All data are from nationwide surveys
of
Americans 18 & older. Polls listed
chronologically. |
CBS News/New
York Times
Poll. March 7-9, 2003.
N=1,010 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"When
it comes to Iraq, do you think the United States should do what it thinks is
right no matter what its allies think, or should the U.S. take into account
the views of its allies before taking action?" |
|
|
Do What
It
Thinks
Is Right |
Take
Views
Into
Account |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
36 |
60 |
4 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
51 |
46 |
3 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
27 |
69 |
4 |
|
|
|
Independents |
31 |
64 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"When
it comes to Iraq, do you think the United States should do what it
thinks is right even if Russia, France, or China vetoes the
resolution authorizing the use of force in Iraq,
or should the United States take
into account a veto of the resolution before taking action?" |
|
|
Do What
It
Thinks
Is Right |
Take
Veto
Into
Account |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
44 |
49 |
7 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
65 |
30 |
5 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
35 |
58 |
7 |
|
|
|
Independents |
37 |
56 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
“What if the UN Security
Council votes against the U.S.‑sponsored resolution to take military action
against Iraq? Would you approve or disapprove of the U.S. taking military
action against Iraq to try to remove Saddam Hussein from power without UN
approval?” |
|
|
Approve |
Disapprove |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
55 |
41 |
4 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
73 |
23 |
4 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
42 |
55 |
3 |
|
|
|
Independents |
52 |
44 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which of these
comes closest to your opinion? Iraq's development
of weapons is a threat to the United States that requires military action
right now. OR, Iraq's
development of weapons is a threat that can be contained with inspections
for now. OR, Iraq's
development of weapons is not a threat to the United States at all." |
|
|
Military
Action |
Inspections |
Not a
Threat |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/7-9/03 |
50 |
41 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
3/4-5/03 |
45 |
43 |
8 |
4 |
|
|
2/24-25/03 |
44 |
47 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
2/10-12/03 |
46 |
44 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
“When
deciding what to do about Iraq, do you think the Bush Administration should
take into account the views of anti‑war protesters a lot, some, not much, or
not at all?” |
|
|
A Lot |
Some |
Not
Much |
Not
At All |
Don't
Know |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
3/7-9/03 |
14 |
47 |
15 |
22 |
2 |
|
ABC News Poll. March 5-9, 2003.
N=1,032 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against
Iraq to force Saddam Hussein from power?"
Asked of half the sample |
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/03 |
65 |
30 |
5 |
|
|
|
2/19-23/03 |
63 |
31 |
6 |
|
|
|
2/6-9/03 |
66 |
31 |
2 |
|
|
|
2/5/03 |
67 |
27 |
6 |
|
|
|
1/30 - 2/1/03 |
66 |
31 |
3 |
|
|
|
1/28/03 |
63 |
32 |
5 |
|
|
|
1/27/03 |
61 |
36 |
3 |
|
|
|
1/16-20/03 |
57 |
41 |
3 |
|
|
|
12/02 |
62 |
35 |
3 |
|
|
|
11/02 |
64 |
29 |
7 |
|
|
|
9/23-26/02 |
61 |
34 |
5 |
|
|
|
9/12-14/02 |
68 |
29 |
3 |
|
|
|
8/29/02 |
56 |
34 |
10 |
|
|
|
8/7-11/02 |
69 |
22 |
9 |
|
|
|
3/02 |
72 |
24 |
4 |
|
|
|
1/02 |
71 |
24 |
4 |
|
|
|
12/01 |
72 |
24 |
5 |
|
|
|
11/01 |
78 |
17 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think that
getting support from the United Nations Security Council is necessary before
the United States goes to war with Iraq, or is support from the United
Nations Security Council desirable,
but not necessary?" |
|
|
Necessary |
Desirable,
But Not
Necessary |
Not
Desirable
(vol.) |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/03 |
35 |
56 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"As you may know,
United Nations inspectors are in Iraq looking for any evidence that Iraq has
chemical, biological or nuclear weapons. Do you think Iraq is or is not
cooperating with the UN weapons inspectors?" |
|
|
Is |
Is Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/03 |
25 |
71 |
5 |
|
|
|
1/03 |
22 |
75 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think Iraq
does or does not pose a threat to the United States?" |
|
|
Does |
Does Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/03 |
79 |
19 |
2 |
|
|
|
1/03 |
81 |
16 |
3 |
|
|
|
12/02 |
81 |
17 |
2 |
|
|
|
8/02 |
79 |
16 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Just your best
guess, how long do you
think a war with Iraq would last: a few weeks,
several months, about a year, or longer than that?" |
|
|
A Few
Weeks |
Several
Months |
About a
Year |
Longer |
No
Opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
3/03 |
22 |
33 |
16 |
23 |
7 |
|
2/03 |
19 |
32 |
18 |
27 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think there
would or would not be a significant number of U.S. military casualties in a
war with Iraq?" |
|
|
Would |
Would
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/03 |
62 |
31 |
7 |
|
|
|
2/03 |
65 |
31 |
4 |
|
|
|
CBS News
Poll. March 4-5, 2003.
