
|
Someone else (vol.) |
3 |
1 |
- |
- |
- |
|
None/No one (vol.) |
3 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
|
Unsure |
- |
2 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
|
Rick Santorum |
n/a |
26 |
34 |
15 |
4 |
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
9 |
7 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
4 |
2 |
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11/18-20/11 |
11/11-13/11 |
10/14-16/11 |
9/23-25/11 |
9/9-11/11 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
24 |
22 |
8 |
11 |
7 |
|
Mitt Romney |
20 |
24 |
26 |
22 |
21 |
|
Herman Cain |
17 |
14 |
25 |
9 |
6 |
|
Rick Perry |
11 |
12 |
13 |
30 |
32 |
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
8 |
9 |
7 |
13 |
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
|
Rick Santorum |
4 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
3 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Someone else |
- |
1 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
|
None/No one (vol.) |
3 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
|
Unsure |
2 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
|
Pew Research Center. April 4-15, 2012. N=1,099 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error
± 3.4.
Results from 9/22-10/4/11 include the second choice of Palin supports. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As I name some Republican candidates for president, please
tell me which one, if any, you would most like to see nominated as the
Republican Party's candidate. [See below.]" If unsure:
"As of today, who would you say you LEAN toward?"
Options rotated
4/10-15/12 (after Santorum announced the end of his campaign): "Thinking
about the Republican presidential primary, please tell me who, if anyone,
you would most like to see nominated. ..."
2/12 & earlier: "As I name some possible Republican candidates for president
in 2012 . ..." |
|
|
|
4/4-15/12 |
3/7-11/12 |
2/8-12/12 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
42 |
33 |
28 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
21 |
24 |
30 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
20 |
17 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
14 |
12 |
|
|
|
Other |
2 |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
5 |
5 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/11-16/12 |
1/4-8/12 |
12/7-11/11 |
11/9-14/11 |
9/22 -
10/4/11 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
31 |
27 |
21 |
23 |
22 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
16 |
16 |
33 |
16 |
8 |
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
12 |
8 |
8 |
12 |
|
Rick Santorum |
14 |
16 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
Rick Perry |
5 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
17 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
Other |
2 |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
|
None (vol.)/Unsure |
16 |
19 |
21 |
14 |
17 |
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). April 9-11, 2012. N=376 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of the candidates for the 2012 Republican
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican
presidential nominee.
[See below.]"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
4/9-11/12 |
3/10-12/12 |
2/6-9/12 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
46 |
38 |
33 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
16 |
12 |
15 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
15 |
32 |
23 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
13 |
22 |
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
2 |
3 |
1 |
|
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
4 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
|
Gallup Daily tracking poll. Based on a rolling average of at
least 1,000 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide who
are registered to vote. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who are running for the 2012 Republican
nomination for president. After I read the names, please tell me which
candidate you are most likely to support for the nomination, or if you would
support someone else: Newt Gingrich; Ron Paul; Mitt Romney; Rick Santorum."