N=723 adults nationwide. MoE ±
4 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"With
regard to Iraq, do you think the Bush Administration is considering
all the possible options now, or have they already made up their
minds to
take military action?" |
|
|
Consid-
ering
Options |
Minds
Already
Made Up |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/4-5/03 |
26 |
68 |
6 |
|
|
|
2/24-25/03 |
31 |
65 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which statement do
you agree with more? Iraq presents such a clear danger to American interests
that the United States needs to act now, even without the support of the
United Nations. OR,
The U.S. needs to wait for approval of the United
Nations before taking any action against Iraq." |
|
|
Act
Now |
Wait
For UN |
Shouldn't
Act (vol.) |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/4-5/03 |
36 |
59 |
0 |
5 |
|
|
2/24-25/03 |
31 |
64 |
0 |
5 |
|
|
2/10-12/03 |
38 |
56 |
1 |
5 |
|
|
2/5-6/03 |
31 |
63 |
0 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Great
Britain is willing to participate in a joint action with the United States
against Iraq, but some countries, like France and Russia, oppose military
action at this time. Under these circumstances, would you favor or oppose
the U.S. taking military action against Iraq?" |
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/4-5/03 |
53 |
42 |
5 |
|
|
|
The
Gallup
Poll. March 3-5, 2003. N=1,003
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3
(total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do
you think Iraq is or is not complying with what the United Nations has
required it to do so far?"
Form B (N=498, MoE ± 5) |
|
|
Is |
Is Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/3-5/03 |
11 |
84 |
5 |
|
|
|
1/23-25/03 |
13 |
81 |
6 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post
Poll. Feb. 26-March 2, 2003.
N=1,022 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3 (total sample). Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"The
Bush Administration says it will move soon to
disarm Iraq and remove Saddam Hussein from power, by war if
necessary, working with countries that are willing to assist, even without
the support of the United Nations. Overall, do you support or oppose this
policy?" |
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
59 |
37 |
4 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
86 |
12 |
2 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
37 |
61 |
2 |
|
|
|
Independents |
55 |
40 |
5 |
|
|
|
Men |
67 |
31 |
2 |
|
|
|
Women |
51 |
44 |
5 |
|
|
|
18-34 years |
60 |
37 |
3 |
|
|
|
35-44 |
67 |
30 |
3 |
|
|
|
45-64 |
56 |
39 |
5 |
|
|
|
65 & older |
49 |
44 |
7 |
|
|
|
Whites |
63 |
32 |
5 |
|
|
|
Nonwhites |
35 |
62 |
3 |
|
|
|
FOX
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 25-26,
2003. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Some people say that Americans who criticize
President Bush and his position on Iraq are acting in an unpatriotic way.
Other people say they are acting in an appropriate way by expressing
their opinions through their right to free speech. Which of these positions
is closer to your own?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
. |
|
Unpatriotic |
20 |
|
|
|
. |
|
Appropriate
|
72 |
|
|
|
. |
|
Not sure |
8 |
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Some people say the United States and Britain
should take action to disarm Saddam Hussein and remove him from power in the
next few weeks. They say Iraq is building weapons of mass destruction and
any delay will permit these weapons to be developed further. Other people
say there is no concrete evidence that Iraq has weapons of mass destruction
and inspectors should be given more time to uncover the facts. They say to
attack now would leave us without UN approval and without the support of
some of our traditional allies. Which of these two positions comes closer to
your own?" |
|
. |
% |
|
|
|
|
Take action soon |
52 |
|
|
|
|
Give inspectors more time |
40 |
|
|
|
|
Combination/Depends (vol.) |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
3 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Poll. Feb. 24-26, 2003. N=1,003
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"As
you may know, the U.S., Great Britain, and Spain plan to submit a resolution
to the United Nations that says that Iraq is in serious violation of prior
UN resolutions that required Iraq to disarm. Do you think the United States
should invade Iraq with ground troops only if the UN approves this new
resolution, even if the UN does not approve this new resolution, or do you
think the United States should not send ground troops to Iraq at all?"
Options were rotated |
|
|
Only with
UN
Approval |
Even
Without
UN
Approval |
Not
At All |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/24-26/03 |
40 |
38 |
19 |
3 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post
Poll. Feb. 19-23, 2003.
N=1,024 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you approve or disapprove of the way the United
Nations is handling the situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein?" |
|
|
Approve |
Disap-
prove |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/19-23/03 |
38 |
56 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"What do you think is more important:
for the United States to move quickly against Iraq, even if that means
acting without the support of the United Nations Security Council; or for
the United States to keep trying to win support from the United Nations
Security Council, even if that means moving more slowly against Iraq?"
Options were rotated |
|
|
Move
Quickly |
Win UN
Support |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/19-23/03 |
39 |
56 |
5 |
|
|
|
Time/CNN
Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Feb. 19-20,
2003.
N=1,299 adults nationwide.
MoE ± 2.7 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think the U.S. should or should not use
military action involving ground troops to attempt to remove Saddam Hussein
from power in Iraq?" |
|
|
Should |
Should
Not |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
54 |
38 |
8 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
71 |
21 |
8 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
42 |
50 |
8 |
|
|
|
Independents |
52 |
40 |
8 |
|
|
|
Men |
59 |
34 |
7 |
|
|
|
Women |
50 |
41 |
9 |
|
|
|
18-29 years |
63 |
32 |
5 |
|
|
|
30-49 |
55 |
38 |
7 |
|
|
|
50-64 |
55 |
37 |
8 |
|
|
|
65 & older |
40 |
46 |
14 |
|
|
|
Whites |
57 |
35 |
8 |
|
|
|
Blacks |
34 |
61 |
5 |
|
|
|
Northeast |
53 |
39 |
8 |
|
|
|
Midwest |
58 |
31 |
11 |
|
|
|
South |
59 |
34 |
7 |
|
|
|
West |
45 |
49 |
6 |
|
|
|
Trend: |
|
2/19-20/03 |
54 |
38 |
8 |
|
|
|
2/6/03 |
59 |
34 |
7 |
|
|
|
1/03 |
60 |
33 |
7 |
|
|
|
12/02 |
55 |
37 |
8 |
|
|
|
11/02 |
57 |
33 |
10 |
|
|
|
The
Gallup
Poll. Feb. 17-19,
2003. N=1,002 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think the United States should invade Iraq
with ground troops only if the UN holds a new vote that authorizes the use
of U.S. ground troops, even if the UN does not hold a new vote that
authorizes the use of U.S. ground troops, or do you think the United States
should not send ground troops to Iraq at all?"