Options rotated. Note: Herman Cain
included in Dec. 1-3 interviewing. Cain supporters' second choice
substituted for their vote choice. |
|
|
|
4/4-9/12 |
4/3-7/12 |
4/2-6/12 |
4/1-5/12 |
3/31 -
4/4/12 |
3/30 -
4/3/12 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
42 |
42 |
41 |
41 |
39 |
40 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
24 |
25 |
26 |
25 |
26 |
25 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
9 |
10 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
|
|
Someone else |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
12 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
11 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3/29 -
4/2/12 |
3/28 -
4/1/12 |
3/27-31/12 |
3/26-30/12 |
3/25-29/12 |
3/24-28/12 |
3/23-27/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
41 |
43 |
42 |
42 |
42 |
39 |
39 |
|
Rick Santorum |
25 |
25 |
27 |
27 |
27 |
28 |
28 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
12 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
11 |
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
11 |
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
10 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3/22-26/12 |
3/21-25/12 |
3/20-24/12 |
3/19-23/12 |
3/18-22/12 |
3/17-21/12 |
3/16-20/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
39 |
39 |
41 |
42 |
40 |
38 |
37 |
|
Rick Santorum |
27 |
27 |
26 |
26 |
26 |
27 |
27 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
12 |
14 |
13 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
13 |
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
10 |
9 |
9 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3/15-19/12 |
3/14-18/12 |
3/13-17/12 |
3/12-16/12 |
3/11-15/12 |
3/10-14/12 |
3/9-13/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
34 |
35 |
36 |
36 |
36 |
35 |
33 |
|
Rick Santorum |
30 |
29 |
28 |
28 |
28 |
27 |
27 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
15 |
16 |
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
10 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
|
Someone else |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
10 |
11 |
10 |
12 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3/8-12/12 |
3/7-11/12 |
3/6-10/12 |
3/5-9/12 |
3/4-8/12 |
3/3-7/12 |
3/2-6/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
32 |
34 |
36 |
36 |
35 |
37 |
37 |
|
Rick Santorum |
27 |
25 |
24 |
23 |
24 |
23 |
23 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
17 |
15 |
14 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
14 |
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
12 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
12 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3/1-5/12 |
2/29 -
3/4/12 |
2/28 -
3/3/12 |
2/27 -
3/2/12 |
2/26 -
3/1/12 |
2/25-29/12 |
2/24-28/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
34 |
38 |
38 |
36 |
35 |
35 |
33 |
|
Rick Santorum |
24 |
22 |
22 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
15 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
16 |
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
12 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
|
Someone else |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
13 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/23-27/12 |
2/22-26/12 |
2/21-25/12 |
2/20-24/12 |
2/19-23/12 |
2/18-22/12 |
2/17-21/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
31 |
32 |
31 |
30 |
27 |
27 |
27 |
|
Rick Santorum |
26 |
28 |
29 |
31 |
33 |
34 |
35 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
15 |
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
12 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
|
Someone else |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
13 |
12 |
12 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/16-20/12 |
2/15-19/12 |
2/14-18/12 |
2/13-17/12 |
2/12-16/12 |
2/11-15/12 |
2/10-14/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rick Santorum |
36 |
36 |
36 |
35 |
34 |
32 |
31 |
|
Mitt Romney |
26 |
26 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
33 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
11 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/9-13/12 |
2/8-12/12 |
2/7-11/12 |
2/4-10/12 |
2/3-9/12 |
2/2-8/12 |
2/1-7/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
32 |
32 |
34 |
34 |
34 |
36 |
37 |
|
Rick Santorum |
30 |
30 |
27 |
24 |
22 |
20 |
17 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
16 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
20 |
21 |
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
10 |
10 |
12 |
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
13 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
14 |
11 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/31 -
2/6/12 |
1/30 -
2/3/12 |
1/29 -
2/2/12 |
1/28 -
2/1/12 |
1/27-31/12 |
1/26-30/12 |
1/25-29/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
37 |
35 |
33 |
31 |
31 |
27 |
27 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
22 |
24 |
25 |
25 |
26 |
28 |
28 |
|
Rick Santorum |
16 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
12 |
11 |
12 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
|
Someone else |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
11 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/24-28/12 |
1/23-27/12 |
1/22-26/12 |
1/21-25/12 |
1/20-24/12 |
1/19-23/12 |
1/18-22/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
28 |
32 |
32 |
31 |
31 |
31 |
28 |
|
Mitt Romney |
26 |
26 |
24 |
25 |
28 |
27 |
29 |
|
Rick Santorum |
15 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
11 |
|
Ron Paul |
14 |
13 |
14 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
13 |
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
14 |
15 |
15 |
16 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/17-21/12 |
1/16-20/12 |
1/15-19/12 |
1/14-18/12 |
1/13-17/12 |
1/12-16/12 |
1/11-15/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
30 |
31 |
30 |
33 |
33 |
34 |
37 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
25 |
23 |
20 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
14 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
|
Rick Santorum |
12 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
14 |
|
Someone else |
6 |
8 |
9 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
14 |
13 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
8 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/10-14/12 |
1/9-13/12 |
1/8-12/12 |
1/7-11/12 |
1/6-10/12 |
1/5-9/12 |
1/4-8/12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
37 |
35 |
34 |
34 |
31 |
30 |
30 |
|
Rick Santorum |
14 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
13 |
15 |
14 |
16 |
18 |
17 |
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
|
Rick Perry |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Someone else |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
15 |
16 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/3-7/12 |
1/2-6/12 |
12/29/11-1/5/12 |
12/28/11-1/4/12 |
12/27/11-1/3/12 |
12/26/11-1/2/12 |
12/23-29 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
31 |
29 |
27 |
27 |
26 |
24 |
26 |
|
Rick Santorum |
18 |
16 |
15 |
11 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
16 |
17 |
19 |
19 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
12 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
Someone else |
3 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
13 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
5 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/22-28 |
12/21-27 |
12/20-26 |
12/19-23 |
12/18-22 |
12/17-21 |
12/16-20 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
27 |
25 |
24 |
23 |
22 |
21 |
23 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
23 |
25 |
25 |
26 |
26 |
27 |
25 |
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
|
Rick Perry |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
|
Rick Santorum |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Someone else |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
16 |
18 |
19 |
19 |
18 |
19 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/14-19 |
12/13-18 |
12/12-17 |
12/11-16 |
12/10-14 |
12/9-13 |
12/8-12 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
25 |
26 |
28 |
28 |
29 |
31 |
31 |
|
Mitt Romney |
23 |
24 |
24 |
24 |
24 |
23 |
22 |
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
|
Rick Perry |
8 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
|
Michele Bachmann |
6 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
|
Rick Santorum |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
18 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
18 |
18 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/7-11 |
12/6-10 |
12/5-9 |
12/4-8 |
12/3-7 |
12/2-6 |
12/1-5 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
33 |
33 |
35 |
37 |
34 |
36 |
37 |
|
Mitt Romney |
23 |
23 |
23 |
23 |
25 |
23 |
22 |
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
|
Michele Bachmann |
6 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Someone else |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
None/Any/Unsure |
19 |
18 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
13 |
14 |
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 5-8, 2012. N=1,003 adults
nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and independents who lean Republican. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this
year: Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?" If
unsure:
"Which candidate are you leaning toward?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
4/5-8/12 |
3/7-10/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
42 |
31 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
22 |
29 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
17 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
3 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 20-22, 2012. N=377 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If this year's Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
9/11: "If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
|
|
|
3/20-22/12 |
11/8-10/11 |
9/13-14/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
39 |
23 |
22 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
31 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
19 |
6 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
10 |
7 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
17 |
15 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
17 |
5 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
8 |
30 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
5 |
12 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How about if the candidates are [see below]?" |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
50 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
44 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). March 10-12, 2012. N=341 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How would you vote if Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum were the only two
candidates?" |
|
|
|
Romney |
Santorum |
Unsure |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/10-12/12 |
49 |
44 |
7 |
1 |
|
|
Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 8-11, 2012. N=377
Republicans and independents who lean Republican
nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of the following people who are seeking the Republican nomination
for president do you support: [see below]?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
None of these |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. March 8-11, 2012.
N=421 Republicans nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican
presidential primaries were being held today, for whom of the following
would you vote . . . ?" |
|
|
|
3/8-11/12 |
2/2-6/12 |
1/5-9/12 |
12/8-12/11 |
10/6-10/11 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Mitt Romney |
37 |
29 |
30 |
18 |
23 |
|
Rick Santorum |
32 |
18 |
13 |
4 |
n/a |
|
Newt Gingrich |
12 |
19 |
20 |
28 |
7 |
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
21 |
16 |
12 |
13 |
|
Wouldn't vote |
- |
1 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
|
None/Other (vol.) |
3 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
|
Unsure |
6 |
10 |
7 |
8 |
13 |
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
n/a |
7 |
12 |
10 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
n/a |
3 |
5 |
2 |
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
10 |
5 |
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of your personal preference, if the Republican presidential
primaries came down to these two candidates, for which one would you vote:
[see below]?" |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Rick
Santorum |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/8-11/12 |
49 |
44 |
7 |
|
|
|
1/5-9/12 |
56 |
36 |
8 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Feb. 29-March 3, 2012.