Options were rotated |
|
|
Only if
New Vote |
Even
Without
New Vote |
Not
At All |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/17-19/03 |
40 |
30 |
26 |
4 |
|
|
2/7-9/03 |
34 |
39 |
23 |
4 |
|
|
1/31 - 2/2/03 |
40 |
33 |
22 |
5 |
|
|
FOX
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 11-12,
2003. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Chief weapons inspector Hans Blix is scheduled to
make a report to the UN Security Council on Friday. If Blix reports that
Iraq is cooperating and inspectors are making progress, do you think
President Bush should delay plans for war with Iraq or has Iraq been given
too many chances already?" |
|
. |
% |
|
|
|
|
Should delay plans for war |
47 |
|
|
|
|
Should not delay |
44 |
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Several
U.S. allies, such as France, Germany, and Russia, oppose taking military
action against Iraq at this time. Which of the following best describes how
you feel about these countries not supporting the U.S. position on Iraq?
Would you say that you agree with the position of
these allies, disagree with these allies but
respect their right to take that position,
or are you angry that these allies are not
supporting the United States?" |
|
. |
% |
|
|
Agree with position of these
allies |
18 |
|
|
Disagree, but respect their
right to take that position |
42 |
|
|
Angry that they are not
supporting the United States |
35 |
|
|
Not sure |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"France and Germany have made a proposal that
would put United Nation troops in Iraq to back up the inspectors, increase
the number of inspectors, and give inspections a longer time to work. Do you
think this is good plan or will it only delay the inevitable need to invade
Iraq?" |
|
. |
% |
|
|
|
|
A good plan |
37 |
|
|
|
|
Will only delay an invasion |
53 |
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
10 |
|
|
|
|
CBS News/New
York Times Poll. Feb. 10-12,
2003. N=747 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Some people say
the United States should take military action against Iraq in order to
protect the source of much of the world's oil. As far as you are concerned,
is that a good enough reason for the United States to take military action
against Iraq or not?" |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
A good enough reason |
19 |
|
|
. |
|
Not a good enough reason |
78 |
|
|
. |
|
Don't know |
3 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think
Saddam Hussein was personally involved in the September 11th, 2001,
terrorist attacks against the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, or not?" |
|
|
Was |
Was
Not |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/03 |
42 |
42 |
16 |
|
|
|
9/02 |
51 |
33 |
16 |
|
|
|
CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Poll. Feb. 7-9, 2003.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which comes closer to your view: the United
States should invade Iraq with ground troops in the next few weeks unless
Saddam Hussein shows convincing evidence that Iraq is disarming its weapons
of mass destruction, or the United States should
support the United Nations in sending more inspectors and allowing them all
the time they need to determine whether Iraq has weapons of mass destruction?"
Options were rotated |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
Invade in next few weeks |
52 |
|
|
|
|
Send more inspectors |
45 |
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
3 |
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington
Post Poll. Feb. 6-9,
2003. N=1,001 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3. Field work by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think the Bush
Administration has or has not presented enough evidence to show why
the United States should use military force to remove Saddam Hussein from
power?" |
|
|
Has
Presented
Enough |
Has
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/6-9/03 |
63 |
34 |
2 |
|
|
|
2/5/03 |
61 |
34 |
5 |
|
|
|
1/30 - 2/1/03 |
54 |
41 |
4 |
|
|
|
1/16-20/03 |
48 |
47 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think the United States has
or has not presented strong evidence showing that Iraq
[see
below]?" |
|
|
Has |
Has
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
"Has chemical and
biological weapons" |
|
2/6-9/03 |
69 |
28 |
3 |
|
|
|
2/5/03 |
71 |
23 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Is
trying to develop nuclear weapons" |
|
2/6-9/03 |
62 |
33 |
5 |
|
|
|
2/5/03 |
61 |
30 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Has
provided direct support to the
Al Qaeda terrorist group" |
|
2/6-9/03 |
55 |
37 |
8 |
|
|
|
2/5/03 |
49 |
37 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Is
not cooperating with the United
Nations weapons inspectors" |
|
2/6-9/03 |
75 |
21 |
4 |
|
|
|
2/5/03 |
73 |
22 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Before deciding whether to attack Iraq, how much
longer do you think the
Administration
should give the United Nations weapons inspectors to search for chemical,
biological and nuclear weapons there: a few weeks,
a few months, or more than that?" |
|
|
Less Than
A Few
Weeks
(vol.) |
A Few
Weeks |
A Few
Months |
More
Than
That |
No
Opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/6-9/03 |
13 |
47 |
28 |
11 |
2 |
|
2/5/03 |
15 |
44 |
28 |
10 |
3 |
|
1/30 - 2/1/03 |
10 |
41 |
33 |
13 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"What do you think is more important:
for the United States to move quickly against Iraq, even if that
means acting without international support; or for the United States to gain
international support, even if that delays action against Iraq?"
Options were rotated |
|
|
Move
Quickly |
Gain
Support |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/6-9/03 |
37 |
59 |
4 |
|
|
|
2/5/03 |
41 |
55 |
5 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post
Poll. Feb. 5, 2003.
N=504 adults nationwide. MoE ±
4.5 (total sample). Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Secretary of State Colin Powell addressed the
United Nations about Iraq today. Did you happen to watch or listen to that
speech, or hear or read any news reports about it, or not?" |
|
|
Yes |
No |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
2/5/03 |
61 |
39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think Powell did or did not make a
convincing case for going to war with Iraq?" |
|
|
Did |
Did
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
50 |
19 |
31 |
|
|
|
Watched Powell |
71 |
22 |
7 |
|
|
|
Didn't watch |
16 |
14 |
69 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Overall,
do you think Powell presented hard evidence PROVING that Iraq has weapons of
mass destruction; or circumstantial evidence SUGGESTING that Iraq has these
weapons, but not proving it?" |
|
|
Hard
Evidence |
Circum-
stantial
Evidence |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
42 |
31 |
26 |
|
|
|
Watched Powell |
56 |
38 |
6 |
|
|
|
Didn't watch |
21 |
21 |
57 |
|
|
|
CNN/USA
Today/Gallup Poll.