N=400 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican
nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican
primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you
favor: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
2/29 -
3/3/12 |
1/22-24/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
38 |
28 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
32 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
37 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/7-11/11 |
11/2-5/11 |
10/6-10/11 |
8/27-31/11 |
7/14-17/11 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
40 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
8 |
|
Mitt Romney |
23 |
28 |
23 |
23 |
30 |
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
10 |
11 |
9 |
9 |
|
Michele Bachmann |
8 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
16 |
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
10 |
16 |
38 |
11 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
5 |
- |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
|
Other (vol.) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
2 |
|
None (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
Unsure |
5 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
10 |
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
27 |
27 |
5 |
5 |
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president,
and the candidates were Mitt Romney and [see below], which one would you
favor?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Rick
Santorum |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/29 - 3/3/12 |
50 |
45 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Newt
Gingrich |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/29 - 3/3/12 |
63 |
33 |
4 |
- |
|
|
1/22-24/12 |
39 |
52 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by
the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Feb. 19-22, 2012.
N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Republican primary
voters. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the Republican presidential primary election, who would you
say is your first choice to be the Republican nominee for president?"
Names read "if necessary." |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
34 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/Refused |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate
Communications. Feb. 16-20, 2012. N=450 Republicans and Republican leaners
nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which of the following candidates would you MOST like to see win the
Republican nomination for president: [see below]?"
Options
rotated |
|
|
|
2/16-20/12 |
12/8-12/11 |
10/13-17/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
33 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
32 |
27 |
30 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
33 |
7 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
9 |
8 |
|
|
|
None of them (vol.) |
2 |
6 |
2 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
3 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
|
Refused |
1 |
- |
- |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
9 |
4 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
6 |
13 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
n/a |
26 |
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Feb. 14-20, 2012. N=1,124 Republican and
Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error
± 2.9. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the
candidates were Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum,
and Ron Paul, for whom
would you vote?" |
|
|
|
2/14-20/12 |
11/14-20/11 |
10/25-31/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
35 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
26 |
22 |
23 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
26 |
10 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
14 |
19 |
16 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
14 |
30 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
6 |
8 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between
Rick Santorum and Mitt
Romney -- for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
Rick
Santorum |
Mitt
Romney |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/14-20/12 |
50 |
37 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Newt Gingrich and Mitt
Romney -- for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Newt
Gingrich |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/14-20/12 |
50 |
37 |
13 |
|
|
|
11/14-20/11 |
39 |
49 |
12 |
|
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 16-19, 2012. N=433 Republican and
Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential nomination narrows down
to Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney. Which one would you prefer the Republican
Party nominate for president: Rick Santorum or Mitt Romney?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Rick
Santorum |
Mitt
Romney |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/16-19/12 |
51 |
44 |
5 |
|
|
|
Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind. Feb. 6-12, 2012.
N=578 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin
of error ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"To run as the Republican candidate for president, who would you prefer?
[Names read 'as necessary.']" If unsure:
"Which way do you lean?" |
|
|
|
2/6-12/12 |
11/29 -
12/5/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
32 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
31 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
12 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Feb. 6-9, 2012. N=407 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of the candidates for the 2012 Republican
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican
presidential nominee.
[See below.]"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
2/6-9/12 |
|
2/6-7/12
N=242 |
2/8-9/12
N=165 |
|
|
|
% |
|
% |
% |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
33 |
|
35 |
30 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
23 |
|
17 |
30 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
22 |
|
26 |
16 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
|
14 |
15 |
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
|
1 |
- |
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
3 |
|
1 |
5 |
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
|
5 |
3 |
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Feb. 2-6, 2012.
N=approx. 400 Republicans nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Regardless of your personal preference, if the Republican presidential
primaries came down to these two candidates, for which one would you vote:
[see below]?" |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Newt
Gingrich |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/2-6/12 |
53 |
40 |
6 |
|
|
|
12/8-12/11 |
39 |
52 |
10 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 1-4, 2012. N=1,000 adults
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or
lean Republican. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would
you vote?" If unsure:
"Which candidate would you lean toward?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
2/1-4/12 |
1/12-15/12 |
12/15-18/11 |
10/31 -
11/3/11 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
38 |
36 |
30 |
25 |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
24 |
16 |
30 |
12 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
18 |
13 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
14 |
16 |
15 |
9 |
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
- |
0 |
|
|
None of them (vol.) |
- |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Unsure |
5 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
n/a |
9 |
6 |
14 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
n/a |
- |
2 |
1 |
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
n/a |
7 |
4 |
|
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
23 |
|
|
Clarus Research Group. Jan. 16-18, 2012. N=381
Republican voters nationwide. Margin of error
± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Of the candidates now running for president, which ONE would you most like
to see win the Republican presidential nomination: Mitt Romney, Newt
Gingrich, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, or Rick Santorum?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
None/Other (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If there were only two candidates in the race for the Republican
presidential nomination, would you most likely vote for Mitt Romney or
[see below]?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Newt
Gingrich |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/16-18/12 |
50 |
34 |
6 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Rick
Santorum |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/16-18/12 |
50 |
36 |
4 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Ron
Paul |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/16-18/12 |
62 |
24 |
6 |
8 |
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. Jan. 12-17, 2012. N=340 likely
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party
nominate for president in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick
Perry, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, or would you like to see someone else
nominated?" If someone else or unsure:
"If you had to choose, which one of these candidates would you like to see
the Republican Party nominate?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Washington Times/JZ Analytics Poll. Jan. 14-15, 2012. N=500 likely
Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president were held today, for whom would you
vote:
[see below]?"
Results include leaners. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
32 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Jan. 12-14, 2012. N=365 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of the announced candidates for the 2012
Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the
Republican presidential nominee.
[See below.]"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
1/12-14/12 |
12/5-7/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
40 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
15 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
5 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
4 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
n/a |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
n/a |
- |
|
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Jan. 11-12, 2012. N=449
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the only Republican candidates were Mitt Romney and [see below].
Which of those two would you support?" |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Newt
Gingrich |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/11-12/12 |
59 |
37 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Ron
Paul |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/11-12/12 |
67 |
31 |
2 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Rick
Santorum |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/11-12/12 |
60 |
37 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Gallup Poll. Jan. 5-8, 2012.
N=479 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of
error
±
6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'd like you to think about the Republican nomination for president in the
2012 election. Please tell me if you would find [see below]
to be an acceptable nominee for president from the Republican Party, or
not." |
|
|
|
Acceptable |
Not
acceptable |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
"Former Massachusetts governor
Mitt Romney" |
|
1/5-8/12 |
59 |
31 |
10 |
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
54 |
41 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Former speaker of the House
Newt Gingrich" |
|
1/5-8/12 |
46 |
46 |
8 |
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
62 |
34 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Former Pennsylvania senator
Rick Santorum" |
|
1/5-8/12 |
45 |
39 |
16 |
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
27 |
62 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Texas Governor Rick Perry" |
|
1/5-8/12 |
37 |
55 |
9 |
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
41 |
52 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Texas Congressman Ron Paul" |
|
1/5-8/12 |
29 |
62 |
10 |
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
34 |
62 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Former Utah governor Jon
Huntsman" |
|
1/5-8/12 |
21 |
61 |
18 |
|
|
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
28 |
58 |
14 |
|
|
|
CBS News Poll. Jan. 4-8, 2012. N=440 Republican
primary voters nationwide. Margin of error
±
5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party
nominate for president in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick
Perry, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, or would you like to see someone else
nominated?" |
|
|
|
1/4-8/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/14-18/11 |
11/6-10/11 |
10/19-24/11 |
9/28 -
10/2/11 |
9/10-15/11 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
20 |
15 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
|
Mitt Romney |
20 |
15 |
21 |
17 |
16 |
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
5 |
8 |
7 |
5 |
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
8 |
6 |
12 |
23 |
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Someone else (vol.) |
19 |
14 |
12 |
10 |
11 |
|
No one (vol.) |
0 |
1 |
- |
2 |
2 |
|
Unsure |
17 |
17 |
14 |
18 |
22 |
|
Herman Cain |
n/a |
18 |
25 |
17 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If you had to choose, which one of these candidates would you like to see
the Republican Party nominate for president in 2012: Newt Gingrich, Jon
Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?" |
|
|
|
1/4-8/12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
No one (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Dec. 7-11, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who say
they would vote in a Republican presidential primary. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president,
and the candidates were [see below],
which one would you
favor?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Newt
Gingrich |
Mitt
Romney |
Ron
Paul |
None
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/7-11/11 |
53 |
31 |
13 |
1 |
2 |
|
Gallup Poll. Nov. 28-Dec. 1, 2011.