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2003. N=1,003 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Who do you trust more to make the right decisions
regarding Iraq: the Bush Administration or the
United Nations?"
Options were
rotated. Form A (N=504, MoE
± 5) |
|
|
Bush |
UN |
Both
Equally
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
No
Opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/31 - 2/2/03 |
58 |
39 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
1/23-25/03 |
47 |
47 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Some people feel that the weapons inspections by
the United Nations in Iraq should be given more time to work.
Other people feel that it is time to take stronger action against
Saddam Hussein, including the use of armed force. Which one of these views
comes closer to how you feel?"
Options were
rotated |
|
|
Give UN
More
Time |
Time for
Stronger
Action |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/31 - 2/2/03 |
50 |
48 |
2 |
|
|
|
The Los
Angeles Times Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 2,
2003. N=1,385 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3
(total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Suppose President George W. Bush decides to
order U.S. troops into a ground attack against Iraqi forces. Would you
support or oppose that decision?" |
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
57 |
38 |
5 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
40 |
52 |
8 |
|
|
|
Independents |
57 |
38 |
5 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
84 |
14 |
2 |
|
|
|
Men |
65 |
31 |
4 |
|
|
|
Women |
49 |
45 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? The
United States should take military action against Iraq only if that military
action has the support of the United Nations Security Council." |
|
|
Agree |
Disagree |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
65 |
30 |
5 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
79 |
14 |
7 |
|
|
|
Independents |
69 |
28 |
3 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
44 |
53 |
3 |
|
|
|
Men |
61 |
35 |
4 |
|
|
|
Women |
68 |
26 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Would you support or oppose allowing Saddam
Hussein to go into exile in exchange for the U.S. not taking military action
against Iraq?" |
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1-2/03 |
61 |
30 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"President Bush has claimed that there is a
link between Saddam Hussein and the Al Qaeda terrorist organization. Has
President Bush provided enough evidence to convince you of that link, or
not?" |
|
|
Has |
Has
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1-2/03 |
34 |
56 |
10 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post
Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 1, 2003.
N=855 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3.5. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do
you think Bush has presented enough evidence showing why the United States
should use military force to remove Saddam Hussein from power, or would you
like him to present more evidence?"
Asked of half the sample |
|
|
Has
Presented
Enough |
Would
Like
More |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/30 - 2/1/03 |
42 |
57 |
1 |
|
|
|
1/28/03 |
42 |
56 |
2 |
|
|
|
1/27/03 |
36 |
60 |
3 |
|
|
|
1/16-20/03 |
39 |
58 |
2 |
|
|
|
12/02 |
40 |
58 |
2 |
|
|
|
9/02 |
48 |
50 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Imagine the UN inspectors cannot
find hard evidence that Iraq has chemical, biological or nuclear weapons. In
that case, do you think the United States should or should not have to
present its own evidence that Iraq has these weapons, before the U.S.
attacks Iraq?" |
|
|
Should |
Should
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/30 - 2/1/03 |
68 |
29 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which concerns you more
-- that the
Bush Administration might move too quickly to take military action against
Iraq, or the Bush Administration might not move quickly enough?"
Options rotated |
|
|
Too
Quickly |
Not
Quickly
Enough |
Neither
(vol.) |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/30 - 2/1/03 |
49 |
44 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
1/28/03 |
51 |
39 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
1/27/03 |
54 |
36 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
1/16-20/03 |
55 |
39 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
ABC News
Poll. Jan. 28, 2003,
following the State of the Union speech. N=781
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Before deciding whether to attack Iraq, do you
think the United States should or should not give United Nations inspectors
a few more months to search for chemical, biological and nuclear weapons
there?" |
|
|
Should |
Should
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/28/03 |
59 |
36 |
4 |
|
|
|
1/27/03 |
64 |
33 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think Iraq has or has not provided direct
support to the Al Qaeda terrorist group?" |
|
|
Has |
Has
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/28/03 |
68 |
17 |
15 |
|
|
|
FOX
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 29-30,
2003. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"How confident are you that President Bush will
make the right decision regarding the use of U.S. troops in Iraq:
very confident, somewhat confident, not very confident, or not at all
confident?" |
|
|
Very |
Some-
what |
Not
Very |
Not
At All |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/29-30/03 |
40 |
27 |
17 |
13 |
3 |
|
11/02 |
42 |
28 |
12 |
12 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you believe Iraq is hiding chemical and
biological weapons or other weapons of mass destruction from the inspectors?" |
|
|
Yes |
No |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/29-30/03 |
87 |
3 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you believe Iraqi President Saddam Hussein has
ties to the terrorist group Al Qaeda?" |
|
|
Yes |
No |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/29-30/03 |
81 |
6 |
13 |
|
|
|
ABC News
Poll. Jan. 27, 2003.
N=504 adults nationwide. MoE ±
4.5. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"What do you think is more important
-- for the United States to move quickly against
Iraq, even if that means acting without international support; or for the
United States to gain international support, even if that delays action
against Iraq?" |
|
|
Move
Quickly |
Gain
Support |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/27/03 |
31 |
64 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think the Bush
Administration has been overstating the level of
threat the United States faces from Iraq, understating it, or accurately
describing it?" |
|
|
Over-
stating |
Under-
stating |
Accurately
Describing |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/27/03 |
32 |
25 |
38 |
6 |
|
|
9/02 |
23 |
28 |
45 |
4 |
|
|
CNN/USA
Today/Gallup Poll.