N=464 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of
error
±
6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'd like you to think about the Republican nomination for president in the
2012 election. Please tell me if you would find [see below]
to be an acceptable nominee for president from the Republican Party, or
not." |
|
|
|
Acceptable |
Not
acceptable |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
"Minnesota Congresswoman
Michele Bachmann" |
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
37 |
56 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Businessman Herman Cain" |
|
11/28 - 12/1/11 |
37 |
58 |
6 |
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Nov. 14-20, 2011. N=1,039 Republican and
Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error
± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Herman Cain and Mitt
Romney -- for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Herman
Cain |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/14-20/11 |
50 |
37 |
13 |
|
|
|
10/25-31/11 |
39 |
47 |
14 |
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. Nov. 13-17, 2011. N=946 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide who are registered to vote. Margin of error ±
4. Interviews
conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking survey. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who are running for the 2012 Republican
nomination for president. After I read the names, please tell me which
candidate you are most likely to support for the nomination, or if you would
support someone else: Michele Bachmann; Herman Cain; Newt Gingrich; Jon
Huntsman; Ron Paul; Rick Perry; Mitt Romney; Rick Santorum."
Options rotated |
|
|
|
11/13-17/11 |
11/2-6/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
22 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
16 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
8 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
18 |
20 |
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Nov. 13-15, 2011. N=370 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of the announced candidates for the 2012
Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the
Republican presidential nominee.
[See below.]"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
11/13-15/11 |
10/23-25/11 |
9/25-27/11 |
8/29-31/11 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
23 |
12 |
11 |
3 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
22 |
20 |
23 |
22 |
|
|
Herman Cain |
15 |
24 |
17 |
6 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
9 |
6 |
8 |
|
|
Rick Perry |
7 |
10 |
19 |
29 |
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
6 |
3 |
3 |
8 |
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
3 |
- |
4 |
1 |
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
Gary Johnson |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
|
|
Fred Karger |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
7 |
11 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
Unsure |
5 |
5 |
7 |
10 |
|
|
Thaddeus McCotter |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
|
|
George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by
the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Nov. 6-9, 2011.
N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Republican primary
voters. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about these Republican presidential candidates in a different way:
Who would you say is your first choice to be the Republican nominee for
president?"
Names read "if necessary." |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/Refused |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Nov. 2-5, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who say
they would vote in a Republican presidential primary. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president,
and the candidates were Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, which one would you
favor?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Romney |
Perry |
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/2-5/11 |
62 |
33 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
10/6-10/11 |
54 |
39 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president,
and the candidates were Mitt Romney and Herman Cain, which one would you
favor?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Romney |
Cain |
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/2-5/11 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
Washington Post/Bloomberg News Poll. Oct. 6-9,
2011. N=391 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide.
Margin of error
± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"At the end of the Republican nomination contest, whom do you want to be the
Republican candidate for president: [see below]?" |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
None of these (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. Oct. 3-7, 2011. N=1,064 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews
conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking survey. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican
primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all the names,
please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support
for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support
someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann; Businessman, Herman
Cain; Former speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; former Utah governor, Jon
Huntsman; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; Texas governor, Rick Perry; former
Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney; former Pennsylvania senator, Rick
Santorum."
Options rotated |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Sept. 27-Oct. 3, 2011. N=927 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error
± 3.2. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the
candidates were Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele
Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain, for whom
would you vote?" |
|
|
|
9/27 -
10/3/11 |
8/16-27/11 |
7/5-11/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
22 |
18 |
25 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
17 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
14 |
24 |
10 |
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
9 |
11 |
12 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
8 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
9 |
5 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
3 |
10 |
14 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
18 |
16 |
18 |
|
|
|
Thaddeus McCotter |
n/a |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
n/a |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Without Palin (Palin
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice): |
|
|
|
9/27 -
10/3/11 |
8/16-27/11 |
7/5-11/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
24 |
20 |
28 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
18 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
15 |
26 |
10 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
9 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
10 |
6 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
12 |
17 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
19 |
19 |
22 |
|
|
|
Thaddeus McCotter |
n/a |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
n/a |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose Chris Christie becomes a candidate for president. If the 2012
Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates
were Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney,
Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain,
for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Rick Perry and Mitt
Romney -- for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Rick
Perry |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/27 - 10/3/11 |
48 |
34 |
18 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 29-Oct. 2, 2011. N=1,002 adults
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or
lean Republican. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would
you vote?" If unsure:
"Which candidate would you lean toward?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Without Palin (Palin
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice): |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Without Christie (Christie
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice): |
|
|
|
9/29 -
10/2/11 |
8/29 -
9/1/11 |
7/14-17/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
23 |
23 |
26 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
17 |
3 |
7 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
16 |
29 |
8 |
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
8 |
14 |
16 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
8 |
7 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
8 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
6 |
13 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
4 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
|
Would not vote (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
Unsure |
6 |
4 |
8 |
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Without Christie and Palin
(based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices): |
|
|
|
9/29 -
10/2/11 |
8/29 -
9/1/11 |
7/14-17/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
25 |
25 |
30 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
17 |
5 |
7 |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
17 |
30 |
8 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
9 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
7 |
9 |
17 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
4 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
Would not vote (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
Unsure |
7 |
5 |
9 |
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
n/a |
3 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Sept. 23-25, 2011. N=447
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the
Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would
support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman
Herman Cain, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former Utah governor
Jon Huntsman, former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron
Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney,
or former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum."
Options rotated |
|
|
|
9/23-25/11 |
9/9-11/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
28 |
30 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
7 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
7 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 15-18, 2011. N=439 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who are considered the most likely
candidates to run in the Republican primaries for president. After I read
all the names, please tell me which one you would be most likely to support
for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support
someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann; Businessman, Herman
Cain; Former Speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; Former Utah governor, Jon
Huntsman; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; Texas governor, Rick Perry; Former Massachusetts governor, Mitt
Romney; Former Pennsylvania senator, Rick Santorum."
Options rotated |
|
|
|
9/15-18/11 |
8/4-7/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
31 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
24 |
24 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
5 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Other |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
None/Any/Unsure |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential nomination narrows down
to Rick Perry and Mitt Romney. Which one would you prefer the Republican
Party nominate for president: Rick Perry or Mitt Romney?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
Rick
Perry |
Mitt
Romney |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/15-18/11 |
49 |
39 |
11 |
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 13-14, 2011. N=317 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are [see below]?" |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
With Giuliani and Palin: |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by
the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Aug. 28-Sept. 1,
2011. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Republicans
and Republican leaners. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about these Republican presidential candidates in a different way:
Who would you say is your first choice to be the Republican nominee for
president?"
Names read "if necessary." |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/Refused |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Republican nomination continued
|