Jan. 23-25, 2003. N=1,000 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which comes closer to your view?
The United Nations weapons inspectors in Iraq should be given more
time to conduct their inspections, even if that means a United States
invasion of Iraq is delayed or prevented altogether. OR,
Iraq has already had enough time to prove to the United Nations inspectors
that it does not have weapons of mass destruction, and no more time is
needed even if that means the United States invades Iraq soon."
Options were
rotated |
|
|
More
Time
Needed |
No More
Time
Needed |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/23-25/03 |
56 |
41 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which comes closer to your view?
The United States should invade Iraq when the Bush
Administration decides that it is time to do so.
OR, The United States should not invade Iraq
unless there is a new United Nations vote authorizing military action."
Options were
rotated |
|
|
|
|
% |
|
. |
|
Invade when Administration decides to do so |
39 |
|
|
|
Only invade if there's a new UN vote |
56 |
|
|
|
No opinion |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which comes closer to your view?
UN weapons inspections alone can eliminate the threat Iraq poses to
other nations. OR,
Military action is needed along with weapons inspections to eliminate the
threat Iraq poses to other nations."
Options were rotated |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
Inspections alone |
20 |
|
|
. |
|
Military action also needed |
71 |
|
|
. |
|
Iraq does not pose threat (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
. |
|
No opinion |
7 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"In planning for a possible invasion of Iraq, do
you think the United States can or cannot count on the support of each of
the following countries? How about
[see below]?" |
|
|
Can |
Cannot |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Great Britain |
87 |
8 |
5 |
|
|
|
Turkey |
50 |
37 |
13 |
|
|
|
Russia |
41 |
49 |
10 |
|
|
|
Germany |
40 |
51 |
9 |
|
|
|
Saudi Arabia |
39 |
51 |
10 |
|
|
|
France |
37 |
55 |
8 |
|
|
|
China |
22 |
67 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think European countries like France and
Germany do or do not owe an obligation of support
to the United States in its efforts to deal with Iraq and Saddam Hussein?" |
|
|
Do |
Do Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/23-25/03 |
68 |
29 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think European countries like France and
Germany are taking a more reasonable or a less reasonable
approach toward Iraq and Saddam Hussein than the U.S. is taking?" |
|
|
More |
Less |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/23-25/03 |
36 |
55 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"In order to avoid war with Iraq, a proposal has
been made that would allow Saddam Hussein to live the rest of his life in
exile and thus avoid prosecution for any action he took as leader
of Iraq. In exchange, Saddam would have to agree
to peacefully step down as the leader of Iraq. Would you approve or
disapprove of this proposal?" |
|
|
Approve |
Disap-
prove |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/23-25/03 |
62 |
35 |
3 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post
Poll. Jan. 16-20, 2003.
N=1,133 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Imagine the
UN inspectors cannot find hard evidence that Iraq has chemical, biological
or nuclear weapons. In that case, do you think the United States should or
should not have to present its own evidence that Iraq has these weapons,
before the U.S. attacks Iraq?" |
|
|
Should |
Should
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/03 |
71 |
27 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
If answered "Should"
to question above:
"What if
presenting that evidence means the United States has to reveal sensitive
intelligence sources? In that case, do you think
the United States should or should not have to present its own evidence that
Iraq has these weapons?" |
|
|
Should |
Should
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/03 |
67 |
30 |
4 |
|
|
|
Time/CNN
Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Jan. 15-16, 2003. N=1,010
adults nationwide. MoE ±
3.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Regardless of whether you think the U.S.
should or should not use ground troops to remove Saddam Hussein from power,
do you think the United States would be morally justified or morally
unjustified if it sends troops into Iraq to remove Hussein from power?" |
|
|
Morally
Justified |
Morally
Unjustified |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/03 |
66 |
28 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"In your view, is war with Iraq inevitable, or is
there likely to be a peaceful settlement?" |
|
|
1/03 |
12/02 |
11/02 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
War is inevitable |
63 |
60 |
63 |
|
|
Peaceful settlement likely |
31 |
33 |
30 |
|
|
Not sure |
6 |
7 |
7 |
|
|
FOX
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 14-15,
2003. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"What do you think is more likely: the United
States will go to war against Iraq or Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein will
resign and go into exile preventing a war?" |
|
|
War |
Exile |
Depends
(vol.) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/03 |
78 |
10 |
4 |
8 |
|
|
CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Poll. Jan. 10-12, 2003. N=1,002
adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"As you may know, the Bush Administration
says it has evidence that Iraq has weapons of mass destruction or programs
to develop them. On January 27th, United Nations
weapons inspectors will report their findings so far to the UN.
If the inspectors have not found any evidence, what should the United States
do: invade Iraq with ground troops based on the evidence the Bush
Administration says it has, invade Iraq with
ground troops only after the UN inspectors find evidence of weapons, or not
invade Iraq with ground troops regardless of what the UN inspectors find?" |
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
Invade based on Bush Administration evidence |
23 |
|
|
Invade only after UN inspectors find evidence of weapons |
52 |
|
|
Not invade regardless of what UN inspectors find |
19 |
|
|
No opinion |
6 |
|
|
CBS News
Poll. Jan. 4-6, 2003.
N=902 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3
(total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"So far, do you think Saddam Hussein has kept his
promise to allow United Nations inspectors full access to look for weapons
of mass destruction, or has Saddam Hussein not kept his promise?" |
|
|
Has |
Has
Not |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/03 |
21 |
68 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"To the best of your knowledge, do you think Iraq
currently possesses weapons of mass destruction, or doesn't it have those
yet?"
Form C (N=460) |
|
|
Does
Possess |
Does Not
Possess |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/03 |
79 |
9 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"What do you
think the United States should now do with respect to Iraq:
use military force in some way or try to find a diplomatic solution?" |
|
|
Force |
Diplomacy |
Both
(vol.) |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
ALL |
29 |
63 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
Republicans |
33 |
61 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
Democrats |
20 |
73 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Independents |
34 |
57 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
Knight Ridder poll
conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Jan.
3-6, 2003.
N=1,204 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Right now, which ONE of the following do you
think is more important for the United States? To move forward QUICKLY with
military action as the only way to effectively deal with the threat posed by
Iraq. To take more time to try to achieve our goals in Iraq WITHOUT going to
war." |
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
Move forward quickly with military action |
27 |
|
|
|
Take time to achieve goals without war |
68 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If Iraq responds to a U.S. attack with
chemical or biological weapons, would you support using NUCLEAR WEAPONS
against Iraq, or not?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Would support |
46 |
|
|
|
|
|
Would not |
45 |
|
|
|
|
|
Don't know |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"What if Iraq attacks ISRAEL with chemical or
biological weapons? Do you think Israel would be justified to respond by
using nuclear weapons against Iraq?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Justified |
60 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not justified |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Don't know |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Please try to answer my next questions about
Iraq to the best of your knowledge. But if you're
not sure of an answer, that's okay -- just tell me
and I'll go to the next question. Do you think
Iraq and Al Queda -- Osama bin Laden's
organization -- are allied and working together to plan new acts of
terrorism, or not?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Are allied |
65 |
|
|
|
|
|
Are not |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Don't know |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"As far as you know, how many of the
September 11th terrorist hijackers were Iraqi citizens: most of them, some
of them, just one, or none?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Most of them |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
Some of them |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
Just one |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
None |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Don't know |
33 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV
Poll conducted by Market Shares Corp. Dec. 10-11, 2002. N=600 adults nationwide. MoE ±
4
(total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
“First, we have a few questions about the situation in Iraq.
On Saturday, Iraq declared a weapons list to the United Nations that shows
they have no weapons of mass destruction. Do you believe them or do you not
believe them?” |
|
|
Believe
Them |
Don't
Believe
Them |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/02 |
7 |
83 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
“Assuming Iraq does have weapons of mass
destruction, how confident are you that UN inspectors will be able to find
them: very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all
confident?” |
|
|
Very |
Some-
what |
Not
Too |
Not At
All |
Don't
Know |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/02 |
9 |
35 |
30 |
23 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
“Do you
favor or oppose taking U.S. military action against Iraq?” |
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
49 |
33 |
18 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
35 |
45 |
20 |
|
|
|
Independents |
44 |
39 |
17 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
74 |
15 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
“Do you
believe Iraq is involved in acts of terrorism against the U.S.,
or not?” |
|
|
Is |
Is
Not |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/02 |
79 |
10 |
11 |
|
|
|
CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Poll. Dec. 9-10, 2002. N=1,009
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3
(total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do
you think Iraq currently has weapons of mass destruction, is trying to
develop these weapons but does not currently have them, or is not trying to
develop weapons of mass destruction?" |
|
|
Currently
Has |
Trying To
Develop |
Not
Trying To
Develop |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/02 |
63 |
28 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
11/02 |
66 |
27 |
2 |
5 |
|
|
8/02 |
55 |
39 |
1 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"If weapons of mass destruction or programs to
develop them exist in Iraq, do you think
[rotate:]
the UN inspectors will be able to find them, OR do
you think Iraq has hidden them so well that the UN inspectors will not be
able to find them?"
Form B respondents who say Iraq currently has weapons of mass destruction,
is trying to develop them, or are unsure if Iraq has them
(N=460, MoE ± 3) |
|
|
Will
Be Able |
Will Not
Be Able |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/02 |
22 |
73 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"As you may know, the Bush Administration
says it has evidence that Iraq currently has weapons of mass destruction. Do
you think the United States does or does not need
to release this evidence publicly in order to justify invading Iraq with
ground troops?" |
|
|
Does |
Does
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/02 |
62 |
35 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If the Bush Administration
says it has evidence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq AND the UN
inspectors say they have not found any evidence of these weapons, who would
you be more likely to believe:
[rotate]
the Bush Administration or the United Nations'
inspectors?" |
|
|
Bush
Adminis-
tration |
UN
Inspectors |
Both
Equally
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
No
Opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/02 |
52 |
36 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
|
NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R).
Dec. 7-9, 2002. N=1,005
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.1
(total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you believe that Iraq will follow through
on its promise to fully comply with United Nations'
inspections for chemical and biological weapons materials?" |
|
|
Will
Follow
Through |
Will Not
Follow
Through |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/02 |
15 |
80 |
5 |
|
|
|
12/98 |
8 |
89 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think that the United States should
take military action against Iraq only with the support of the United
Nations, or should the United States take military action against Iraq even
if the United Nations does not support such action?"
Form B (N=500) |
|
|
Only
With
UN
Support |
Even
Without
UN
Support |
Never
Take
Military
Action
(vol.) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/02 |
55 |
35 |
1 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think that the United States should
take military action against Iraq even if no allies are willing to take part
in the military action, or should the United States only take military
action if our allies are willing to take part?"
Form B (N=500) |
|
|
Even
Without
Allies |
Only
With
Allies |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/02 |
35 |
54 |
11 |
|
|
|
The
Gallup
Poll. Dec. 5-8, 2002.
N=492 adults nationwide. MoE ±
5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Thinking about one year from now, do you think the United
States will [rotate:] definitely be at war with Iraq, probably be at
war, probably NOT be at war, or definitely NOT be
at war with Iraq?" |
|
|
Definitely
At War |
Probably
At War |
Probably
Not at War |
Definitely
Not at War |
No
Opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
12/02 |
18 |
56 |
20 |
3 |
3 |
|
9/02 |
17 |
54 |
21 |
3 |
5 |
|
FOX
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Dec. 3-4, 2002. N=900 registered voters
nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If Iraq has or if it were to obtain nuclear
weapons, do you believe Iraq would attempt to use them against the United
States?" |
|
|
Yes |
No |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/02 |
73 |
17 |
10 |
|
|
|
9/02 |
76 |
16 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"The United Nations resolution on Iraq
requires full disclosure of all weapons programs by December 8. Do you think
Iraq will meet the deadline and disclose all of its weapons programs?" |
|
|
Yes |
No |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/02 |
14 |
77 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If Iraq fails to meet the December 8
deadline, do you think that violation is enough to require the United
Nations to support U.S. military action against Iraq?" |
|
|
Yes |
No |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/02 |
57 |
27 |
16 |
|
|
|
CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Poll. Nov. 22-24, 2002. N=1,017
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"As you may know, on November
27th United Nations weapons inspectors will begin searching for
weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, including biological, chemical and
nuclear weapons. In your view, would each of the following outcomes of those
inspections justify a U.S. invasion of Iraq, or not? How about if
. . . ?" |
|
|
Would
Justify |
Would
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
A.
Iraq denies that it has any weapons of mass destruction |
|
11/02 |
39 |
56 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
B. Iraq blocks UN inspectors one time from entering a suspected weapons site |
|
11/02 |
64 |
32 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
C. Iraq repeatedly
blocks UN inspectors from entering several suspected weapons sites |
|
11/02 |
84 |
15 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
D. UN inspectors do not
find weapons of mass destruction, but do find facilities designed to produce
them |
|
11/02 |
52 |
44 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
E. UN inspectors find
weapons of mass destruction and Iraq agrees to destroy them |
|
11/02 |
34 |
63 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
F. UN
inspectors find weapons of mass destruction and Iraq refuses to destroy them |
|
11/02 |
87 |
12 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which comes closer to your view about President
Bush? [Rotate:]
Bush has already decided to invade Iraq and has agreed to UN inspections
mainly to gain international support for that action.
OR, Bush has not yet decided whether to invade
Iraq and has agreed to UN inspections mainly to determine if an invasion of
Iraq were necessary." |
|
|
% |
|
. |
|
Bush has already decided to invade |
58 |
|
. |
|
Bush has not yet decided whether to invade |
38 |
|
. |
|
No opinion |
4 |
|
. |
|
CBS News/New
York Times
Poll. Nov. 20-24,
2002. N=996 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3
(total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Suppose
U.S. military action in Iraq would result in substantial U.S. military
casualties, then would you favor or oppose the United States taking military
action against Iraq?" |
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/02 |
51 |
40 |
9 |
|
|
|
10/27-31/02 |
49 |
41 |
10 |
|
|
|
10/3-5/02 |
54 |
37 |
9 |
|
|
|
9/22-23/02 |
57 |
34 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Suppose U.S. military action in Iraq meant that
the U.S. would be involved in a war there for months or even years, then
would you favor or oppose the United States taking military action against
Iraq?" |
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/02 |
48 |
46 |
6 |
|
|
|
10/27-31/02 |
42 |
48 |
10 |
|
|
|
10/3-5/02 |
49 |
44 |
7 |
|
|
|
9/22-23/02 |
51 |
39 |
10 |
|
|
|
9/2-5/02 |
49 |
44 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think
Saddam Hussein will keep his promise to allow United Nations inspectors
full access to look for weapons of mass destruction, or will Saddam Hussein
not keep his promise?" |
|
|
Will |
Will
Not |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/02 |
14 |
80 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If Saddam Hussein
does not keep his promise to allow United Nations weapons inspectors full
access to look for weapons of mass destruction, would you favor or oppose
the United States immediately using its Air Force to bomb targets in Iraq?" |
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/02 |
66 |
26 |
8 |
|
|
|
FOX
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Nov. 19-20, 2002. N=900 registered voters
nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"How confident are you that Iraqi President Saddam
Hussein will cooperate fully with the UN inspection team
. . . ?" |
|
|
Very |
Some-
what |
Not
Very |
Not At
All |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/02 |
2 |
10 |
31 |
53 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"How confident are you that the UN inspection team
will actually announce violations by Iraq, knowing that a violation could
possibly lead to war . . . ?" |
|
|
Very |
Some-
what |
Not
Very |
Not At
All |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/02 |
27 |
35 |
15 |
11 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think the United States should only attack
Iraq if the United Nations agrees or do you think the U.S. should maintain
its right to go it alone?" |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
Attack only if the UN agrees |
51 |
|
|
. |
|
Maintain the right to go it alone |
36 |
|
|
. |
|
Not sure |
13 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"How concerned are you that war with Iraq will
lead to more terrorist attacks in the United States . . .
?" |
|
|
Very |
Some-
what |
Not
Very |
Not At
All |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/02 |
52 |
32 |
9 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"How concerned are you that if the United States
does NOT go to war with Iraq that there will be more terrorist attacks in
the United States . . . ?" |
|
|
Very |
Some-
what |
Not
Very |
Not At
All |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/02 |
52 |
32 |
9 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"How concerned are you that war with Iraq will
lead to oil shortages in the United States . . . ?" |
|
|
Very |
Some-
what |
Not
Very |
Not At
All |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/02 |
18 |
31 |
26 |
20 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"How concerned are you that war with Iraq will
hurt the U.S. economy . . . ?" |
|
|
Very |
Some-
what |
Not
Very |
Not At
All |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/02 |
31 |
26 |
21 |
18 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Just thinking about your own personal safety, how
dangerous is the situation with Iraq to you . . . ?" |
|
|
Very |
Some-
what |
Not
Very |
Not At
All |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/02 |
25 |
29 |
27 |
15 |
4 |
|
ABC News Poll. Nov. 13-17, 2002. N=1,030 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3. Field work by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Would you support or oppose a
U.S. invasion of Iraq with ground troops?" |
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/02 |
56 |
39 |
6 |
|
|
|
9/12-14/02 |
58 |
39 |
3 |
|
|
|
8/7-11/02 |
57 |
36 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"As you may know, Iraq has told
the United Nations that it will allow UN weapons inspectors back into the
country. Do you think Iraq intends to cooperate or does not intend to
cooperate with the UN inspectors?" |
|
|
Intends to
Cooperate |
Does Not
Intend to
Cooperate |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/02 |
19 |
75 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If Iraq admits the weapons
inspectors, but then interferes or does not cooperate with them, in that
case would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action
against Iraq?" |
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/02 |
79 |
17 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If Iraq cooperates fully with
United Nations weapons inspectors, do you think the United States should
drop its efforts to force Saddam Hussein from power, or continue its efforts
to force Saddam Hussein from power?" |
|
|
Drop Its
Efforts |
Continue
Its Efforts |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/02 |
39 |
55 |
6 |
|
|
|
CNN/Time Poll
conducted by Harris Interactive.
Nov. 13-14, 2002. N=1,006
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"What do you think would be the likely outcome of
a war with Iraq: a U.S. victory, an Iraqi victory,
or a stalemate with no winner?" |
|
|
U.S.
Victory |
Iraqi
Victory |
Stalemate |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/02 |
60 |
2 |
33 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If
UN inspection teams are allowed into Iraq to inspect for weapons, do you
think Saddam Hussein will allow free access to all possible weapon sites, or
do you think he will prevent weapon inspectors from going to some sites?" |
|
|
11/02 |
8/02 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
Will allow free access |
8 |
4 |
|
|
|
Will not allow free access |
88 |
91 |
|
|
|
Not sure |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"And if UN inspection teams are allowed into Iraq,
do you think this will eliminate the threat of Iraq using weapons of mass
destruction against the United States, or don't
you think so?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Will eliminate the threat |
19 |
|
|
|
|
Don't think so |
76 |
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If Saddam Hussein does not comply with UN
resolutions passed last week that require Iraq to allow UN inspectors into
its country to search for weapons of mass destruction, do you think the U.S.
should invade Iraq with ground troops without UN authorization, invade Iraq
with ground troops but only with UN authorization, or not invade Iraq with
ground troops at all?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Invade without authorization |
28 |
|
|
|
|
Invade only with authorization |
47 |
|
|
|
|
Not invade at all |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
7 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Poll. Nov. 8-10, 2002.
N=1,014 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"As you may know, the United Nations passed a
resolution today /
Friday that would require Iraq to allow UN inspectors into its country to
search for weapons of mass destruction. Do you think Saddam Hussein will
agree to inspections that meet the UN's
requirements, or not?" |
|
|
Will
Agree |
Will
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/8-10/02 |
21 |
76 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"If the United Nations does conduct inspections,
do you think these would or would not be effective in eliminating the threat
of Iraq using weapons of mass destruction against the United States?" |
|
|
Would
Be |
Would
Not Be |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/8-10/02 |
34 |
61 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Suppose Saddam Hussein does not comply with the
United Nations resolutions passed today /
on Friday. Do you think the United States should invade Iraq with
ground troops only if the UN votes to authorize the use of U.S. ground
troops, even if the UN does not vote to authorize the use of U.S. ground
troops, or do you think the United States should not send ground troops to
Iraq at all?" |
|
|
Only WITH
UN Author-
ization |
Even
WITHOUT
UN Author-
ization |
Should
Not Send
Troops
At All |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/8-10/02 |
40 |
31 |
24 |
5 |
|
|
CBS News/New
York Times Poll. Oct. 27-31,
2002. N=1,018 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which
statement do you agree with more? Iraq presents
such a clear danger to American interests that the United
States needs to act now,
even without the support of its allies.
OR, The U.S. needs to wait for its allies
before taking any action against Iraq." |
|
|
Act
Now |
Wait for
Allies |
Don't
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/27-31/02 |
28 |
63 |
9 |
|
|
|
10/3-5/02 |
29 |
65 |
6 |
|
|
|
9/22-23/02 |
31 |
61 |
8 |
|
|
|
9/2-5/02 |
27 |
67 |
6 |
|
|
|
Pew
Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey
Research Associates.
Oct. 17-27, 2002. N=1,751
adults nationwide. MoE ±
2.5 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Would you favor or oppose taking military action
in Iraq to end Saddam Hussein's rule?" |
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/02 |
55 |
34 |
11 |
|
|
|
9/02 |
64 |
23 |
13 |
|
|
|
8/02 |
64 |
21 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
If "Favor":
"Should we attack Iraq only if our major allies agree to
join us, or attack Iraq even if allies do not want to join
us?" |
|
|
Only With
Allies |
Even
Without
Allies |
No
Opinion |
Not
Asked
This
Question |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/02 |
23 |
27 |
5 |
45 |
|
|
9/02 |
25 |
33 |
6 |
36 |
|
|
8/02 |
30 |
30 |
4 |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think George W. Bush has explained clearly
what's at stake as to why the U.S.
might use military force to end the rule of
Saddam Hussein, or do you think he has not explained the reasons clearly
enough?" |
|
|
Has
Explained
Clearly |
Has Not
Explained
Clearly |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/02 |
48 |
45 |
7 |
|
|
|
9/02 |
52 |
37 |
11 |
|
|
|
8/02 |
37 |
52 |
11 |
|
|
|
Earlier polling on Iraq
|